BCH

Banco de Chile

58
Fundamentals52/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential55/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

BCH offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

MS

Morgan Stanley

62
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

MS has the edge over BCH overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

BCH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Strong
N/A
N/A

BCH's profitability is currently strong, but its revenue is under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BCH.

MS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.

BCH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.8x9.7x14x19x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.8x9.7x14x19x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap8x$19.55-49%
Fair12x$28.43-26%
Expensive15x$37.41-3.2%
Current16x$38.64—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BCH's PE is 16x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

MS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$134-29%
Fair14x$178-5.7%
Forward14x$189—
Current15x$189—
Expensive18x$223+18%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MS has the edge over BCH in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

BCH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BCH, with profitability improving.

MS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MS, with profitability improving.

BCH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+21%$46.85
Downside-17%$32.03

Calculated from the latest close: $38.64 on Nov 12.

BCH trails MS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

MS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$243.85
Downside-11%$168.44

Calculated from the latest close: $189.17 on Nov 12.

MS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BCH, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

BCH Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $2.39Q4 2023: $2.72Q1 2024: $2.79Q2 2024: $2.77Q3 2024: $2.82Q4 2024: $2.39Q1 2025: $2.45Q2 2025: $2.42Q3 2025: $2.43Q4 2025: $2.36Q1 2026: $2.26Q2 2026: $2.45
Q3 2023: $2.39Q4 2023: $2.72Q1 2024: $2.79Q2 2024: $2.77Q3 2024: $2.82Q4 2024: $2.39Q1 2025: $2.45Q2 2025: $2.42Q3 2025: $2.43Q4 2025: $2.36Q1 2026: $2.26Q2 2026: $2.45
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$2.45+1.2%
Q1 2026$2.26-7.8%
Q4 2025$2.36-1.3%
Q3 2025$2.43-14%
Q2 2025$2.42-13%
Q1 2025$2.45-12%
Q4 2024$2.39-12%
Q3 2024$2.82+18%

BCH earned $2.45 per share over the past year, up 1.2% from the year before.

MS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.39+6.3%
Q3 2026$12.60+29%
Q2 2026$12.37+40%
Q1 2026$11.04+29%
Q4 2025$10.21+28%
Q3 2025$9.76+48%
Q2 2025$8.84+45%
Q1 2025$8.53+55%
Q4 2024$7.95+53%

MS has the edge over BCH on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BCH Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $1.1BQ4 2023: $1.7BQ1 2024: $1.1BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $990MQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $1BQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $979MQ4 2025: $30MQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.4B
Q3 2023: $1.1BQ4 2023: $1.7BQ1 2024: $1.1BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $990MQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $1BQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $979MQ4 2025: $30MQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$1.4B+42%
Q1 2026$1.1B+4.1%
Q4 2025$30.4M-98%
Q3 2025$978.6M-1.1%
Q2 2025$1B-4.8%
Q1 2025$1B-9.4%
Q4 2024$1.5B-14%
Q3 2024$989.7M-10%

BCH's revenue is recovering but still below its 2022 peak: $1.4B last quarter, up 42% from the same quarter a year ago.

MS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.3B+12%
Q2 2026$21.3B+27%
Q1 2026$20.6B+16%
Q4 2025$17.9B+10%
Q3 2025$18.2B+18%
Q2 2025$16.8B+12%
Q1 2025$17.7B+17%
Q4 2024$16.2B+26%

MS has the edge over BCH on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BCH Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $2.1BQ4 2023: −$173,226Q1 2024: −$107MQ2 2024: −$432MQ3 2024: −$399MQ4 2024: $496MQ1 2025: $1.3BQ2 2025: $450MQ3 2025: −$1.2BQ4 2025: −$833,655Q1 2026: −$196MQ2 2026: $156M
Q3 2023: $2.1BQ4 2023: −$173,226Q1 2024: −$107MQ2 2024: −$432MQ3 2024: −$399MQ4 2024: $496MQ1 2025: $1.3BQ2 2025: $450MQ3 2025: −$1.2BQ4 2025: −$833,655Q1 2026: −$196MQ2 2026: $156M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$156.2M-65%
Q1 2026-$195.9M-115%
Q4 2025-$833.7K-100%
Q3 2025-$1.2B-$814M
Q2 2025$449.7M+$881.4M
Q1 2025$1.3B+$1.4B
Q4 2024$495.5M+$495.7M
Q3 2024-$399.4M-119%

BCH's free cash flow was −$1.3B over the past year, against $1.8B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BCH.

MS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$46B-$42.7B
Q2 2026-$2.7B-123%
Q1 2026-$7.1B+$16.9B
Q4 2025-$2.4B-120%
Q3 2025-$3.3B+$14B
Q2 2025$11.8B+368%
Q1 2025-$24B-650%
Q4 2024$11.8B+$29.6B

MS has the edge over BCH on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BCH Total Shares

Q3 2023: 505MQ4 2023: 505MQ1 2024: 505MQ2 2024: 505MQ3 2024: 505MQ4 2024: 505MQ1 2025: 505MQ2 2025: 505MQ3 2025: 505MQ4 2025: 505MQ1 2026: 505MQ2 2026: 505M
Q3 2023: 505MQ4 2023: 505MQ1 2024: 505MQ2 2024: 505MQ3 2024: 505MQ4 2024: 505MQ1 2025: 505MQ2 2025: 505MQ3 2025: 505MQ4 2025: 505MQ1 2026: 505MQ2 2026: 505M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year0%--
3 years0%--
5 years0%-239K shares
Available history0%--

BCH has 505M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

MS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-3M shares
1 year-1.5%-24M shares
3 years-4.7%-77M shares
5 years-14%-246M shares
Available history-4.5%-74M shares

MS has the edge over BCH on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BCH Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 4.3xQ4 2023: 3.7xQ1 2024: 4.2xQ2 2024: 5.8xQ3 2024: 5.2xQ4 2024: 5.4xQ1 2025: 5.2xQ2 2025: 5.8xQ3 2025: 6.8xQ4 2025: 6.6xQ1 2026: 7.7xQ2 2026: 6.6x
Q3 2023: 4.3xQ4 2023: 3.7xQ1 2024: 4.2xQ2 2024: 5.8xQ3 2024: 5.2xQ4 2024: 5.4xQ1 2025: 5.2xQ2 2025: 5.8xQ3 2025: 6.8xQ4 2025: 6.6xQ1 2026: 7.7xQ2 2026: 6.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20266.6xHigh
Q1 20267.7xHigh
Q4 20256.6xHigh
Q3 20256.8xHigh
Q2 20255.8xHigh
Q1 20255.2xHigh
Q4 20245.4xHigh
Q3 20245.2xHigh

BCH has the edge over MS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.8xHigh
Q2 20267.3xHigh
Q1 20268.2xHigh
Q4 20258.6xHigh
Q3 20258.4xHigh
Q2 20258.7xHigh
Q1 20258.7xHigh
Q4 20247.9xHigh

MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

BCH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI47.4Neutral
Stochastic22.2Neutral

BCH's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 22 (neutral).

MS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.0Neutral
Stochastic18.7Oversold

MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

BCH PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBCHSector medianRelative
PE16x13x21% above
PE %886325 pts above

BCH is trading at 16x earnings, a 21% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x, though its earnings don't support one.

MS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMSSector medianRelative
PE15x13x15% above
PE %59634 pts below

MS has the edge over BCH on valuation relative to its sector.

BCH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$38.80.4% below
20 week MA$40.23.9% below
50 week MA$39.62.4% below
100 week MA$34.313% above
200 week MA$28.337% above

BCH has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 37% above its 200-week average.

MS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$186.51.5% above
20 week MA$203.36.9% below
50 week MA$191.91.4% below
100 week MA$164.915% above
200 week MA$129.346% above

MS has the edge over BCH on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BCH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$21.1$20.5-3.1%
2021$20.5$16.1-21%
2022$16.1$20.0+24%
2023$20.0$23.1+15%
2024$23.1$22.8-1.4%
2025$22.8$38.4+69%
2026 YTD$38.4$38.6+0.7%

BCH has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's up 0.7% so far in 2026.

MS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$51.1$68.1+33%
2021$68.1$99.3+46%
2022$99.3$86.1-13%
2023$86.1$93.3+8.3%
2024$93.3$126.8+36%
2025$126.8$181.9+43%
2026 YTD$181.9$189.2+4%

MS has the edge over BCH on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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