BCAL

Southern California Bancorp

57
Fundamentals38/ 100
Valuation68/ 100
Upside potential56/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

BCAL's fundamentals are weak, but it looks cheap: trading at 12x earnings, below its usual 16x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

COIN

Coinbase Global, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score COIN yet.

BCAL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
N/A
N/A

BCAL's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BCAL.

COIN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Under pressure
N/A
N/A

COIN's revenue and profitability are currently under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like COIN.

BCAL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE22x45x67x89x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE22x45x67x89x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$19.37-12%
Current12x$22.05โ€”
Forward12x$22.05โ€”
Fair16x$29.37+33%
Expensive34x$61.04+177%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BCAL's PE is in its fair range at 12.3x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 11.9x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

COIN PE Valuation

COIN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BCAL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

BCAL has the edge over COIN on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

COIN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect COIN's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

BCAL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+17%$25.78
Downside-13%$19.10

Calculated from the latest close: $22.05 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare BCAL and COIN's risk to reward.

COIN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $130.67 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare BCAL and COIN's risk to reward.

BCAL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.39Q1 2024: $1.21Q2 2024: $0.86Q3 2024: $-0.08Q4 2024: $0.22Q1 2025: $0.48Q2 2025: $0.90Q3 2025: $1.97Q4 2025: $1.93Q1 2026: $1.83Q2 2026: $1.84Q3 2026: $1.79Forward: $1.85
Q4 2023: $1.39Q1 2024: $1.21Q2 2024: $0.86Q3 2024: $-0.08Q4 2024: $0.22Q1 2025: $0.48Q2 2025: $0.90Q3 2025: $1.97Q4 2025: $1.93Q1 2026: $1.83Q2 2026: $1.84Q3 2026: $1.79Forward: $1.85
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.85+3.4%
Q3 2026$1.79-9.1%
Q2 2026$1.84+104%
Q1 2026$1.83+281%
Q4 2025$1.93+777%
Q3 2025$1.97+$2.05
Q2 2025$0.90+4.7%
Q1 2025$0.48-60%
Q4 2024$0.22-84%

BCAL has the edge over COIN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

COIN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.37Q1 2024: $5.11Q2 2024: $5.67Q3 2024: $5.96Q4 2024: $9.48Q1 2025: $5.32Q2 2025: $10.32Q3 2025: $11.54Q4 2025: $4.45Q1 2026: $2.72Q2 2026: $-3.78Q3 2026: $-2.77Forward: $1.36
Q4 2023: $0.37Q1 2024: $5.11Q2 2024: $5.67Q3 2024: $5.96Q4 2024: $9.48Q1 2025: $5.32Q2 2025: $10.32Q3 2025: $11.54Q4 2025: $4.45Q1 2026: $2.72Q2 2026: $-3.78Q3 2026: $-2.77Forward: $1.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.36โ€”
Q3 2026-$2.77-124%
Q2 2026-$3.78-137%
Q1 2026$2.72-49%
Q4 2025$4.45-53%
Q3 2025$11.54+94%
Q2 2025$10.32+82%
Q1 2025$5.32+4.1%
Q4 2024$9.48+2462%

COIN has swung to a loss: it lost $2.77 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

BCAL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $22MQ1 2024: $22MQ2 2024: $22MQ3 2024: $38MQ4 2024: $46MQ1 2025: $45MQ2 2025: $44MQ3 2025: $45MQ4 2025: $46MQ1 2026: $44MQ2 2026: $45MQ3 2026: $46M
Q4 2023: $22MQ1 2024: $22MQ2 2024: $22MQ3 2024: $38MQ4 2024: $46MQ1 2025: $45MQ2 2025: $44MQ3 2025: $45MQ4 2025: $46MQ1 2026: $44MQ2 2026: $45MQ3 2026: $46M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$46M+1.9%
Q2 2026$44.9M+1.4%
Q1 2026$44.2M-1.3%
Q4 2025$45.9M+0.8%
Q3 2025$45.2M+19%
Q2 2025$44.3M+100%
Q1 2025$44.8M+105%
Q4 2024$45.5M+103%

BCAL has the edge over COIN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

COIN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $954MQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $954MQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B-35%
Q2 2026$1.2B-19%
Q1 2026$1.4B-31%
Q4 2025$1.8B-22%
Q3 2025$1.9B+55%
Q2 2025$1.5B+3.3%
Q1 2025$2B+24%
Q4 2024$2.3B+138%

COIN's revenue has slid since its 2021 peak: $1.2B last quarter, down 35% from the same quarter a year ago.

BCAL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$8MQ1 2024: $8MQ2 2024: $171,000Q3 2024: $18MQ4 2024: $23MQ1 2025: $7MQ2 2025: $13MQ3 2025: $16MQ4 2025: $21MQ1 2026: $8MQ2 2026: $14MQ3 2026: $8M
Q4 2023: โˆ’$8MQ1 2024: $8MQ2 2024: $171,000Q3 2024: $18MQ4 2024: $23MQ1 2025: $7MQ2 2025: $13MQ3 2025: $16MQ4 2025: $21MQ1 2026: $8MQ2 2026: $14MQ3 2026: $8M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$7.9M-50%
Q2 2026$14.3M+6.8%
Q1 2026$8.3M+21%
Q4 2025$20.8M-11%
Q3 2025$15.9M-12%
Q2 2025$13.4M+7729%
Q1 2025$6.9M-14%
Q4 2024$23.5M+$32M

BCAL's free cash flow was $51M over the past year, down 14% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BCAL.

COIN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$5MQ1 2024: $411MQ2 2024: $484MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $965MQ1 2025: โˆ’$183MQ2 2025: $328MQ3 2025: โˆ’$785MQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $183MQ2 2026: $197MQ3 2026: $405M
Q4 2023: โˆ’$5MQ1 2024: $411MQ2 2024: $484MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $965MQ1 2025: โˆ’$183MQ2 2025: $328MQ3 2025: โˆ’$785MQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $183MQ2 2026: $197MQ3 2026: $405M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$405.5M+$1.2B
Q2 2026$197.3M-40%
Q1 2026$182.7M+$365.5M
Q4 2025$3.1B+218%
Q3 2025-$784.5M-213%
Q2 2025$328.5M-32%
Q1 2025-$182.7M-144%
Q4 2024$964.6M+$969.8M

COIN's free cash flow was $3.9B over the past year, more than ten times what it generated the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like COIN.

BCAL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 19MQ1 2024: 19MQ2 2024: 19MQ3 2024: 28MQ1 2025: 33MQ2 2025: 33MQ3 2025: 33MQ4 2025: 33MQ1 2026: 33MQ2 2026: 32MQ3 2026: 32M
Q4 2023: 19MQ1 2024: 19MQ2 2024: 19MQ3 2024: 28MQ1 2025: 33MQ2 2025: 33MQ3 2025: 33MQ4 2025: 33MQ1 2026: 33MQ2 2026: 32MQ3 2026: 32M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-12K shares
1 year-1.3%-428K shares
3 years+74%+13.8M shares

BCAL has 32M diluted shares, down 1.3% from a year ago, with $14M in buybacks over the past year.

COIN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 254MQ1 2024: 268MQ2 2024: 267MQ3 2024: 267MQ4 2024: 273MQ1 2025: 271MQ2 2025: 279MQ3 2025: 292MQ4 2025: 287MQ1 2026: 265MQ2 2026: 263MQ3 2026: 288M
Q4 2023: 254MQ1 2024: 268MQ2 2024: 267MQ3 2024: 267MQ4 2024: 273MQ1 2025: 271MQ2 2025: 279MQ3 2025: 292MQ4 2025: 287MQ1 2026: 265MQ2 2026: 263MQ3 2026: 288M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.3%+24.6M shares
1 year-1.4%-4M shares
3 years+21%+50.7M shares
5 years+15%+37.4M shares
Available history+330%+221M shares

COIN has the edge over BCAL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BCAL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.4xQ1 2024: -1.2xQ2 2024: -2.5xQ4 2024: -26.8xQ1 2025: -12.6xQ2 2025: -7.5xQ3 2025: -5.6xQ4 2025: -3.9xQ1 2026: -4.3xQ2 2026: -2.6xQ3 2026: -3.2x
Q4 2023: 0.4xQ1 2024: -1.2xQ2 2024: -2.5xQ4 2024: -26.8xQ1 2025: -12.6xQ2 2025: -7.5xQ3 2025: -5.6xQ4 2025: -3.9xQ1 2026: -4.3xQ2 2026: -2.6xQ3 2026: -3.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-3.2xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.6xNet Cash
Q1 2026-4.3xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.9xNet Cash
Q3 2025-5.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-7.5xNet Cash
Q1 2025-12.6xNet Cash
Q4 2024-26.8xNet Cash

BCAL has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BCAL.

COIN Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.4xQ3 2024: -2.3xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.6xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -2.3xQ1 2026: -2.8xQ2 2026: -2.5xQ3 2026: -4.4x
Q1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.4xQ3 2024: -2.3xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.6xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -2.3xQ1 2026: -2.8xQ2 2026: -2.5xQ3 2026: -4.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-4.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.3xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash

COIN has the edge over BCAL on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BCAL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.7Neutral
Stochastic61.6Neutral

BCAL's weekly RSI is 63 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 62 (neutral).

COIN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.3Neutral
Stochastic5.0Oversold

COIN's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

BCAL PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBCALSector medianRelative
PE12x13x5.4% below
PE %356328 pts below

BCAL is trading at 12x earnings, in line with the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

COIN PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricCOINSector medianRelative
PEN/A13xโ€”

COIN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BCAL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$21.71.5% above
20 week MA$21.52.6% above
50 week MA$19.911% above
100 week MA$17.923% above
200 week MA$16.534% above

BCAL has the edge over COIN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

COIN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$163.020% below
20 week MA$165.621% below
50 week MA$184.429% below
100 week MA$232.844% below
200 week MA$190.331% below

COIN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 31% below its 200-week average.

BCAL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$12.8$12.4-2.8%
2021$12.4$15.0+21%
2022$15.0$16.7+12%
2023$16.7$17.4+3.9%
2024$17.4$16.8-3.5%
2025$16.8$18.9+13%
2026 YTD$18.9$22.1+17%

BCAL has the edge over COIN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

COIN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$342.0$268.2-22%
2022$268.2$35.5-87%
2023$35.5$173.9+390%
2024$173.9$265.7+53%
2025$265.7$236.9-11%
2026 YTD$236.9$130.7-45%

COIN's yearly returns have swung widely, from +390% in 2023 to โˆ’87% in 2022. It's down 45% so far in 2026.

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