BCAL

Southern California Bancorp

57
Fundamentals38/ 100
Valuation68/ 100
Upside potential56/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

BCAL has the edge over BLK overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

BLK

BlackRock, Inc.

50
Fundamentals63/ 100
Valuation31/ 100
Upside potential50/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

BLK offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

BCAL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
N/A
N/A

BCAL's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BCAL.

BLK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

BLK's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BLK.

BCAL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE22x45x67x89x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE22x45x67x89x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$19.37-12%
Current12x$22.05—
Forward12x$22.05—
Fair16x$29.37+33%
Expensive34x$61.04+177%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BCAL has the edge over BLK in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

BLK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.8x16x23x31x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.8x16x23x31x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap19x$848-30%
Fair22x$973-20%
Expensive26x$1,149-5.5%
Current28x$1,217—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BLK's PE is in its expensive range at 28x.

BCAL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BCAL, with profitability improving.

BLK Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for BLK to show an outlook.

BCAL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+17%$25.78
Downside-13%$19.10

Calculated from the latest close: $22.05 on Nov 12.

BCAL has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BLK, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

BLK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+14%$1,392.25
Downside-15%$1,038.38

Calculated from the latest close: $1,216.61 on Nov 12.

BLK trails BCAL on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

BCAL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.39Q1 2024: $1.21Q2 2024: $0.86Q3 2024: $-0.08Q4 2024: $0.22Q1 2025: $0.48Q2 2025: $0.90Q3 2025: $1.97Q4 2025: $1.93Q1 2026: $1.83Q2 2026: $1.84Q3 2026: $1.79Forward: $1.85
Q4 2023: $1.39Q1 2024: $1.21Q2 2024: $0.86Q3 2024: $-0.08Q4 2024: $0.22Q1 2025: $0.48Q2 2025: $0.90Q3 2025: $1.97Q4 2025: $1.93Q1 2026: $1.83Q2 2026: $1.84Q3 2026: $1.79Forward: $1.85
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.85+3.4%
Q3 2026$1.79-9.1%
Q2 2026$1.84+104%
Q1 2026$1.83+281%
Q4 2025$1.93+777%
Q3 2025$1.97+$2.05
Q2 2025$0.90+4.7%
Q1 2025$0.48-60%
Q4 2024$0.22-84%

BCAL has the edge over BLK on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BLK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $36.51Q1 2024: $39.35Q2 2024: $40.28Q3 2024: $40.52Q4 2024: $42.53Q1 2025: $41.69Q2 2025: $41.89Q3 2025: $39.42Q4 2025: $35.31Q1 2026: $39.73Q2 2026: $41.73Q3 2026: $43.87
Q4 2023: $36.51Q1 2024: $39.35Q2 2024: $40.28Q3 2024: $40.52Q4 2024: $42.53Q1 2025: $41.69Q2 2025: $41.89Q3 2025: $39.42Q4 2025: $35.31Q1 2026: $39.73Q2 2026: $41.73Q3 2026: $43.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$43.87+11%
Q2 2026$41.73-0.4%
Q1 2026$39.73-4.7%
Q4 2025$35.31-17%
Q3 2025$39.42-2.7%
Q2 2025$41.89+4%
Q1 2025$41.69+5.9%
Q4 2024$42.53+16%

BLK earned $43.87 per share over the past year, up 11% from the year before.

BCAL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $22MQ1 2024: $22MQ2 2024: $22MQ3 2024: $38MQ4 2024: $46MQ1 2025: $45MQ2 2025: $44MQ3 2025: $45MQ4 2025: $46MQ1 2026: $44MQ2 2026: $45MQ3 2026: $46M
Q4 2023: $22MQ1 2024: $22MQ2 2024: $22MQ3 2024: $38MQ4 2024: $46MQ1 2025: $45MQ2 2025: $44MQ3 2025: $45MQ4 2025: $46MQ1 2026: $44MQ2 2026: $45MQ3 2026: $46M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$46M+1.9%
Q2 2026$44.9M+1.4%
Q1 2026$44.2M-1.3%
Q4 2025$45.9M+0.8%
Q3 2025$45.2M+19%
Q2 2025$44.3M+100%
Q1 2025$44.8M+105%
Q4 2024$45.5M+103%

BCAL's revenue has held roughly level: $46M last quarter, up 1.9% from the same quarter a year ago.

BLK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4.6BQ1 2024: $4.7BQ2 2024: $4.8BQ3 2024: $5.2BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $5.3BQ2 2025: $5.4BQ3 2025: $6.5BQ4 2025: $7BQ1 2026: $6.7BQ2 2026: $7.1BQ3 2026: $7.8B
Q4 2023: $4.6BQ1 2024: $4.7BQ2 2024: $4.8BQ3 2024: $5.2BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $5.3BQ2 2025: $5.4BQ3 2025: $6.5BQ4 2025: $7BQ1 2026: $6.7BQ2 2026: $7.1BQ3 2026: $7.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$7.8B+19%
Q2 2026$7.1B+31%
Q1 2026$6.7B+27%
Q4 2025$7B+23%
Q3 2025$6.5B+25%
Q2 2025$5.4B+13%
Q1 2025$5.3B+12%
Q4 2024$5.7B+23%

BLK has the edge over BCAL on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BCAL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$8MQ1 2024: $8MQ2 2024: $171,000Q3 2024: $18MQ4 2024: $23MQ1 2025: $7MQ2 2025: $13MQ3 2025: $16MQ4 2025: $21MQ1 2026: $8MQ2 2026: $14MQ3 2026: $8M
Q4 2023: −$8MQ1 2024: $8MQ2 2024: $171,000Q3 2024: $18MQ4 2024: $23MQ1 2025: $7MQ2 2025: $13MQ3 2025: $16MQ4 2025: $21MQ1 2026: $8MQ2 2026: $14MQ3 2026: $8M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$7.9M-50%
Q2 2026$14.3M+6.8%
Q1 2026$8.3M+21%
Q4 2025$20.8M-11%
Q3 2025$15.9M-12%
Q2 2025$13.4M+7729%
Q1 2025$6.9M-14%
Q4 2024$23.5M+$32M

BCAL's free cash flow was $51M over the past year, down 14% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BCAL.

BLK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: −$472MQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: −$1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $2.6B
Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: −$472MQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: −$1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $2.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.6B+95%
Q2 2026$1.1B-12%
Q1 2026-$1.1B+$120M
Q4 2025$2.1B-15%
Q2 2025$1.3B-6.1%
Q1 2025-$1.2B-$734M
Q4 2024$2.5B+35%
Q2 2024$1.4B+47%

BLK has the edge over BCAL on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BCAL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 19MQ1 2024: 19MQ2 2024: 19MQ3 2024: 28MQ1 2025: 33MQ2 2025: 33MQ3 2025: 33MQ4 2025: 33MQ1 2026: 33MQ2 2026: 32MQ3 2026: 32M
Q4 2023: 19MQ1 2024: 19MQ2 2024: 19MQ3 2024: 28MQ1 2025: 33MQ2 2025: 33MQ3 2025: 33MQ4 2025: 33MQ1 2026: 33MQ2 2026: 32MQ3 2026: 32M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-12K shares
1 year-1.3%-428K shares
3 years+74%+13.8M shares

BCAL has the edge over BLK on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BLK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 150MQ2 2024: 150MQ3 2024: 150MQ4 2024: 152MQ1 2025: 157MQ2 2025: 156MQ3 2025: 165MQ4 2025: 161MQ1 2026: 165MQ2 2026: 165MQ3 2026: 165M
Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 150MQ2 2024: 150MQ3 2024: 150MQ4 2024: 152MQ1 2025: 157MQ2 2025: 156MQ3 2025: 165MQ4 2025: 161MQ1 2026: 165MQ2 2026: 165MQ3 2026: 165M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-148K shares
1 year-0.4%-677K shares
3 years+9.3%+14M shares
5 years+6.2%+9.6M shares
Available history+4.4%+7M shares

BLK has 165M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

BCAL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.4xQ1 2024: -1.2xQ2 2024: -2.5xQ4 2024: -26.8xQ1 2025: -12.6xQ2 2025: -7.5xQ3 2025: -5.6xQ4 2025: -3.9xQ1 2026: -4.3xQ2 2026: -2.6xQ3 2026: -3.2x
Q4 2023: 0.4xQ1 2024: -1.2xQ2 2024: -2.5xQ4 2024: -26.8xQ1 2025: -12.6xQ2 2025: -7.5xQ3 2025: -5.6xQ4 2025: -3.9xQ1 2026: -4.3xQ2 2026: -2.6xQ3 2026: -3.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-3.2xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.6xNet Cash
Q1 2026-4.3xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.9xNet Cash
Q3 2025-5.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-7.5xNet Cash
Q1 2025-12.6xNet Cash
Q4 2024-26.8xNet Cash

BCAL has the edge over BLK on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BLK Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.0x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 20260.2xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.2xVery low
Q3 20250.3xVery low
Q2 20240.2xVery low
Q1 20240.3xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

BLK has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BLK.

BCAL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.7Neutral
Stochastic61.6Neutral

BCAL's weekly RSI is 63 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 62 (neutral).

BLK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI64.5Neutral
Stochastic79.0Neutral

BLK's weekly RSI is 64 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 79 (neutral).

BCAL PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBCALSector medianRelative
PE12x13x5.4% below
PE %356328 pts below

BCAL has the edge over BLK on valuation relative to its sector.

BLK PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBLKSector medianRelative
PE28x13x113% above
PE %976334 pts above

BLK is trading at 28x earnings, a 113% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

BCAL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$21.71.5% above
20 week MA$21.52.6% above
50 week MA$19.911% above
100 week MA$17.923% above
200 week MA$16.534% above

BCAL is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 34% above its 200-week average.

BLK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,128.07.9% above
20 week MA$1,108.99.7% above
50 week MA$1,071.614% above
100 week MA$1,051.116% above
200 week MA$914.133% above

BLK is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 33% above its 200-week average.

BCAL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$12.8$12.4-2.8%
2021$12.4$15.0+21%
2022$15.0$16.7+12%
2023$16.7$17.4+3.9%
2024$17.4$16.8-3.5%
2025$16.8$18.9+13%
2026 YTD$18.9$22.1+17%

BCAL has the edge over BLK on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

BLK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$503.0$707.2+41%
2021$707.2$913.9+29%
2022$913.9$703.9-23%
2023$703.9$811.8+15%
2024$811.8$1,044.2+29%
2025$1,044.2$1,088.1+4.2%
2026 YTD$1,088.1$1,216.6+12%

BLK has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 12% so far in 2026.

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