BC

Brunswick Corporation

60
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation25/ 100
Upside potential69/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

BC has the edge over TSLA overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

TSLA

Tesla, Inc.

52
Fundamentals48/ 100
Valuation27/ 100
Upside potential47/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

TSLA offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

BC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Stable

BC's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are stable.

TSLA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure
Strong

TSLA's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

BC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE27x53x80x107x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE27x53x80x107x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.7x$31.76-58%
Fair14x$45.28-41%
Forward14x$76.50—
Expensive21x$69.06-9.7%
Current23x$76.50—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BC has the edge over TSLA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

TSLA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap60x$54.70-86%
Fair174x$158-60%
Forward196x$397—
Expensive415x$378-4.9%
Current437x$397—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TSLA's PE is in its expensive range at 437x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 196x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

BC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

BC has the edge over TSLA on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

TSLA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TSLA, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

BC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$103.98
Downside-16%$64.38

Calculated from the latest close: $76.50 on Nov 12.

BC has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TSLA, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

TSLA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+30%$515.78
Downside-34%$263.05

Calculated from the latest close: $397.45 on Nov 12.

TSLA trails BC on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

BC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.96Q1 2024: $5.39Q2 2024: $4.97Q3 2024: $4.03Q4 2024: $1.93Q1 2025: $1.24Q2 2025: $0.65Q3 2025: $-3.61Q4 2025: $-2.08Q2 2026: $-2.06Q3 2026: $-1.27Q4 2026: $3.27Forward: $5.33
Q4 2023: $5.96Q1 2024: $5.39Q2 2024: $4.97Q3 2024: $4.03Q4 2024: $1.93Q1 2025: $1.24Q2 2025: $0.65Q3 2025: $-3.61Q4 2025: $-2.08Q2 2026: $-2.06Q3 2026: $-1.27Q4 2026: $3.27Forward: $5.33
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.33+63%
Q3 2026$3.27+$6.88
Q2 2026-$1.27-295%
Q1 2026-$2.06-266%
Q4 2025-$2.08-208%
Q3 2025-$3.61-190%
Q2 2025$0.65-87%
Q1 2025$1.24-77%
Q4 2024$1.93-68%

BC has the edge over TSLA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.03+123%
Q3 2026$0.91-39%
Q2 2026$1.08-38%
Q1 2026$1.09-40%
Q4 2025$1.08-47%
Q3 2025$1.50-59%
Q2 2025$1.73-51%
Q1 2025$1.82-53%
Q4 2024$2.04-53%

TSLA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.91 over the past year, against $4.30 in late 2023.

BC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $1.4BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.3BQ4 2024: $1.2BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $1.4BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ2 2026: $1.4BQ3 2026: $1.6BQ4 2026: $1.5B
Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $1.4BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.3BQ4 2024: $1.2BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $1.4BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ2 2026: $1.4BQ3 2026: $1.6BQ4 2026: $1.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.5B+6.9%
Q2 2026$1.6B+7.7%
Q1 2026$1.4B+13%
Q4 2025$1.3B+15%
Q3 2025$1.4B+6.8%
Q2 2025$1.4B+0.2%
Q1 2025$1.2B-10%
Q4 2024$1.2B-15%

BC has the edge over TSLA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$28B-0.2%
Q2 2026$28.2B+26%
Q1 2026$22.4B+16%
Q4 2025$24.9B-3.1%
Q3 2025$28.1B+12%
Q2 2025$22.5B-12%
Q1 2025$19.3B-9.2%
Q4 2024$25.7B+2.1%

TSLA's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $28B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

BC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $227MQ1 2024: −$207MQ2 2024: $164MQ3 2024: $31MQ4 2024: $276MQ1 2025: −$65MQ2 2025: $271MQ3 2025: $107MQ4 2025: $84MQ2 2026: −$121MQ3 2026: $272MQ4 2026: $136M
Q4 2023: $227MQ1 2024: −$207MQ2 2024: $164MQ3 2024: $31MQ4 2024: $276MQ1 2025: −$65MQ2 2025: $271MQ3 2025: $107MQ4 2025: $84MQ2 2026: −$121MQ3 2026: $272MQ4 2026: $136M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$136.4M+28%
Q2 2026$272.4M+0.4%
Q1 2026-$121.3M-$56.2M
Q4 2025$83.6M-70%
Q3 2025$106.5M+239%
Q2 2025$271.3M+66%
Q1 2025-$65.1M+$142.3M
Q4 2024$276.1M+22%

BC has the edge over TSLA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.5B-62%
Q2 2026-$1.1B-848%
Q1 2026$1.4B+117%
Q4 2025$1.4B-30%
Q3 2025$4B+46%
Q2 2025$146M-89%
Q1 2025$664M+$3.2B
Q4 2024$2B-1.6%

TSLA still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $3.3B over the past year.

BC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 71MQ1 2024: 69MQ2 2024: 68MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 67MQ1 2025: 66MQ2 2025: 66MQ3 2025: 66MQ4 2025: 66MQ2 2026: 66MQ3 2026: 66MQ4 2026: 65M
Q4 2023: 71MQ1 2024: 69MQ2 2024: 68MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 67MQ1 2025: 66MQ2 2025: 66MQ3 2025: 66MQ4 2025: 66MQ2 2026: 66MQ3 2026: 66MQ4 2026: 65M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.6%-400K shares
1 year-0.9%-600K shares
3 years-7%-4.9M shares
5 years-17%-13.2M shares
Available history-24%-20.5M shares

BC has the edge over TSLA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

TSLA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+1M shares
1 year+0.4%+15M shares
3 years+1.4%+48M shares
5 years+5.1%+172M shares
Available history+33%+886M shares

TSLA has 3.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

BC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.0xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.7xQ3 2024: 3.0xQ4 2024: 3.5xQ1 2025: 4.0xQ2 2025: 4.0xQ3 2025: 12.2xQ4 2025: 7.3xQ2 2026: 8.1xQ3 2026: 6.5xQ4 2026: 2.8x
Q4 2023: 2.0xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.7xQ3 2024: 3.0xQ4 2024: 3.5xQ1 2025: 4.0xQ2 2025: 4.0xQ3 2025: 12.2xQ4 2025: 7.3xQ2 2026: 8.1xQ3 2026: 6.5xQ4 2026: 2.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.8xModerate
Q2 20266.5xHigh
Q1 20268.1xHigh
Q4 20257.3xHigh
Q3 202512.2xHigh
Q2 20254.0xElevated
Q1 20254.0xHigh
Q4 20243.5xElevated

BC's net debt is about 2.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 12 years a year ago.

TSLA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.0xNet Cash

TSLA has the edge over BC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI53.3Neutral
Stochastic65.3Neutral

BC's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 65 (neutral).

TSLA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.3Neutral
Stochastic72.6Neutral

TSLA's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).

BC PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBCSector medianRelative
PE23x18x30% above
PE %874740 pts above

BC has the edge over TSLA on valuation relative to its sector.

TSLA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricTSLASector medianRelative
PE437x18x2,324% above
PE %844737 pts above

TSLA is trading at 437x earnings, a 2324% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

BC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$69.211% above
20 week MA$74.23.1% above
50 week MA$77.41.2% below
100 week MA$68.611% above
200 week MA$75.31.6% above

BC's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 1.6% above its 200-week average.

TSLA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$376.05.7% above
20 week MA$364.09.2% above
50 week MA$393.61% above
100 week MA$372.16.8% above
200 week MA$296.934% above

TSLA has the edge over BC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$60.8$81.5+34%
2021$81.5$96.9+19%
2022$96.9$71.4-26%
2023$71.4$96.8+35%
2024$96.8$64.7-33%
2025$64.7$76.1+18%
2026 YTD$76.1$76.5+0.5%

BC has the edge over TSLA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

TSLA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$28.7$220.6+669%
2021$220.6$355.7+61%
2022$355.7$123.2-65%
2023$123.2$248.5+102%
2024$248.5$431.7+74%
2025$431.7$475.2+10%
2026 YTD$475.2$397.5-16%

TSLA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +669% in 2020 to −65% in 2022. It's down 16% so far in 2026.

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