BC

Brunswick Corporation

60
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation25/ 100
Upside potential69/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

BC has the edge over RIVN overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

RIVN

Rivian Automotive, Inc.

53
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

RIVN offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

BC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Stable

BC's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are stable.

RIVN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

BC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE27x53x80x107x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE27x53x80x107x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.7x$31.76-58%
Fair14x$45.28-41%
Forward14x$76.50—
Expensive21x$69.06-9.7%
Current23x$76.50—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BC's PE is in its expensive range at 23x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

RIVN PE Valuation

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BC, with profitability improving.

RIVN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect RIVN's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

BC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$103.98
Downside-16%$64.38

Calculated from the latest close: $76.50 on Nov 12.

BC has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RIVN, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RIVN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$19.04
Downside-31%$8.82

Calculated from the latest close: $12.80 on Nov 12.

RIVN trails BC on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.96Q1 2024: $5.39Q2 2024: $4.97Q3 2024: $4.03Q4 2024: $1.93Q1 2025: $1.24Q2 2025: $0.65Q3 2025: $-3.61Q4 2025: $-2.08Q2 2026: $-2.06Q3 2026: $-1.27Q4 2026: $3.27Forward: $5.33
Q4 2023: $5.96Q1 2024: $5.39Q2 2024: $4.97Q3 2024: $4.03Q4 2024: $1.93Q1 2025: $1.24Q2 2025: $0.65Q3 2025: $-3.61Q4 2025: $-2.08Q2 2026: $-2.06Q3 2026: $-1.27Q4 2026: $3.27Forward: $5.33
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.33+63%
Q3 2026$3.27+$6.88
Q2 2026-$1.27-295%
Q1 2026-$2.06-266%
Q4 2025-$2.08-208%
Q3 2025-$3.61-190%
Q2 2025$0.65-87%
Q1 2025$1.24-77%
Q4 2024$1.93-68%

BC has the edge over RIVN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RIVN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.25+$0.83
Q2 2026-$2.58+$0.62
Q1 2026-$2.92+$0.77
Q4 2025-$3.07+$1.62
Q3 2025-$3.08+$2.52
Q2 2025-$3.20+$2.76
Q1 2025-$3.69+$2.08
Q4 2024-$4.69+$1.05

RIVN is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.25 per share over the past year, against $7.40 at its worst in late 2022.

BC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $1.4BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.3BQ4 2024: $1.2BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $1.4BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ2 2026: $1.4BQ3 2026: $1.6BQ4 2026: $1.5B
Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $1.4BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.3BQ4 2024: $1.2BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $1.4BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ2 2026: $1.4BQ3 2026: $1.6BQ4 2026: $1.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.5B+6.9%
Q2 2026$1.6B+7.7%
Q1 2026$1.4B+13%
Q4 2025$1.3B+15%
Q3 2025$1.4B+6.8%
Q2 2025$1.4B+0.2%
Q1 2025$1.2B-10%
Q4 2024$1.2B-15%

BC's revenue is recovering but still below its 2022 peak: $1.5B last quarter, up 6.9% from the same quarter a year ago.

RIVN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.2B+38%
Q2 2026$1.7B+27%
Q1 2026$1.4B+11%
Q4 2025$1.3B-26%
Q3 2025$1.6B+78%
Q2 2025$1.3B+13%
Q1 2025$1.2B+3%
Q4 2024$1.7B+32%

RIVN has the edge over BC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $227MQ1 2024: −$207MQ2 2024: $164MQ3 2024: $31MQ4 2024: $276MQ1 2025: −$65MQ2 2025: $271MQ3 2025: $107MQ4 2025: $84MQ2 2026: −$121MQ3 2026: $272MQ4 2026: $136M
Q4 2023: $227MQ1 2024: −$207MQ2 2024: $164MQ3 2024: $31MQ4 2024: $276MQ1 2025: −$65MQ2 2025: $271MQ3 2025: $107MQ4 2025: $84MQ2 2026: −$121MQ3 2026: $272MQ4 2026: $136M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$136.4M+28%
Q2 2026$272.4M+0.4%
Q1 2026-$121.3M-$56.2M
Q4 2025$83.6M-70%
Q3 2025$106.5M+239%
Q2 2025$271.3M+66%
Q1 2025-$65.1M+$142.3M
Q4 2024$276.1M+22%

BC has the edge over RIVN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RIVN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.1B-$703M
Q2 2026-$849M-$451M
Q1 2026-$1.1B-$549M
Q4 2025-$1.1B-234%
Q3 2025-$421M+$732M
Q2 2025-$398M+$639M
Q1 2025-$526M+$997M
Q4 2024$856M+$2.3B

RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.

BC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 71MQ1 2024: 69MQ2 2024: 68MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 67MQ1 2025: 66MQ2 2025: 66MQ3 2025: 66MQ4 2025: 66MQ2 2026: 66MQ3 2026: 66MQ4 2026: 65M
Q4 2023: 71MQ1 2024: 69MQ2 2024: 68MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 67MQ1 2025: 66MQ2 2025: 66MQ3 2025: 66MQ4 2025: 66MQ2 2026: 66MQ3 2026: 66MQ4 2026: 65M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.6%-400K shares
1 year-0.9%-600K shares
3 years-7%-4.9M shares
5 years-17%-13.2M shares
Available history-24%-20.5M shares

BC has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RIVN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.1%+121M shares
1 year+19%+226M shares
3 years+52%+494M shares

RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.

BC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.0xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.7xQ3 2024: 3.0xQ4 2024: 3.5xQ1 2025: 4.0xQ2 2025: 4.0xQ3 2025: 12.2xQ4 2025: 7.3xQ2 2026: 8.1xQ3 2026: 6.5xQ4 2026: 2.8x
Q4 2023: 2.0xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.7xQ3 2024: 3.0xQ4 2024: 3.5xQ1 2025: 4.0xQ2 2025: 4.0xQ3 2025: 12.2xQ4 2025: 7.3xQ2 2026: 8.1xQ3 2026: 6.5xQ4 2026: 2.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.8xModerate
Q2 20266.5xHigh
Q1 20268.1xHigh
Q4 20257.3xHigh
Q3 202512.2xHigh
Q2 20254.0xElevated
Q1 20254.0xHigh
Q4 20243.5xElevated

BC's net debt is about 2.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 12 years a year ago.

RIVN Net Leverage

RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

BC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI53.3Neutral
Stochastic65.3Neutral

BC's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 65 (neutral).

RIVN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic25.6Neutral

RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

BC PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBCSector medianRelative
PE23x18x30% above
PE %874740 pts above

BC is trading at 23x earnings, a 30% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$69.211% above
20 week MA$74.23.1% above
50 week MA$77.41.2% below
100 week MA$68.611% above
200 week MA$75.31.6% above

BC has the edge over RIVN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RIVN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$13.33.9% below
20 week MA$15.115% below
50 week MA$15.919% below
100 week MA$14.713% below
200 week MA$15.115% below

RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.

BC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$60.8$81.5+34%
2021$81.5$96.9+19%
2022$96.9$71.4-26%
2023$71.4$96.8+35%
2024$96.8$64.7-33%
2025$64.7$76.1+18%
2026 YTD$76.1$76.5+0.5%

BC has the edge over RIVN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RIVN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$130.0$96.8-25%
2022$96.8$19.1-80%
2023$19.1$23.5+23%
2024$23.5$13.7-42%
2025$13.7$20.9+53%
2026 YTD$20.9$12.8-39%

RIVN has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 39% so far in 2026.

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