BC

Brunswick Corporation

60
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation25/ 100
Upside potential69/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

BC has a slight edge over NKE overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

NKE

NIKE, Inc.

60
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation80/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

NKE offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

BC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Stable

BC's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are stable.

NKE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Strong

NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.

BC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE27x53x80x107x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE27x53x80x107x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.7x$31.76-58%
Fair14x$45.28-41%
Forward14x$76.50—
Expensive21x$69.06-9.7%
Current23x$76.50—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BC's PE is in its expensive range at 23x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

NKE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$37.76—
Cheap23x$47.70+26%
Forward30x$37.76—
Fair33x$68.16+80%
Expensive47x$97.86+159%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NKE has the edge over BC in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

BC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

BC has the edge over NKE on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.

NKE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Stable
Decline
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

BC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$103.98
Downside-16%$64.38

Calculated from the latest close: $76.50 on Nov 12.

BC has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NKE, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

NKE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$47.36
Downside-18%$30.83

Calculated from the latest close: $37.76 on Nov 12.

NKE trails BC on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

BC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.96Q1 2024: $5.39Q2 2024: $4.97Q3 2024: $4.03Q4 2024: $1.93Q1 2025: $1.24Q2 2025: $0.65Q3 2025: $-3.61Q4 2025: $-2.08Q2 2026: $-2.06Q3 2026: $-1.27Q4 2026: $3.27Forward: $5.33
Q4 2023: $5.96Q1 2024: $5.39Q2 2024: $4.97Q3 2024: $4.03Q4 2024: $1.93Q1 2025: $1.24Q2 2025: $0.65Q3 2025: $-3.61Q4 2025: $-2.08Q2 2026: $-2.06Q3 2026: $-1.27Q4 2026: $3.27Forward: $5.33
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.33+63%
Q3 2026$3.27+$6.88
Q2 2026-$1.27-295%
Q1 2026-$2.06-266%
Q4 2025-$2.08-208%
Q3 2025-$3.61-190%
Q2 2025$0.65-87%
Q1 2025$1.24-77%
Q4 2024$1.93-68%

BC has returned to profit: it earned $3.27 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

NKE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.27-39%
Q3 2026$2.09+7.2%
Q2 2026$2.10-2.8%
Q1 2026$1.51-50%
Q4 2025$1.70-48%
Q3 2025$1.95-44%
Q2 2025$2.16-42%
Q1 2025$3.01-11%
Q4 2024$3.24-5.3%

NKE's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.09 over the past year, against $3.82 in late 2021.

BC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $1.4BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.3BQ4 2024: $1.2BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $1.4BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ2 2026: $1.4BQ3 2026: $1.6BQ4 2026: $1.5B
Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $1.4BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.3BQ4 2024: $1.2BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $1.4BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ2 2026: $1.4BQ3 2026: $1.6BQ4 2026: $1.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.5B+6.9%
Q2 2026$1.6B+7.7%
Q1 2026$1.4B+13%
Q4 2025$1.3B+15%
Q3 2025$1.4B+6.8%
Q2 2025$1.4B+0.2%
Q1 2025$1.2B-10%
Q4 2024$1.2B-15%

BC has the edge over NKE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$11.2B-4.3%
Q2 2026$11B-1.1%
Q1 2026$11.3B+0.1%
Q4 2025$12.4B+0.6%
Q3 2025$11.7B+1.1%
Q2 2025$11.1B-12%
Q1 2025$11.3B-9.3%
Q4 2024$12.4B-7.7%

NKE's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $11.2B last quarter, down 4.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

BC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $227MQ1 2024: −$207MQ2 2024: $164MQ3 2024: $31MQ4 2024: $276MQ1 2025: −$65MQ2 2025: $271MQ3 2025: $107MQ4 2025: $84MQ2 2026: −$121MQ3 2026: $272MQ4 2026: $136M
Q4 2023: $227MQ1 2024: −$207MQ2 2024: $164MQ3 2024: $31MQ4 2024: $276MQ1 2025: −$65MQ2 2025: $271MQ3 2025: $107MQ4 2025: $84MQ2 2026: −$121MQ3 2026: $272MQ4 2026: $136M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$136.4M+28%
Q2 2026$272.4M+0.4%
Q1 2026-$121.3M-$56.2M
Q4 2025$83.6M-70%
Q3 2025$106.5M+239%
Q2 2025$271.3M+66%
Q1 2025-$65.1M+$142.3M
Q4 2024$276.1M+22%

BC has the edge over NKE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$64M-527%
Q2 2026$1.5B+313%
Q1 2026$284M-83%
Q4 2025$386M-58%
Q3 2025$15M-95%
Q2 2025$363M-85%
Q1 2025$1.7B-11%
Q4 2024$920M-65%

NKE usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$64M, but it generated $2.1B over the past year.

BC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 71MQ1 2024: 69MQ2 2024: 68MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 67MQ1 2025: 66MQ2 2025: 66MQ3 2025: 66MQ4 2025: 66MQ2 2026: 66MQ3 2026: 66MQ4 2026: 65M
Q4 2023: 71MQ1 2024: 69MQ2 2024: 68MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 67MQ1 2025: 66MQ2 2025: 66MQ3 2025: 66MQ4 2025: 66MQ2 2026: 66MQ3 2026: 66MQ4 2026: 65M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.6%-400K shares
1 year-0.9%-600K shares
3 years-7%-4.9M shares
5 years-17%-13.2M shares
Available history-24%-20.5M shares

BC has the edge over NKE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NKE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+3.2M shares
1 year+0.4%+5.2M shares
3 years-3.8%-59.1M shares
5 years-8.4%-135M shares
Available history-6.9%-110M shares

NKE has 1.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

BC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.0xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.7xQ3 2024: 3.0xQ4 2024: 3.5xQ1 2025: 4.0xQ2 2025: 4.0xQ3 2025: 12.2xQ4 2025: 7.3xQ2 2026: 8.1xQ3 2026: 6.5xQ4 2026: 2.8x
Q4 2023: 2.0xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.7xQ3 2024: 3.0xQ4 2024: 3.5xQ1 2025: 4.0xQ2 2025: 4.0xQ3 2025: 12.2xQ4 2025: 7.3xQ2 2026: 8.1xQ3 2026: 6.5xQ4 2026: 2.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.8xModerate
Q2 20266.5xHigh
Q1 20268.1xHigh
Q4 20257.3xHigh
Q3 202512.2xHigh
Q2 20254.0xElevated
Q1 20254.0xHigh
Q4 20243.5xElevated

BC's net debt is about 2.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 12 years a year ago.

NKE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.2xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20250.1xVery low
Q4 20240.2xVery low
Q3 20240.1xVery low
Q2 2024-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.0xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

NKE has the edge over BC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI53.3Neutral
Stochastic65.3Neutral

BC's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 65 (neutral).

NKE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.0Neutral
Stochastic57.5Neutral

NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).

BC PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBCSector medianRelative
PE23x18x30% above
PE %874740 pts above

BC is trading at 23x earnings, a 30% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricNKESector medianRelative
PE18x18x0.3% above
PE %24745 pts below

NKE has the edge over BC on valuation relative to its sector.

BC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$69.211% above
20 week MA$74.23.1% above
50 week MA$77.41.2% below
100 week MA$68.611% above
200 week MA$75.31.6% above

BC has the edge over NKE on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NKE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$36.72.8% above
20 week MA$39.23.6% below
50 week MA$48.021% below
100 week MA$58.435% below
200 week MA$79.252% below

NKE has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 52% below its 200-week average.

BC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$60.8$81.5+34%
2021$81.5$96.9+19%
2022$96.9$71.4-26%
2023$71.4$96.8+35%
2024$96.8$64.7-33%
2025$64.7$76.1+18%
2026 YTD$76.1$76.5+0.5%

BC has the edge over NKE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NKE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$101.6$141.6+39%
2021$141.6$165.7+17%
2022$165.7$116.3-30%
2023$116.3$108.6-6.6%
2024$108.6$76.4-30%
2025$76.4$60.9-20%
2026 YTD$60.9$37.8-38%

NKE has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 38% so far in 2026.

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