BBW

Build-A-Bear Workshop, Inc.

55
Fundamentals46/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential22/ 100

BBW has a slight edge over RIVN overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

RIVN

Rivian Automotive, Inc.

53
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

RIVN offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

BBW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Strong

BBW's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.

RIVN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

BBW PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE33x66x98x131x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE33x66x98x131x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.4x$25.92-8.8%
Current7.1x$28.41—
Forward7.7x$28.41—
Fair8.2x$33.17+17%
Expensive12x$49.33+74%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BBW's PE is in its cheap range at 7.0x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 7.7x, in its fair range.

RIVN PE Valuation

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BBW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Deteriorating
Growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect BBW's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

RIVN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

RIVN has the edge over BBW on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

BBW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+41%$40.06
Downside-22%$22.12

Calculated from the latest close: $28.41 on Nov 12.

BBW has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RIVN, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RIVN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$19.04
Downside-31%$8.82

Calculated from the latest close: $12.80 on Nov 12.

RIVN trails BBW on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BBW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.45Q1 2024: $3.65Q2 2024: $3.49Q3 2024: $3.56Q4 2024: $3.76Q1 2025: $3.80Q2 2025: $4.15Q3 2025: $4.45Q4 2025: $4.34Q1 2026: $3.99Q2 2026: $4.27Q3 2026: $4.03Forward: $3.70
Q4 2023: $3.45Q1 2024: $3.65Q2 2024: $3.49Q3 2024: $3.56Q4 2024: $3.76Q1 2025: $3.80Q2 2025: $4.15Q3 2025: $4.45Q4 2025: $4.34Q1 2026: $3.99Q2 2026: $4.27Q3 2026: $4.03Forward: $3.70
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.70-8.3%
Q3 2026$4.03-9.4%
Q2 2026$4.27+2.9%
Q1 2026$3.99+5%
Q4 2025$4.34+15%
Q3 2025$4.45+25%
Q2 2025$4.15+19%
Q1 2025$3.80+4.1%
Q4 2024$3.76+9%

BBW has the edge over RIVN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RIVN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.25+$0.83
Q2 2026-$2.58+$0.62
Q1 2026-$2.92+$0.77
Q4 2025-$3.07+$1.62
Q3 2025-$3.08+$2.52
Q2 2025-$3.20+$2.76
Q1 2025-$3.69+$2.08
Q4 2024-$4.69+$1.05

RIVN is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.25 per share over the past year, against $7.40 at its worst in late 2022.

BBW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $108MQ1 2024: $149MQ2 2024: $115MQ3 2024: $112MQ4 2024: $119MQ1 2025: $150MQ2 2025: $128MQ3 2025: $124MQ4 2025: $123MQ1 2026: $155MQ2 2026: $125MQ3 2026: $115M
Q4 2023: $108MQ1 2024: $149MQ2 2024: $115MQ3 2024: $112MQ4 2024: $119MQ1 2025: $150MQ2 2025: $128MQ3 2025: $124MQ4 2025: $123MQ1 2026: $155MQ2 2026: $125MQ3 2026: $115M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$115.3M-7.2%
Q2 2026$125.3M-2.4%
Q1 2026$154.5M+2.7%
Q4 2025$122.7M+2.7%
Q3 2025$124.2M+11%
Q2 2025$128.4M+12%
Q1 2025$150.4M+0.8%
Q4 2024$119.4M+11%

BBW's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $115M last quarter, down 7.2% from the same quarter a year ago.

RIVN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.2B+38%
Q2 2026$1.7B+27%
Q1 2026$1.4B+11%
Q4 2025$1.3B-26%
Q3 2025$1.6B+78%
Q2 2025$1.3B+13%
Q1 2025$1.2B+3%
Q4 2024$1.7B+32%

RIVN has the edge over BBW on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BBW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $24MQ2 2024: $8MQ3 2024: −$1MQ4 2024: $11MQ1 2025: $10MQ2 2025: $25MQ3 2025: $849,000Q4 2025: $2MQ1 2026: $12MQ2 2026: $14MQ3 2026: −$4M
Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $24MQ2 2024: $8MQ3 2024: −$1MQ4 2024: $11MQ1 2025: $10MQ2 2025: $25MQ3 2025: $849,000Q4 2025: $2MQ1 2026: $12MQ2 2026: $14MQ3 2026: −$4M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$3.6M-528%
Q2 2026$14.4M-42%
Q1 2026$12.1M+24%
Q4 2025$1.7M-85%
Q3 2025$849K+$2.1M
Q2 2025$24.9M+214%
Q1 2025$9.8M-60%
Q4 2024$11.3M+$15.4M

BBW has the edge over RIVN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RIVN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.1B-$703M
Q2 2026-$849M-$451M
Q1 2026-$1.1B-$549M
Q4 2025-$1.1B-234%
Q3 2025-$421M+$732M
Q2 2025-$398M+$639M
Q1 2025-$526M+$997M
Q4 2024$856M+$2.3B

RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.

BBW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 14MQ1 2024: 14MQ2 2024: 14MQ3 2024: 14MQ4 2024: 13MQ1 2025: 14MQ2 2025: 13MQ3 2025: 13MQ4 2025: 13MQ1 2026: 13MQ2 2026: 13MQ3 2026: 12M
Q4 2023: 14MQ1 2024: 14MQ2 2024: 14MQ3 2024: 14MQ4 2024: 13MQ1 2025: 14MQ2 2025: 13MQ3 2025: 13MQ4 2025: 13MQ1 2026: 13MQ2 2026: 13MQ3 2026: 12M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.6%-207K shares
1 year-5.4%-708K shares
3 years-14%-2.1M shares
5 years-23%-3.7M shares
Available history-16%-2.3M shares

BBW has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RIVN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.1%+121M shares
1 year+19%+226M shares
3 years+52%+494M shares

RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.

BBW Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.3xQ1 2024: -0.6xQ2 2024: -0.5xQ3 2024: -0.3xQ4 2024: -0.4xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.5xQ3 2025: -0.4xQ4 2025: -0.3xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.2x
Q4 2023: -0.3xQ1 2024: -0.6xQ2 2024: -0.5xQ3 2024: -0.3xQ4 2024: -0.4xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.5xQ3 2025: -0.4xQ4 2025: -0.3xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.4xNet Cash

BBW has more cash than debt.

RIVN Net Leverage

RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

BBW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.9Neutral
Stochastic31.7Neutral

BBW's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 32 (neutral).

RIVN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic25.6Neutral

RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

BBW PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBBWSector medianRelative
PE7.1x18x61% below
PE %264721 pts below

BBW is trading at 7.0x earnings, a 61% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BBW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$26.47.5% above
20 week MA$30.26% below
50 week MA$39.628% below
100 week MA$44.035% below
200 week MA$35.319% below

BBW has the edge over RIVN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RIVN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$13.33.9% below
20 week MA$15.115% below
50 week MA$15.919% below
100 week MA$14.713% below
200 week MA$15.115% below

RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.

BBW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$3.22$3.96+23%
2021$3.96$17.3+337%
2022$17.3$23.2+34%
2023$23.2$23.0-1%
2024$23.0$46.7+103%
2025$46.7$62.3+34%
2026 YTD$62.3$28.4-54%

BBW is down 54% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in five of the previous six years.

RIVN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$130.0$96.8-25%
2022$96.8$19.1-80%
2023$19.1$23.5+23%
2024$23.5$13.7-42%
2025$13.7$20.9+53%
2026 YTD$20.9$12.8-39%

RIVN has the edge over BBW on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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