BBVA

Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.A.

There isn't enough reported data to score BBVA yet.

MS

Morgan Stanley

62
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

MS's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 16% and earnings per share grew 29%. At 15x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 14x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

BBVA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Healthy
N/A
N/A

BBVA's profitability is currently healthy. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BBVA.

MS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.

BBVA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE12x24x36x49x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE12x24x36x49x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.1x$14.04-46%
Fair10x$20.11-22%
Current13x$25.92—
Expensive39x$77.80+200%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BBVA has the edge over MS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

MS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$134-29%
Fair14x$178-5.7%
Forward14x$189—
Current15x$189—
Expensive18x$223+18%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MS's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.

BBVA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BBVA, with profitability improving.

MS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MS, with profitability improving.

BBVA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $25.92 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare BBVA and MS's risk to reward.

MS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$243.85
Downside-11%$168.44

Calculated from the latest close: $189.17 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare BBVA and MS's risk to reward.

BBVA Earnings Per Share

Q2 2023: $1.32Q4 2023: $1.47Q1 2024: $1.52Q2 2024: $1.68Q4 2024: $1.88Q1 2025: $1.98Q2 2025: $1.98Q4 2025: $1.98
Q2 2023: $1.32Q4 2023: $1.47Q1 2024: $1.52Q2 2024: $1.68Q4 2024: $1.88Q1 2025: $1.98Q2 2025: $1.98Q4 2025: $1.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q4 2025$1.98+5.3%
Q2 2025$1.98+18%
Q1 2025$1.98+30%
Q4 2024$1.88+28%
Q2 2024$1.68+27%
Q4 2018$0.84+58%
Q4 2017$0.53+47%

BBVA's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $1.98 over the past year, up 18% from the year before, and higher year over year for nine quarters in a row.

MS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.39+6.3%
Q3 2026$12.60+29%
Q2 2026$12.37+40%
Q1 2026$11.04+29%
Q4 2025$10.21+28%
Q3 2025$9.76+48%
Q2 2025$8.84+45%
Q1 2025$8.53+55%
Q4 2024$7.95+53%

MS has the edge over BBVA in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.

BBVA Quarterly Revenue

Q1 2022: $9.1BQ2 2022: $10.8BQ4 2022: --Q1 2023: $7.7BQ2 2023: $15.1BQ4 2023: --Q1 2024: $9.1BQ2 2024: $10.2BQ4 2024: --Q1 2025: $10.4BQ2 2025: $9.7BQ4 2025: $159M
Q1 2022: $9.1BQ2 2022: $10.8BQ4 2022: --Q1 2023: $7.7BQ2 2023: $15.1BQ4 2023: --Q1 2024: $9.1BQ2 2024: $10.2BQ4 2024: --Q1 2025: $10.4BQ2 2025: $9.7BQ4 2025: $159M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2025$9.7B-5.6%
Q1 2025$10.4B+13%
Q2 2024$10.2B-32%
Q1 2024$9.1B+18%
Q2 2023$15.1B+39%
Q1 2023$7.7B-15%
Q2 2022$10.8B+25%
Q1 2022$9.1B+8.8%

BBVA's revenue has slid since its 2023 peak: $159M last quarter, down 98% from the same quarter a year ago.

MS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.3B+12%
Q2 2026$21.3B+27%
Q1 2026$20.6B+16%
Q4 2025$17.9B+10%
Q3 2025$18.2B+18%
Q2 2025$16.8B+12%
Q1 2025$17.7B+17%
Q4 2024$16.2B+26%

MS has the edge over BBVA in the latest year-over-year revenue comparison.

BBVA Free Cash Flow

Q1 2022: $3.8BQ2 2022: $17BQ4 2022: $3.2BQ1 2023: $3.7BQ2 2023: −$12.9BQ4 2023: $6.8BQ1 2024: −$667MQ2 2024: −$30.2BQ4 2024: $9.2BQ1 2025: −$168MQ2 2025: −$7.2BQ4 2025: $22.9B
Q1 2022: $3.8BQ2 2022: $17BQ4 2022: $3.2BQ1 2023: $3.7BQ2 2023: −$12.9BQ4 2023: $6.8BQ1 2024: −$667MQ2 2024: −$30.2BQ4 2024: $9.2BQ1 2025: −$168MQ2 2025: −$7.2BQ4 2025: $22.9B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q4 2025$22.9B+149%
Q2 2025-$7.2B+$23B
Q1 2025-$167.7M+$498.8M
Q4 2024$9.2B+35%
Q2 2024-$30.2B-$17.3B
Q1 2024-$666.5M-118%
Q4 2023$6.8B+113%
Q2 2023-$12.9B-176%

BBVA's free cash flow was $24.7B over the past year, against −$36.9B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BBVA.

MS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$46B-$42.7B
Q2 2026-$2.7B-123%
Q1 2026-$7.1B+$16.9B
Q4 2025-$2.4B-120%
Q3 2025-$3.3B+$14B
Q2 2025$11.8B+368%
Q1 2025-$24B-650%
Q4 2024$11.8B+$29.6B

MS's free cash flow was −$58.3B over the past year, against −$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

BBVA Total Shares

Q1 2022: 6.4BQ4 2022: 6BQ1 2023: 6BQ2 2023: 6BQ4 2023: 5.8BQ1 2024: 5.8BQ2 2024: 5.8BQ4 2024: 5.8BQ1 2025: 5.8BQ2 2025: 5.8BQ4 2025: 5.8B
Q1 2022: 6.4BQ4 2022: 6BQ1 2023: 6BQ2 2023: 6BQ4 2023: 5.8BQ1 2024: 5.8BQ2 2024: 5.8BQ4 2024: 5.8BQ1 2025: 5.8BQ2 2025: 5.8BQ4 2025: 5.8B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-7M shares
1 year+0.2%+9.7M shares
3 years-19%-1.4B shares
5 years-12%-797M shares

BBVA has 5.8B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

MS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-3M shares
1 year-1.5%-24M shares
3 years-4.7%-77M shares
5 years-14%-246M shares
Available history-4.5%-74M shares

MS has the edge over BBVA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BBVA Net Leverage

Q1 2022: -1.0xQ2 2022: 2.6xQ4 2022: -2.2xQ1 2023: 0.4xQ2 2023: 7.0xQ4 2023: -0.5xQ1 2024: -2.2xQ2 2024: 5.9xQ4 2024: 1.1xQ1 2025: 1.2xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: 2.5x
Q1 2022: -1.0xQ2 2022: 2.6xQ4 2022: -2.2xQ1 2023: 0.4xQ2 2023: 7.0xQ4 2023: -0.5xQ1 2024: -2.2xQ2 2024: 5.9xQ4 2024: 1.1xQ1 2025: 1.2xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: 2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q4 20252.5xModerate
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 20251.2xHealthy
Q4 20241.1xHealthy
Q2 20245.9xHigh
Q1 2024-2.2xNet Cash
Q4 2023-0.5xNet Cash
Q2 20237.0xHigh

BBVA's net debt is about 2.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 5.9 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BBVA.

MS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.8xHigh
Q2 20267.3xHigh
Q1 20268.2xHigh
Q4 20258.6xHigh
Q3 20258.4xHigh
Q2 20258.7xHigh
Q1 20258.7xHigh
Q4 20247.9xHigh

MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

BBVA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.9Neutral
Stochastic24.3Neutral

BBVA's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 24 (neutral).

MS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.0Neutral
Stochastic18.7Oversold

MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

BBVA PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBBVASector medianRelative
PE13x13x0.7% above
PE %70637 pts above

BBVA has the edge over MS on valuation relative to its sector.

MS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMSSector medianRelative
PE15x13x15% above
PE %59634 pts below

MS is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

BBVA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$25.90.2% above
20 week MA$27.04% below
50 week MA$24.55.7% above
100 week MA$20.030% above
200 week MA$14.579% above

BBVA has the edge over MS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$186.51.5% above
20 week MA$203.36.9% below
50 week MA$191.91.4% below
100 week MA$164.915% above
200 week MA$129.346% above

MS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 46% above its 200-week average.

BBVA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$5.59$4.96-11%
2021$4.96$5.82+17%
2022$5.82$6.01+3.3%
2023$6.01$9.11+52%
2024$9.11$9.69+6.4%
2025$9.69$23.2+139%
2026 YTD$23.2$25.9+12%

BBVA has the edge over MS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

MS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$51.1$68.1+33%
2021$68.1$99.3+46%
2022$99.3$86.1-13%
2023$86.1$93.3+8.3%
2024$93.3$126.8+36%
2025$126.8$181.9+43%
2026 YTD$181.9$189.2+4%

MS has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 4% so far in 2026.

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