BBDC
Barings BDC, Inc.
BBDC trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.
MS
Morgan Stanley
MS has the edge over BBDC overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
BBDC Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
BBDC's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BBDC.
MS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.
BBDC PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 7.3x | $7.69 | -11% |
| Fair | 7.9x | $8.34 | -3.1% |
| Current | 8.1x | $8.60 | — |
| Forward | 8.4x | $8.60 | — |
| Expensive | 20x | $20.87 | +143% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BBDC has the edge over MS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
MS PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 11x | $134 | -29% |
| Fair | 14x | $178 | -5.7% |
| Forward | 14x | $189 | — |
| Current | 15x | $189 | — |
| Expensive | 18x | $223 | +18% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MS's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.
BBDC Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Weakening | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect BBDC's profitability to weaken, with its earnings and revenue holding steady.
MS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
MS has the edge over BBDC on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.
BBDC Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.02 | -3.8% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.06 | -6.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.12 | +1.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.12 | -8.2% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.12 | -10% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.13 | -12% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.10 | -15% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.22 | +0.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.25 | +5.9% |
BBDC's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.06 over the past year, against $2.84 in early 2021.
MS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $13.39 | +6.3% |
| Q3 2026 | $12.60 | +29% |
| Q2 2026 | $12.37 | +40% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.04 | +29% |
| Q4 2025 | $10.21 | +28% |
| Q3 2025 | $9.76 | +48% |
| Q2 2025 | $8.84 | +45% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.53 | +55% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.95 | +53% |
MS has the edge over BBDC on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
BBDC Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2022 | $56.3M | +127% |
| Q2 2022 | $55.6M | +41% |
| Q1 2022 | $43.8M | +43% |
| Q4 2021 | $23.4M | -28% |
| Q3 2021 | $24.8M | +52% |
| Q2 2021 | $39.5M | +145% |
| Q1 2021 | $30.6M | +64% |
| Q4 2020 | $32.5M | +76% |
BBDC has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is up 127% for BBDC versus up 12% for MS.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2022 | 77% | +19 points |
| Q2 2022 | 81% | +6.6 points |
| Q1 2022 | 70% | -0.6 points |
| Q4 2021 | 49% | -21 points |
| Q3 2021 | 58% | -14 points |
| Q2 2021 | 74% | +5.1 points |
| Q1 2021 | 71% | -0.5 points |
| Q4 2020 | 70% | -4.1 points |
BBDC's operating margin was 77% last quarter, up 19 points from the same quarter a year ago.
MS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $20.3B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $21.3B | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.6B | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $17.9B | +10% |
| Q3 2025 | $18.2B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $16.8B | +12% |
| Q1 2025 | $17.7B | +17% |
| Q4 2024 | $16.2B | +26% |
MS's revenue has grown year over year for 14 quarters in a row: $20.3B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 32% | -1.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 34% | +6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 34% | +2.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 32% | +2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 33% | +5.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 28% | +0.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 31% | +2.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 30% | +14 points |
MS's operating margin was 32% last quarter, down 1.2 points from the same quarter a year ago.
BBDC Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$24.8M | -251% |
| Q2 2026 | $15.8M | +$68.5M |
| Q1 2026 | $68M | +$75.7M |
| Q4 2025 | $204.5M | +$249.7M |
| Q3 2025 | $16.5M | -32% |
| Q2 2025 | -$52.7M | -138% |
| Q1 2025 | -$7.8M | -258% |
| Q4 2024 | -$45.2M | -132% |
BBDC has the edge over MS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
MS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$46B | -$42.7B |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.7B | -123% |
| Q1 2026 | -$7.1B | +$16.9B |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.4B | -120% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.3B | +$14B |
| Q2 2025 | $11.8B | +368% |
| Q1 2025 | -$24B | -650% |
| Q4 2024 | $11.8B | +$29.6B |
MS's free cash flow was −$58.3B over the past year, against −$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.
BBDC Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | -- |
| 1 year | -0.4% | -452K shares |
| 3 years | -1.7% | -1.8M shares |
| 5 years | +60% | +39.4M shares |
| Available history | +113% | +55.6M shares |
BBDC has 105M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | $4M |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | $888,000 |
| Q1 2025 | $1.5M |
| Q4 2024 | $1.5M |
BBDC spent $4M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 5.3% from the year before.
MS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.2% | -3M shares |
| 1 year | -1.5% | -24M shares |
| 3 years | -4.7% | -77M shares |
| 5 years | -14% | -246M shares |
| Available history | -4.5% | -74M shares |
MS has the edge over BBDC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
BBDC Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2022 | 9.5x | High |
| Q2 2022 | 13.2x | High |
| Q1 2022 | 15.4x | High |
| Q4 2021 | 16.8x | High |
| Q3 2021 | 11.3x | High |
| Q2 2021 | 11.8x | High |
| Q1 2021 | 14.1x | High |
| Q4 2020 | 14.5x | High |
BBDC's net debt is about 9.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 11 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BBDC.
MS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 7.8x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 7.3x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 8.2x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 8.6x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 8.4x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 8.7x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 8.7x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 7.9x | High |
MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.
BBDC Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 48.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 33.2 | Neutral |
BBDC's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 33 (neutral).
MS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 45.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 18.7 | Oversold |
MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).
BBDC PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | BBDC | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 8.1x | 13x | 38% below |
| PE % | 60 | 63 | 3 pts below |
BBDC has the edge over MS on valuation relative to its sector.
MS PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | MS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15x | 13x | 15% above |
| PE % | 59 | 63 | 4 pts below |
MS is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
BBDC Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $8.56 | 0.5% above |
| 20 week MA | $8.72 | 1.4% below |
| 50 week MA | $8.71 | 1.3% below |
| 100 week MA | $9.01 | 4.6% below |
| 200 week MA | $9.01 | 4.6% below |
BBDC has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 4.6% below its 200-week average.
MS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $186.5 | 1.5% above |
| 20 week MA | $203.3 | 6.9% below |
| 50 week MA | $191.9 | 1.4% below |
| 100 week MA | $164.9 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $129.3 | 46% above |
MS has the edge over BBDC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
BBDC Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $10.3 | $9.10 | -12% |
| 2021 | $9.10 | $11.0 | +21% |
| 2022 | $11.0 | $8.25 | -25% |
| 2023 | $8.25 | $8.58 | +4% |
| 2024 | $8.58 | $9.52 | +11% |
| 2025 | $9.52 | $8.97 | -5.8% |
| 2026 YTD | $8.97 | $8.60 | -4.1% |
BBDC has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 4.1% so far in 2026.
MS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $51.1 | $68.1 | +33% |
| 2021 | $68.1 | $99.3 | +46% |
| 2022 | $99.3 | $86.1 | -13% |
| 2023 | $86.1 | $93.3 | +8.3% |
| 2024 | $93.3 | $126.8 | +36% |
| 2025 | $126.8 | $181.9 | +43% |
| 2026 YTD | $181.9 | $189.2 | +4% |
MS has the edge over BBDC on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.