BBDC
Barings BDC, Inc.
BBDC offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
JPM
JPMorgan Chase & Co.
JPM has the edge over BBDC overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
BBDC Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
BBDC's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BBDC.
JPM Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
JPM's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like JPM.
BBDC PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 7.3x | $7.69 | -11% |
| Fair | 7.9x | $8.34 | -3.1% |
| Current | 8.1x | $8.60 | — |
| Forward | 8.4x | $8.60 | — |
| Expensive | 20x | $20.87 | +143% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BBDC's PE is in its fair range at 8.1x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 8.4x, in its expensive range.
JPM PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 9.7x | $231 | -33% |
| Fair | 12x | $287 | -16% |
| Current | 14x | $343 | — |
| Forward | 14x | $343 | — |
| Expensive | 15x | $361 | +5.2% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
JPM has the edge over BBDC in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
BBDC Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Weakening | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect BBDC's profitability to weaken, with its earnings and revenue holding steady.
JPM Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
JPM has the edge over BBDC on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.
BBDC Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.02 | -3.8% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.06 | -6.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.12 | +1.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.12 | -8.2% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.12 | -10% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.13 | -12% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.10 | -15% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.22 | +0.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.25 | +5.9% |
BBDC's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.06 over the past year, against $2.84 in early 2021.
JPM Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $24.99 | +4.8% |
| Q3 2026 | $23.85 | +18% |
| Q2 2026 | $23.35 | +20% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.89 | +2.5% |
| Q4 2025 | $20.02 | +1.4% |
| Q3 2025 | $20.20 | +12% |
| Q2 2025 | $19.50 | +8.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.38 | +23% |
| Q4 2024 | $19.75 | +22% |
JPM has the edge over BBDC on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
BBDC Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2022 | $56.3M | +127% |
| Q2 2022 | $55.6M | +41% |
| Q1 2022 | $43.8M | +43% |
| Q4 2021 | $23.4M | -28% |
| Q3 2021 | $24.8M | +52% |
| Q2 2021 | $39.5M | +145% |
| Q1 2021 | $30.6M | +64% |
| Q4 2020 | $32.5M | +76% |
BBDC has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is up 127% for BBDC versus up 8.1% for JPM.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2022 | 77% | +19 points |
| Q2 2022 | 81% | +6.6 points |
| Q1 2022 | 70% | -0.6 points |
| Q4 2021 | 49% | -21 points |
| Q3 2021 | 58% | -14 points |
| Q2 2021 | 74% | +5.1 points |
| Q1 2021 | 71% | -0.5 points |
| Q4 2020 | 70% | -4.1 points |
BBDC's operating margin was 77% last quarter, up 19 points from the same quarter a year ago.
JPM Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $50.2B | +8.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $57.3B | +28% |
| Q1 2026 | $49.8B | +10% |
| Q4 2025 | $45.8B | +7.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $46.4B | +8.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $44.9B | -11% |
| Q1 2025 | $45.3B | +8.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $42.8B | +11% |
JPM's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $50.2B last quarter, up 8.1% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 40% | -0.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 48% | +7.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 41% | +0.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 37% | -3.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 40% | +0.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 41% | -6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 41% | -0.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 41% | +11 points |
JPM's operating margin was 40% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
BBDC Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$24.8M | -251% |
| Q2 2026 | $15.8M | +$68.5M |
| Q1 2026 | $68M | +$75.7M |
| Q4 2025 | $204.5M | +$249.7M |
| Q3 2025 | $16.5M | -32% |
| Q2 2025 | -$52.7M | -138% |
| Q1 2025 | -$7.8M | -258% |
| Q4 2024 | -$45.2M | -132% |
BBDC has the edge over JPM on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
JPM Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $33.2B | +$78.4B |
| Q2 2026 | -$25.3B | -186% |
| Q1 2026 | -$211.8B | +$40.1B |
| Q4 2025 | $119.7B | -19% |
| Q3 2025 | -$45.2B | +$28.9B |
| Q2 2025 | $29.5B | -23% |
| Q1 2025 | -$251.8B | -$97.7B |
| Q4 2024 | $147.8B | +145% |
JPM's free cash flow was −$84.2B over the past year, against −$120B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.
BBDC Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | -- |
| 1 year | -0.4% | -452K shares |
| 3 years | -1.7% | -1.8M shares |
| 5 years | +60% | +39.4M shares |
| Available history | +113% | +55.6M shares |
BBDC has 105M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | $4M |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | $888,000 |
| Q1 2025 | $1.5M |
| Q4 2024 | $1.5M |
BBDC spent $4M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 5.3% from the year before.
JPM Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.4% | -11.2M shares |
| 1 year | -3.1% | -84.6M shares |
| 3 years | -8.5% | -249M shares |
| 5 years | -11% | -322M shares |
| Available history | -17% | -547M shares |
JPM has the edge over BBDC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.1B |
| Q2 2026 | $6.8B |
| Q1 2026 | $8.3B |
| Q4 2025 | $8.3B |
| Q3 2025 | $8.3B |
| Q2 2025 | $7.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $7.5B |
| Q4 2024 | $4.3B |
JPM spent $24.5B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 11% from the year before.
BBDC Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2022 | 9.5x | High |
| Q2 2022 | 13.2x | High |
| Q1 2022 | 15.4x | High |
| Q4 2021 | 16.8x | High |
| Q3 2021 | 11.3x | High |
| Q2 2021 | 11.8x | High |
| Q1 2021 | 14.1x | High |
| Q4 2020 | 14.5x | High |
BBDC's net debt is about 9.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 11 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BBDC.
JPM Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.4x | Very low |
JPM's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.
BBDC Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 48.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 33.2 | Neutral |
BBDC's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 33 (neutral).
JPM Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 54.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 31.5 | Neutral |
JPM's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).
BBDC PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | BBDC | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 8.1x | 13x | 38% below |
| PE % | 60 | 63 | 3 pts below |
BBDC has the edge over JPM on valuation relative to its sector.
JPM PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | JPM | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14x | 13x | 10% above |
| PE % | 76 | 63 | 13 pts above |
JPM is trading at 14x earnings, a 10% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
BBDC Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $8.56 | 0.5% above |
| 20 week MA | $8.72 | 1.4% below |
| 50 week MA | $8.71 | 1.3% below |
| 100 week MA | $9.01 | 4.6% below |
| 200 week MA | $9.01 | 4.6% below |
BBDC has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 4.6% below its 200-week average.
JPM Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $336.8 | 1.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $345.3 | 0.7% below |
| 50 week MA | $323.2 | 6.1% above |
| 100 week MA | $298.9 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $236.6 | 45% above |
JPM has the edge over BBDC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
BBDC Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $10.3 | $9.10 | -12% |
| 2021 | $9.10 | $11.0 | +21% |
| 2022 | $11.0 | $8.25 | -25% |
| 2023 | $8.25 | $8.58 | +4% |
| 2024 | $8.58 | $9.52 | +11% |
| 2025 | $9.52 | $8.97 | -5.8% |
| 2026 YTD | $8.97 | $8.60 | -4.1% |
BBDC has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 4.1% so far in 2026.
JPM Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $139.1 | $124.5 | -11% |
| 2021 | $124.5 | $157.3 | +26% |
| 2022 | $157.3 | $131.3 | -17% |
| 2023 | $131.3 | $170.1 | +30% |
| 2024 | $170.1 | $241.2 | +42% |
| 2025 | $241.2 | $327.9 | +36% |
| 2026 YTD | $327.9 | $342.8 | +4.5% |
JPM has the edge over BBDC on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.