BBDC

Barings BDC, Inc.

48
Fundamentals49/ 100
Valuation41/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

BBDC has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

HOOD

Robinhood Markets, Inc.

59
Fundamentals57/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential74/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

HOOD has the edge over BBDC overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

BBDC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
N/A
N/A

BBDC's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BBDC.

HOOD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
N/A
N/A

HOOD's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HOOD.

BBDC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE27x55x82x109x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE27x55x82x109x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.3x$7.69-11%
Fair7.9x$8.34-3.1%
Current8.1x$8.60—
Forward8.4x$8.60—
Expensive20x$20.87+143%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BBDC's PE is in its fair range at 8.1x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 8.4x, in its expensive range.

HOOD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE43x87x130x174x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE43x87x130x174x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward30x$81.35—
Cheap37x$78.84-3.1%
Current38x$81.35—
Fair51x$110+35%
Expensive74x$160+96%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HOOD has the edge over BBDC in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

BBDC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Stable
Stable
Weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect BBDC's profitability to weaken, with its earnings and revenue holding steady.

HOOD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

HOOD has the edge over BBDC on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.

BBDC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+16%$9.97
Downside-14%$7.42

Calculated from the latest close: $8.60 on Nov 12.

BBDC trails HOOD on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

HOOD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+81%$147.58
Downside-29%$57.66

Calculated from the latest close: $81.35 on Nov 12.

HOOD has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BBDC, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BBDC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.18Q1 2024: $1.21Q2 2024: $1.30Q3 2024: $1.28Q4 2024: $1.25Q1 2025: $1.22Q2 2025: $1.10Q3 2025: $1.13Q4 2025: $1.12Q1 2026: $1.12Q2 2026: $1.12Q3 2026: $1.06Forward: $1.02
Q4 2023: $1.18Q1 2024: $1.21Q2 2024: $1.30Q3 2024: $1.28Q4 2024: $1.25Q1 2025: $1.22Q2 2025: $1.10Q3 2025: $1.13Q4 2025: $1.12Q1 2026: $1.12Q2 2026: $1.12Q3 2026: $1.06Forward: $1.02
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.02-3.8%
Q3 2026$1.06-6.2%
Q2 2026$1.12+1.8%
Q1 2026$1.12-8.2%
Q4 2025$1.12-10%
Q3 2025$1.13-12%
Q2 2025$1.10-15%
Q1 2025$1.22+0.8%
Q4 2024$1.25+5.9%

BBDC's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.06 over the past year, against $2.84 in early 2021.

HOOD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.61Q1 2024: $0.14Q2 2024: $0.32Q3 2024: $0.58Q4 2024: $1.56Q1 2025: $1.75Q2 2025: $1.96Q3 2025: $2.40Q4 2025: $2.05Q1 2026: $2.06Q2 2026: $2.26Q3 2026: $2.16Forward: $2.72
Q4 2023: $-0.61Q1 2024: $0.14Q2 2024: $0.32Q3 2024: $0.58Q4 2024: $1.56Q1 2025: $1.75Q2 2025: $1.96Q3 2025: $2.40Q4 2025: $2.05Q1 2026: $2.06Q2 2026: $2.26Q3 2026: $2.16Forward: $2.72
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.72+26%
Q3 2026$2.16-10%
Q2 2026$2.26+15%
Q1 2026$2.06+18%
Q4 2025$2.05+31%
Q3 2025$2.40+314%
Q2 2025$1.96+513%
Q1 2025$1.75+1150%
Q4 2024$1.56+$2.17

HOOD has the edge over BBDC on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BBDC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2022$56.3M+127%
Q2 2022$55.6M+41%
Q1 2022$43.8M+43%
Q4 2021$23.4M-28%
Q3 2021$24.8M+52%
Q2 2021$39.5M+145%
Q1 2021$30.6M+64%
Q4 2020$32.5M+76%

BBDC has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is up 127% for BBDC versus up 12% for HOOD.

HOOD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $471MQ1 2024: $618MQ2 2024: $682MQ3 2024: $637MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $927MQ2 2025: $989MQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $471MQ1 2024: $618MQ2 2024: $682MQ3 2024: $637MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $927MQ2 2025: $989MQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+12%
Q2 2026$1.3B+32%
Q1 2026$1.1B+15%
Q4 2025$1.3B+27%
Q3 2025$1.3B+100%
Q2 2025$989M+45%
Q1 2025$927M+50%
Q4 2024$1B+115%

HOOD's revenue has grown year over year for 16 quarters in a row: $1.4B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

BBDC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $139MQ1 2024: $5MQ2 2024: $138MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: −$45MQ1 2025: −$8MQ2 2025: −$53MQ3 2025: $16MQ4 2025: $205MQ1 2026: $68MQ2 2026: $16MQ3 2026: −$25M
Q4 2023: $139MQ1 2024: $5MQ2 2024: $138MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: −$45MQ1 2025: −$8MQ2 2025: −$53MQ3 2025: $16MQ4 2025: $205MQ1 2026: $68MQ2 2026: $16MQ3 2026: −$25M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$24.8M-251%
Q2 2026$15.8M+$68.5M
Q1 2026$68M+$75.7M
Q4 2025$204.5M+$249.7M
Q3 2025$16.5M-32%
Q2 2025-$52.7M-138%
Q1 2025-$7.8M-258%
Q4 2024-$45.2M-132%

BBDC's free cash flow was $263M over the past year, against −$89M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BBDC.

HOOD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $960MQ1 2024: −$623MQ2 2024: $54MQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: −$1.4BQ1 2025: $642MQ2 2025: $3.5BQ3 2025: −$1.6BQ4 2025: −$937MQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $720MQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $960MQ1 2024: −$623MQ2 2024: $54MQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: −$1.4BQ1 2025: $642MQ2 2025: $3.5BQ3 2025: −$1.6BQ4 2025: −$937MQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $720MQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B+$2.8B
Q2 2026$720M-79%
Q1 2026$2B+217%
Q4 2025-$937M+$463M
Q3 2025-$1.6B-187%
Q2 2025$3.5B+6398%
Q1 2025$642M+$1.3B
Q4 2024-$1.4B-246%

HOOD has the edge over BBDC on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BBDC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 107MQ1 2024: 106MQ2 2024: 106MQ3 2024: 106MQ4 2024: 106MQ1 2025: 105MQ2 2025: 105MQ3 2025: 105MQ4 2025: 105MQ1 2026: 105MQ2 2026: 105MQ3 2026: 105M
Q4 2023: 107MQ1 2024: 106MQ2 2024: 106MQ3 2024: 106MQ4 2024: 106MQ1 2025: 105MQ2 2025: 105MQ3 2025: 105MQ4 2025: 105MQ1 2026: 105MQ2 2026: 105MQ3 2026: 105M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year-0.4%-452K shares
3 years-1.7%-1.8M shares
5 years+60%+39.4M shares
Available history+113%+55.6M shares

BBDC has 105M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

HOOD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 891MQ1 2024: 896MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 906MQ4 2024: 906MQ1 2025: 909MQ2 2025: 909MQ3 2025: 918MQ4 2025: 919MQ1 2026: 915MQ2 2026: 912MQ3 2026: 911M
Q4 2023: 891MQ1 2024: 896MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 906MQ4 2024: 906MQ1 2025: 909MQ2 2025: 909MQ3 2025: 918MQ4 2025: 919MQ1 2026: 915MQ2 2026: 912MQ3 2026: 911M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-1M shares
1 year-0.8%-6.9M shares
3 years+1.8%+15.9M shares
5 years+292%+679M shares
Available history+7.2%+60.8M shares

HOOD has the edge over BBDC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BBDC Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20229.5xHigh
Q2 202213.2xHigh
Q1 202215.4xHigh
Q4 202116.8xHigh
Q3 202111.3xHigh
Q2 202111.8xHigh
Q1 202114.1xHigh
Q4 202014.5xHigh

BBDC's net debt is about 9.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 11 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BBDC.

HOOD Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -22.9xQ2 2024: -12.0xQ3 2024: -7.6xQ4 2024: -3.8xQ1 2025: -3.3xQ2 2025: -2.6xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -1.3x
Q1 2024: -22.9xQ2 2024: -12.0xQ3 2024: -7.6xQ4 2024: -3.8xQ1 2025: -3.3xQ2 2025: -2.6xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -1.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.9xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-3.8xNet Cash

HOOD has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HOOD.

BBDC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.0Neutral
Stochastic33.2Neutral

BBDC's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 33 (neutral).

HOOD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.8Neutral
Stochastic9.5Oversold

HOOD's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

BBDC PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBBDCSector medianRelative
PE8.1x13x38% below
PE %60633 pts below

BBDC has the edge over HOOD on valuation relative to its sector.

HOOD PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricHOODSector medianRelative
PE38x13x189% above
PE %226644 pts below

HOOD is trading at 38x earnings, a 189% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

BBDC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$8.560.5% above
20 week MA$8.721.4% below
50 week MA$8.711.3% below
100 week MA$9.014.6% below
200 week MA$9.014.6% below

BBDC has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 4.6% below its 200-week average.

HOOD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$97.817% below
20 week MA$102.220% below
50 week MA$95.415% below
100 week MA$88.58.1% below
200 week MA$52.156% above

HOOD has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 56% above its 200-week average.

BBDC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.3$9.10-12%
2021$9.10$11.0+21%
2022$11.0$8.25-25%
2023$8.25$8.58+4%
2024$8.58$9.52+11%
2025$9.52$8.97-5.8%
2026 YTD$8.97$8.60-4.1%

BBDC has the edge over HOOD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

HOOD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$35.2$18.9-46%
2022$18.9$7.95-58%
2023$7.95$12.7+60%
2024$12.7$39.0+206%
2025$39.0$118.1+203%
2026 YTD$118.1$81.4-31%

HOOD's yearly returns have swung widely, from +206% in 2024 to −58% in 2022. It's down 31% so far in 2026.

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