BBDC

Barings BDC, Inc.

48
Fundamentals49/ 100
Valuation41/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

BBDC trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

GS

The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.

64
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

GS has the edge over BBDC overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

BBDC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
N/A
N/A

BBDC's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BBDC.

GS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
N/A
N/A

GS's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GS.

BBDC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE27x55x82x109x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE27x55x82x109x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.3x$7.69-11%
Fair7.9x$8.34-3.1%
Current8.1x$8.60—
Forward8.4x$8.60—
Expensive20x$20.87+143%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BBDC has the edge over GS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

GS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.6x$528-42%
Current13x$914—
Forward13x$914—
Fair14x$940+2.9%
Expensive17x$1,214+33%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GS's PE is 13x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

BBDC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Stable
Stable
Weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect BBDC's profitability to weaken, with its earnings and revenue holding steady.

GS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

GS has the edge over BBDC on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

BBDC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+16%$9.97
Downside-14%$7.42

Calculated from the latest close: $8.60 on Nov 12.

BBDC trails GS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

GS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$1,085.26
Downside-14%$781.84

Calculated from the latest close: $913.60 on Nov 12.

GS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BBDC, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BBDC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.18Q1 2024: $1.21Q2 2024: $1.30Q3 2024: $1.28Q4 2024: $1.25Q1 2025: $1.22Q2 2025: $1.10Q3 2025: $1.13Q4 2025: $1.12Q1 2026: $1.12Q2 2026: $1.12Q3 2026: $1.06Forward: $1.02
Q4 2023: $1.18Q1 2024: $1.21Q2 2024: $1.30Q3 2024: $1.28Q4 2024: $1.25Q1 2025: $1.22Q2 2025: $1.10Q3 2025: $1.13Q4 2025: $1.12Q1 2026: $1.12Q2 2026: $1.12Q3 2026: $1.06Forward: $1.02
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.02-3.8%
Q3 2026$1.06-6.2%
Q2 2026$1.12+1.8%
Q1 2026$1.12-8.2%
Q4 2025$1.12-10%
Q3 2025$1.13-12%
Q2 2025$1.10-15%
Q1 2025$1.22+0.8%
Q4 2024$1.25+5.9%

BBDC's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.06 over the past year, against $2.84 in early 2021.

GS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$72.35+4%
Q3 2026$69.58+41%
Q2 2026$64.82+43%
Q1 2026$54.75+27%
Q4 2025$51.32+27%
Q3 2025$49.22+44%
Q2 2025$45.37+45%
Q1 2025$43.08+68%
Q4 2024$40.54+77%

GS has the edge over BBDC on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BBDC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2022$56.3M+127%
Q2 2022$55.6M+41%
Q1 2022$43.8M+43%
Q4 2021$23.4M-28%
Q3 2021$24.8M+52%
Q2 2021$39.5M+145%
Q1 2021$30.6M+64%
Q4 2020$32.5M+76%

BBDC has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is up 127% for BBDC versus up 23% for GS.

GS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$18.7B+23%
Q2 2026$20.3B+39%
Q1 2026$17.2B+14%
Q4 2025$13.5B-3%
Q3 2025$15.2B+20%
Q2 2025$14.6B+15%
Q1 2025$15.1B+6%
Q4 2024$13.9B+23%

GS's revenue is growing: $18.7B last quarter, up 23% from the same quarter a year ago.

BBDC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $139MQ1 2024: $5MQ2 2024: $138MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: −$45MQ1 2025: −$8MQ2 2025: −$53MQ3 2025: $16MQ4 2025: $205MQ1 2026: $68MQ2 2026: $16MQ3 2026: −$25M
Q4 2023: $139MQ1 2024: $5MQ2 2024: $138MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: −$45MQ1 2025: −$8MQ2 2025: −$53MQ3 2025: $16MQ4 2025: $205MQ1 2026: $68MQ2 2026: $16MQ3 2026: −$25M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$24.8M-251%
Q2 2026$15.8M+$68.5M
Q1 2026$68M+$75.7M
Q4 2025$204.5M+$249.7M
Q3 2025$16.5M-32%
Q2 2025-$52.7M-138%
Q1 2025-$7.8M-258%
Q4 2024-$45.2M-132%

BBDC has the edge over GS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

GS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+72%
Q2 2026$5.6B+7.8%
Q1 2026-$32.4B+$5.3B
Q4 2025-$16.8B-136%
Q3 2025$2.1B+$40.6B
Q2 2025$5.2B-6.8%
Q1 2025-$37.7B-$9.2B
Q4 2024$46.2B+$75.1B

GS's free cash flow was −$40B over the past year, against $15.8B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GS.

BBDC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 107MQ1 2024: 106MQ2 2024: 106MQ3 2024: 106MQ4 2024: 106MQ1 2025: 105MQ2 2025: 105MQ3 2025: 105MQ4 2025: 105MQ1 2026: 105MQ2 2026: 105MQ3 2026: 105M
Q4 2023: 107MQ1 2024: 106MQ2 2024: 106MQ3 2024: 106MQ4 2024: 106MQ1 2025: 105MQ2 2025: 105MQ3 2025: 105MQ4 2025: 105MQ1 2026: 105MQ2 2026: 105MQ3 2026: 105M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year-0.4%-452K shares
3 years-1.7%-1.8M shares
5 years+60%+39.4M shares
Available history+113%+55.6M shares

BBDC has 105M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

GS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-3.8M shares
1 year-4.4%-13.9M shares
3 years-12%-42.8M shares
5 years-15%-52.8M shares
Available history-20%-74.4M shares

GS has the edge over BBDC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BBDC Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20229.5xHigh
Q2 202213.2xHigh
Q1 202215.4xHigh
Q4 202116.8xHigh
Q3 202111.3xHigh
Q2 202111.8xHigh
Q1 202114.1xHigh
Q4 202014.5xHigh

BBDC's net debt is about 9.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 11 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BBDC.

GS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-5.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-6.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-6.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-4.7xNet Cash

GS has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GS.

BBDC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.0Neutral
Stochastic33.2Neutral

BBDC's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 33 (neutral).

GS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.5Neutral
Stochastic16.3Oversold

GS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

BBDC PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBBDCSector medianRelative
PE8.1x13x38% below
PE %60633 pts below

BBDC has the edge over GS on valuation relative to its sector.

GS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricGSSector medianRelative
PE13x13x0.8% above
PE %466317 pts below

GS is trading at 13x earnings, in line with the Financial Services sector's median of 13x, though its earnings don't support one.

BBDC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$8.560.5% above
20 week MA$8.721.4% below
50 week MA$8.711.3% below
100 week MA$9.014.6% below
200 week MA$9.014.6% below

BBDC has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 4.6% below its 200-week average.

GS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$895.52% above
20 week MA$977.46.5% below
50 week MA$945.43.4% below
100 week MA$804.514% above
200 week MA$602.752% above

GS has the edge over BBDC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BBDC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.3$9.10-12%
2021$9.10$11.0+21%
2022$11.0$8.25-25%
2023$8.25$8.58+4%
2024$8.58$9.52+11%
2025$9.52$8.97-5.8%
2026 YTD$8.97$8.60-4.1%

BBDC has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 4.1% so far in 2026.

GS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$230.7$256.2+11%
2021$256.2$385.0+50%
2022$385.0$345.5-10%
2023$345.5$385.8+12%
2024$385.8$576.2+49%
2025$576.2$907.0+57%
2026 YTD$907.0$913.6+0.7%

GS has the edge over BBDC on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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