BBDC

Barings BDC, Inc.

48
Fundamentals49/ 100
Valuation41/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

BBDC's fundamentals are mixed: revenue grew 41%, but earnings per share fell 6.2%. At 8.1x earnings, it's trading right at its usual valuation. Analysts expect earnings to hold roughly steady.

COIN

Coinbase Global, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score COIN yet.

BBDC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
N/A
N/A

BBDC's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BBDC.

COIN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Under pressure
N/A
N/A

COIN's revenue and profitability are currently under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like COIN.

BBDC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE27x55x82x109x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE27x55x82x109x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.3x$7.69-11%
Fair7.9x$8.34-3.1%
Current8.1x$8.60โ€”
Forward8.4x$8.60โ€”
Expensive20x$20.87+143%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BBDC's PE is in its fair range at 8.1x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 8.4x, in its expensive range.

COIN PE Valuation

COIN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BBDC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Stable
Stable
Weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect BBDC's profitability to weaken, with its earnings and revenue holding steady.

COIN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

COIN has the edge over BBDC on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.

BBDC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+16%$9.97
Downside-14%$7.42

Calculated from the latest close: $8.60 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare BBDC and COIN's risk to reward.

COIN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $130.67 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare BBDC and COIN's risk to reward.

BBDC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.18Q1 2024: $1.21Q2 2024: $1.30Q3 2024: $1.28Q4 2024: $1.25Q1 2025: $1.22Q2 2025: $1.10Q3 2025: $1.13Q4 2025: $1.12Q1 2026: $1.12Q2 2026: $1.12Q3 2026: $1.06Forward: $1.02
Q4 2023: $1.18Q1 2024: $1.21Q2 2024: $1.30Q3 2024: $1.28Q4 2024: $1.25Q1 2025: $1.22Q2 2025: $1.10Q3 2025: $1.13Q4 2025: $1.12Q1 2026: $1.12Q2 2026: $1.12Q3 2026: $1.06Forward: $1.02
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.02-3.8%
Q3 2026$1.06-6.2%
Q2 2026$1.12+1.8%
Q1 2026$1.12-8.2%
Q4 2025$1.12-10%
Q3 2025$1.13-12%
Q2 2025$1.10-15%
Q1 2025$1.22+0.8%
Q4 2024$1.25+5.9%

BBDC has the edge over COIN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

COIN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.37Q1 2024: $5.11Q2 2024: $5.67Q3 2024: $5.96Q4 2024: $9.48Q1 2025: $5.32Q2 2025: $10.32Q3 2025: $11.54Q4 2025: $4.45Q1 2026: $2.72Q2 2026: $-3.78Q3 2026: $-2.77Forward: $1.36
Q4 2023: $0.37Q1 2024: $5.11Q2 2024: $5.67Q3 2024: $5.96Q4 2024: $9.48Q1 2025: $5.32Q2 2025: $10.32Q3 2025: $11.54Q4 2025: $4.45Q1 2026: $2.72Q2 2026: $-3.78Q3 2026: $-2.77Forward: $1.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.36โ€”
Q3 2026-$2.77-124%
Q2 2026-$3.78-137%
Q1 2026$2.72-49%
Q4 2025$4.45-53%
Q3 2025$11.54+94%
Q2 2025$10.32+82%
Q1 2025$5.32+4.1%
Q4 2024$9.48+2462%

COIN has swung to a loss: it lost $2.77 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

BBDC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2022$56.3M+127%
Q2 2022$55.6M+41%
Q1 2022$43.8M+43%
Q4 2021$23.4M-28%
Q3 2021$24.8M+52%
Q2 2021$39.5M+145%
Q1 2021$30.6M+64%
Q4 2020$32.5M+76%

BBDC has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is up 127% for BBDC versus down 35% for COIN.

COIN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $954MQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $954MQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B-35%
Q2 2026$1.2B-19%
Q1 2026$1.4B-31%
Q4 2025$1.8B-22%
Q3 2025$1.9B+55%
Q2 2025$1.5B+3.3%
Q1 2025$2B+24%
Q4 2024$2.3B+138%

COIN's revenue has slid since its 2021 peak: $1.2B last quarter, down 35% from the same quarter a year ago.

BBDC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $139MQ1 2024: $5MQ2 2024: $138MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: โˆ’$45MQ1 2025: โˆ’$8MQ2 2025: โˆ’$53MQ3 2025: $16MQ4 2025: $205MQ1 2026: $68MQ2 2026: $16MQ3 2026: โˆ’$25M
Q4 2023: $139MQ1 2024: $5MQ2 2024: $138MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: โˆ’$45MQ1 2025: โˆ’$8MQ2 2025: โˆ’$53MQ3 2025: $16MQ4 2025: $205MQ1 2026: $68MQ2 2026: $16MQ3 2026: โˆ’$25M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$24.8M-251%
Q2 2026$15.8M+$68.5M
Q1 2026$68M+$75.7M
Q4 2025$204.5M+$249.7M
Q3 2025$16.5M-32%
Q2 2025-$52.7M-138%
Q1 2025-$7.8M-258%
Q4 2024-$45.2M-132%

BBDC's free cash flow was $263M over the past year, against โˆ’$89M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BBDC.

COIN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$5MQ1 2024: $411MQ2 2024: $484MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $965MQ1 2025: โˆ’$183MQ2 2025: $328MQ3 2025: โˆ’$785MQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $183MQ2 2026: $197MQ3 2026: $405M
Q4 2023: โˆ’$5MQ1 2024: $411MQ2 2024: $484MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $965MQ1 2025: โˆ’$183MQ2 2025: $328MQ3 2025: โˆ’$785MQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $183MQ2 2026: $197MQ3 2026: $405M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$405.5M+$1.2B
Q2 2026$197.3M-40%
Q1 2026$182.7M+$365.5M
Q4 2025$3.1B+218%
Q3 2025-$784.5M-213%
Q2 2025$328.5M-32%
Q1 2025-$182.7M-144%
Q4 2024$964.6M+$969.8M

COIN has the edge over BBDC on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BBDC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 107MQ1 2024: 106MQ2 2024: 106MQ3 2024: 106MQ4 2024: 106MQ1 2025: 105MQ2 2025: 105MQ3 2025: 105MQ4 2025: 105MQ1 2026: 105MQ2 2026: 105MQ3 2026: 105M
Q4 2023: 107MQ1 2024: 106MQ2 2024: 106MQ3 2024: 106MQ4 2024: 106MQ1 2025: 105MQ2 2025: 105MQ3 2025: 105MQ4 2025: 105MQ1 2026: 105MQ2 2026: 105MQ3 2026: 105M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year-0.4%-452K shares
3 years-1.7%-1.8M shares
5 years+60%+39.4M shares
Available history+113%+55.6M shares

BBDC has 105M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

COIN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 254MQ1 2024: 268MQ2 2024: 267MQ3 2024: 267MQ4 2024: 273MQ1 2025: 271MQ2 2025: 279MQ3 2025: 292MQ4 2025: 287MQ1 2026: 265MQ2 2026: 263MQ3 2026: 288M
Q4 2023: 254MQ1 2024: 268MQ2 2024: 267MQ3 2024: 267MQ4 2024: 273MQ1 2025: 271MQ2 2025: 279MQ3 2025: 292MQ4 2025: 287MQ1 2026: 265MQ2 2026: 263MQ3 2026: 288M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.3%+24.6M shares
1 year-1.4%-4M shares
3 years+21%+50.7M shares
5 years+15%+37.4M shares
Available history+330%+221M shares

COIN has the edge over BBDC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BBDC Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20229.5xHigh
Q2 202213.2xHigh
Q1 202215.4xHigh
Q4 202116.8xHigh
Q3 202111.3xHigh
Q2 202111.8xHigh
Q1 202114.1xHigh
Q4 202014.5xHigh

BBDC's net debt is about 9.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 11 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BBDC.

COIN Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.4xQ3 2024: -2.3xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.6xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -2.3xQ1 2026: -2.8xQ2 2026: -2.5xQ3 2026: -4.4x
Q1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.4xQ3 2024: -2.3xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.6xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -2.3xQ1 2026: -2.8xQ2 2026: -2.5xQ3 2026: -4.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-4.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.3xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash

COIN has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like COIN.

BBDC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.0Neutral
Stochastic33.2Neutral

BBDC's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 33 (neutral).

COIN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.3Neutral
Stochastic5.0Oversold

COIN's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

BBDC PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBBDCSector medianRelative
PE8.1x13x38% below
PE %60633 pts below

BBDC is trading at 8.1x earnings, a 38% discount to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

COIN PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricCOINSector medianRelative
PEN/A13xโ€”

COIN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BBDC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$8.560.5% above
20 week MA$8.721.4% below
50 week MA$8.711.3% below
100 week MA$9.014.6% below
200 week MA$9.014.6% below

BBDC has the edge over COIN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

COIN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$163.020% below
20 week MA$165.621% below
50 week MA$184.429% below
100 week MA$232.844% below
200 week MA$190.331% below

COIN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 31% below its 200-week average.

BBDC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.3$9.10-12%
2021$9.10$11.0+21%
2022$11.0$8.25-25%
2023$8.25$8.58+4%
2024$8.58$9.52+11%
2025$9.52$8.97-5.8%
2026 YTD$8.97$8.60-4.1%

BBDC has the edge over COIN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

COIN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$342.0$268.2-22%
2022$268.2$35.5-87%
2023$35.5$173.9+390%
2024$173.9$265.7+53%
2025$265.7$236.9-11%
2026 YTD$236.9$130.7-45%

COIN's yearly returns have swung widely, from +390% in 2023 to โˆ’87% in 2022. It's down 45% so far in 2026.

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