BBD

Banco Bradesco S.A.

52
Fundamentals64/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

BBD offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

MS

Morgan Stanley

62
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

MS has the edge over BBD overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger modeled upside.

BBD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
N/A
N/A

BBD's revenue and profitability are currently stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BBD.

MS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.

BBD PE Valuation

BBD has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$134-29%
Fair14x$178-5.7%
Forward14x$189—
Current15x$189—
Expensive18x$223+18%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MS's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.

BBD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Stable
Growth
Weakening
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect BBD's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken.

MS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

MS has the edge over BBD on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.

BBD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+52%$3.81
Downside-34%$1.66

Calculated from the latest close: $2.51 on Nov 12.

BBD trails MS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$243.85
Downside-11%$168.44

Calculated from the latest close: $189.17 on Nov 12.

MS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BBD, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BBD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.23Q1 2024: $0.21Q2 2024: $0.21Q3 2024: $0.23Q4 2024: $0.28Q1 2025: $0.31Q2 2025: $0.35Q3 2025: $0.36Q4 2025: $0.40Q1 2026: $0.40Q2 2026: $0.42Q3 2026: $0.46
Q4 2023: $0.23Q1 2024: $0.21Q2 2024: $0.21Q3 2024: $0.23Q4 2024: $0.28Q1 2025: $0.31Q2 2025: $0.35Q3 2025: $0.36Q4 2025: $0.40Q1 2026: $0.40Q2 2026: $0.42Q3 2026: $0.46
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$0.46+28%
Q2 2026$0.42+20%
Q1 2026$0.40+29%
Q4 2025$0.40+43%
Q3 2025$0.36+57%
Q2 2025$0.35+67%
Q1 2025$0.31+48%
Q4 2024$0.28+22%

BBD's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $0.46 over the past year, up 28% from the year before, and higher year over year for nine quarters in a row. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.

MS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.39+6.3%
Q3 2026$12.60+29%
Q2 2026$12.37+40%
Q1 2026$11.04+29%
Q4 2025$10.21+28%
Q3 2025$9.76+48%
Q2 2025$8.84+45%
Q1 2025$8.53+55%
Q4 2024$7.95+53%

MS has the edge over BBD on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

BBD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $10.9BQ2 2024: $10.8BQ3 2024: $11.1BQ4 2024: $11.9BQ1 2025: $12.6BQ2 2025: $13.7BQ3 2025: $14.4BQ4 2025: $15.1BQ1 2026: $16.1BQ2 2026: $15.6BQ3 2026: $16.1B
Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $10.9BQ2 2024: $10.8BQ3 2024: $11.1BQ4 2024: $11.9BQ1 2025: $12.6BQ2 2025: $13.7BQ3 2025: $14.4BQ4 2025: $15.1BQ1 2026: $16.1BQ2 2026: $15.6BQ3 2026: $16.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$16.1B+11%
Q2 2026$15.6B+14%
Q1 2026$16.1B+28%
Q4 2025$15.1B+28%
Q3 2025$14.4B+30%
Q2 2025$13.7B+27%
Q1 2025$12.6B+16%
Q4 2024$11.9B+5.4%

BBD has the edge over MS on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

MS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.3B+12%
Q2 2026$21.3B+27%
Q1 2026$20.6B+16%
Q4 2025$17.9B+10%
Q3 2025$18.2B+18%
Q2 2025$16.8B+12%
Q1 2025$17.7B+17%
Q4 2024$16.2B+26%

MS's revenue has grown year over year for 14 quarters in a row: $20.3B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

BBD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$15.2BQ1 2024: $2.9BQ2 2024: $4.7BQ3 2024: −$1.4BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: −$15.3BQ2 2025: $6.6BQ3 2025: −$217MQ4 2025: $16.3BQ1 2026: $13.9BQ2 2026: −$9.8BQ3 2026: −$2.8B
Q4 2023: −$15.2BQ1 2024: $2.9BQ2 2024: $4.7BQ3 2024: −$1.4BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: −$15.3BQ2 2025: $6.6BQ3 2025: −$217MQ4 2025: $16.3BQ1 2026: $13.9BQ2 2026: −$9.8BQ3 2026: −$2.8B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$2.8B-$2.6B
Q2 2026-$9.8B-248%
Q1 2026$13.9B+$29.2B
Q4 2025$16.3B+1008%
Q3 2025-$216.8M+$1.2B
Q2 2025$6.6B+41%
Q1 2025-$15.3B-638%
Q4 2024$1.5B+$16.7B

BBD has the edge over MS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

MS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$46B-$42.7B
Q2 2026-$2.7B-123%
Q1 2026-$7.1B+$16.9B
Q4 2025-$2.4B-120%
Q3 2025-$3.3B+$14B
Q2 2025$11.8B+368%
Q1 2025-$24B-650%
Q4 2024$11.8B+$29.6B

MS's free cash flow was −$58.3B over the past year, against −$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

BBD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 11BQ1 2024: 10.6BQ2 2024: 11.1BQ3 2024: 11.1BQ4 2024: 10.6BQ1 2025: 10.6BQ2 2025: 10.6BQ3 2025: 10.6BQ4 2025: 10.6BQ1 2026: 10.6BQ2 2026: 10.6BQ3 2026: 10.6B
Q4 2023: 11BQ1 2024: 10.6BQ2 2024: 11.1BQ3 2024: 11.1BQ4 2024: 10.6BQ1 2025: 10.6BQ2 2025: 10.6BQ3 2025: 10.6BQ4 2025: 10.6BQ1 2026: 10.6BQ2 2026: 10.6BQ3 2026: 10.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-28 shares
1 year-0.1%-6.3M shares
3 years-6.7%-763M shares
5 years-5.3%-589M shares
Available history-0.7%-72.6M shares

BBD has 10.6B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

MS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-3M shares
1 year-1.5%-24M shares
3 years-4.7%-77M shares
5 years-14%-246M shares
Available history-4.5%-74M shares

MS has the edge over BBD on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BBD Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 27.5xQ1 2024: 32.9xQ2 2024: 32.8xQ3 2024: 26.8xQ4 2024: 22.1xQ1 2025: 20.7xQ2 2025: 21.7xQ3 2025: 23.0xQ4 2025: 22.9xQ1 2026: 8.1xQ2 2026: 4.5xQ3 2026: 3.0x
Q4 2023: 27.5xQ1 2024: 32.9xQ2 2024: 32.8xQ3 2024: 26.8xQ4 2024: 22.1xQ1 2025: 20.7xQ2 2025: 21.7xQ3 2025: 23.0xQ4 2025: 22.9xQ1 2026: 8.1xQ2 2026: 4.5xQ3 2026: 3.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.0xElevated
Q2 20264.5xHigh
Q1 20268.1xHigh
Q4 202522.9xHigh
Q3 202523.0xHigh
Q2 202521.7xHigh
Q1 202520.7xHigh
Q4 202422.1xHigh

BBD has the edge over MS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.8xHigh
Q2 20267.3xHigh
Q1 20268.2xHigh
Q4 20258.6xHigh
Q3 20258.4xHigh
Q2 20258.7xHigh
Q1 20258.7xHigh
Q4 20247.9xHigh

MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

BBD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.8Neutral
Stochastic2.8Oversold

BBD's weekly RSI is 36 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 3 (oversold).

MS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.0Neutral
Stochastic18.7Oversold

MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

BBD PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBBDSector medianRelative
PEN/A13x—

BBD has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMSSector medianRelative
PE15x13x15% above
PE %59634 pts below

MS is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

BBD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.3726% below
20 week MA$3.4126% below
50 week MA$3.5629% below
100 week MA$3.1320% below
200 week MA$2.9816% below

BBD is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 16% below its 200-week average.

MS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$186.51.5% above
20 week MA$203.36.9% below
50 week MA$191.91.4% below
100 week MA$164.915% above
200 week MA$129.346% above

MS has the edge over BBD on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BBD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$6.69$4.41-34%
2021$4.41$3.07-30%
2022$3.07$2.93-4.6%
2023$2.93$3.50+19%
2024$3.50$1.90-46%
2025$1.90$3.35+76%
2026 YTD$3.35$2.51-25%

BBD has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 25% so far in 2026.

MS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$51.1$68.1+33%
2021$68.1$99.3+46%
2022$99.3$86.1-13%
2023$86.1$93.3+8.3%
2024$93.3$126.8+36%
2025$126.8$181.9+43%
2026 YTD$181.9$189.2+4%

MS has the edge over BBD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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