BBAR

Banco BBVA Argentina S.A.

There isn't enough reported data to score BBAR yet.

MS

Morgan Stanley

62
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

MS's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 16% and earnings per share grew 29%. At 15x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 14x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

BBAR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
N/A
N/A

BBAR's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BBAR.

MS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.

BBAR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.2x16x25x33x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.2x16x25x33x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap3.5x$1.32-87%
Fair8.4x$3.20-69%
Current9.1x$10.35—
Expensive16x$5.96-42%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BBAR's PE is 9.1x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

MS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$134-29%
Fair14x$178-5.7%
Forward14x$189—
Current15x$189—
Expensive18x$223+18%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MS has the edge over BBAR in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

BBAR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for BBAR, but weaker profitability.

MS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

MS has the edge over BBAR on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

BBAR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $10.35 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare BBAR and MS's risk to reward.

MS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$243.85
Downside-11%$168.44

Calculated from the latest close: $189.17 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare BBAR and MS's risk to reward.

BBAR Earnings Per Share

Q3 2017: $0.02Q4 2017: $0.02Q1 2018: $0.02Q2 2018: $0.02Q3 2018: $0.03Q4 2018: $0.03Q4 2019: $0.02Q4 2020: $0.01Q4 2021: $0.01Q4 2022: $0.06Q4 2023: $0.17Q4 2024: $0.38
Q3 2017: $0.02Q4 2017: $0.02Q1 2018: $0.02Q2 2018: $0.02Q3 2018: $0.03Q4 2018: $0.03Q4 2019: $0.02Q4 2020: $0.01Q4 2021: $0.01Q4 2022: $0.06Q4 2023: $0.17Q4 2024: $0.38
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q4 2024$0.38+124%
Q4 2023$0.17+183%
Q4 2022$0.06+500%
Q4 2021$0.010%
Q4 2020$0.01-50%
Q4 2019$0.02-33%
Q4 2018$0.03+50%
Q3 2018$0.03+50%

BBAR has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is up 3,700% for BBAR versus MS up 29%.

MS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.39+6.3%
Q3 2026$12.60+29%
Q2 2026$12.37+40%
Q1 2026$11.04+29%
Q4 2025$10.21+28%
Q3 2025$9.76+48%
Q2 2025$8.84+45%
Q1 2025$8.53+55%
Q4 2024$7.95+53%

MS's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $12.60 over the past year, up 29% from the year before, and higher year over year for 10 quarters in a row.

BBAR Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2017: $5MQ4 2017: $6MQ1 2018: $7MQ2 2018: $8MQ3 2018: $11MQ4 2018: $14MQ4 2019: --Q4 2020: --Q4 2021: --Q4 2022: --Q4 2023: --Q4 2024: --
Q3 2017: $5MQ4 2017: $6MQ1 2018: $7MQ2 2018: $8MQ3 2018: $11MQ4 2018: $14MQ4 2019: --Q4 2020: --Q4 2021: --Q4 2022: --Q4 2023: --Q4 2024: --
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q4 2018$14M+138%
Q3 2018$11.2M+105%
Q2 2018$7.7M+61%
Q1 2018$7.3M+74%
Q4 2017$5.9M+39%
Q3 2017$5.4M+25%
Q2 2017$4.8M+4.4%
Q1 2017$4.2M-3.4%

BBAR has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is up 138% for BBAR versus up 12% for MS.

MS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.3B+12%
Q2 2026$21.3B+27%
Q1 2026$20.6B+16%
Q4 2025$17.9B+10%
Q3 2025$18.2B+18%
Q2 2025$16.8B+12%
Q1 2025$17.7B+17%
Q4 2024$16.2B+26%

MS's revenue has grown year over year for 14 quarters in a row: $20.3B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

BBAR Free Cash Flow

Q3 2017: −$11MQ4 2017: −$176,677Q1 2018: −$2MQ2 2018: $2MQ3 2018: $9MQ4 2018: $21MQ4 2019: --Q4 2020: --Q4 2021: --Q4 2022: --Q4 2023: --Q4 2024: --
Q3 2017: −$11MQ4 2017: −$176,677Q1 2018: −$2MQ2 2018: $2MQ3 2018: $9MQ4 2018: $21MQ4 2019: --Q4 2020: --Q4 2021: --Q4 2022: --Q4 2023: --Q4 2024: --
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q4 2018$21M+$21.2M
Q3 2018$9.1M+$20.1M
Q2 2018$2.1M+$2.2M
Q1 2018-$1.7M+$1.5M
Q4 2017-$176.7K-$71.6K
Q3 2017-$11M-468%
Q2 2017-$113.6K-104%

BBAR has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is up 618% versus its history, compared with MS at down 492%.

MS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$46B-$42.7B
Q2 2026-$2.7B-123%
Q1 2026-$7.1B+$16.9B
Q4 2025-$2.4B-120%
Q3 2025-$3.3B+$14B
Q2 2025$11.8B+368%
Q1 2025-$24B-650%
Q4 2024$11.8B+$29.6B

MS's free cash flow was −$58.3B over the past year, against −$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

BBAR Total Shares

Q3 2017: 185MQ4 2017: 204MQ1 2018: 196MQ2 2018: 204MQ3 2018: 204MQ4 2018: 204MQ4 2019: 613MQ4 2020: 613MQ4 2021: 613MQ4 2022: 613MQ4 2023: 613MQ4 2024: 613M
Q3 2017: 185MQ4 2017: 204MQ1 2018: 196MQ2 2018: 204MQ3 2018: 204MQ4 2018: 204MQ4 2019: 613MQ4 2020: 613MQ4 2021: 613MQ4 2022: 613MQ4 2023: 613MQ4 2024: 613M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year0%--
3 years+251%+438M shares

BBAR has 613M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

MS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-3M shares
1 year-1.5%-24M shares
3 years-4.7%-77M shares
5 years-14%-246M shares
Available history-4.5%-74M shares

MS has the edge over BBAR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BBAR Net Leverage

Q3 2017: -3.4xQ4 2017: -6.3xQ2 2018: -5.1xQ3 2018: -7.0xQ4 2018: -7.9xQ4 2019: -6.7xQ4 2020: -6.9xQ4 2021: -11.1xQ4 2022: -4.4xQ4 2023: -3.3xQ4 2024: -5.2x
Q3 2017: -3.4xQ4 2017: -6.3xQ2 2018: -5.1xQ3 2018: -7.0xQ4 2018: -7.9xQ4 2019: -6.7xQ4 2020: -6.9xQ4 2021: -11.1xQ4 2022: -4.4xQ4 2023: -3.3xQ4 2024: -5.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q4 2024-5.2xNet Cash
Q4 2023-3.3xNet Cash
Q4 2022-4.4xNet Cash
Q4 2021-11.1xNet Cash
Q4 2020-6.9xNet Cash
Q4 2019-6.7xNet Cash
Q4 2018-7.9xNet Cash
Q3 2018-7.0xNet Cash

BBAR has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BBAR.

MS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.8xHigh
Q2 20267.3xHigh
Q1 20268.2xHigh
Q4 20258.6xHigh
Q3 20258.4xHigh
Q2 20258.7xHigh
Q1 20258.7xHigh
Q4 20247.9xHigh

MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

BBAR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.4Neutral
Stochastic2.1Oversold

BBAR's weekly RSI is 32 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 2 (oversold).

MS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.0Neutral
Stochastic18.7Oversold

MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

BBAR PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBBARSector medianRelative
PE9.1x13x30% below
PE %506313 pts below

BBAR has the edge over MS on valuation relative to its sector.

MS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMSSector medianRelative
PE15x13x15% above
PE %59634 pts below

MS is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

BBAR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.114% below
20 week MA$15.031% below
50 week MA$16.136% below
100 week MA$16.537% below
200 week MA$11.913% below

BBAR is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 13% below its 200-week average.

MS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$186.51.5% above
20 week MA$203.36.9% below
50 week MA$191.91.4% below
100 week MA$164.915% above
200 week MA$129.346% above

MS has the edge over BBAR on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BBAR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$5.74$3.14-45%
2021$3.14$3.20+1.9%
2022$3.20$3.60+13%
2023$3.60$5.44+51%
2024$5.44$19.7+262%
2025$19.7$18.5-6.3%
2026 YTD$18.5$10.4-44%

BBAR's yearly returns have swung widely, from +262% in 2024 to −45% in 2020. It's down 44% so far in 2026.

MS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$51.1$68.1+33%
2021$68.1$99.3+46%
2022$99.3$86.1-13%
2023$86.1$93.3+8.3%
2024$93.3$126.8+36%
2025$126.8$181.9+43%
2026 YTD$181.9$189.2+4%

MS has the edge over BBAR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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