BBAI
BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc.
BBAI has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
INTC
Intel Corporation
INTC has the edge over BBAI overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
BBAI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
BBAI's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
INTC Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy |
INTC's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure.
BBAI PE Valuation
BBAI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
INTC PE Valuation
INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
BBAI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses steady | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect BBAI's revenue to grow and its profitability to improve, with its earnings holding steady.
INTC Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Broad | |
| Low |
INTC has the edge over BBAI on the outlook, with more favorable earnings expectations.
BBAI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$0.37 | +$1.10 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.21 | +$1.28 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.87 | -$0.04 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.00 | +$0.25 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.47 | -$0.58 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.49 | -$0.68 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.83 | +$0.05 |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.25 | -$0.85 |
BBAI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.37 per share over the past year, against $1.62 at its worst in late 2022.
INTC Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.41 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$2.39 | -24000% |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.09 | +$2.68 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.60 | +$3.88 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.06 | +$4.32 |
| Q3 2025 | $0.01 | +$3.72 |
| Q2 2025 | -$4.77 | -2088% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.48 | -562% |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.38 | -1195% |
INTC has swung to a loss: it lost $2.39 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.
BBAI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $43.6M | +31% |
| Q2 2026 | $36.7M | +13% |
| Q1 2026 | $34.4M | -0.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $27.3M | -38% |
| Q3 2025 | $33.1M | -20% |
| Q2 2025 | $32.5M | -18% |
| Q1 2025 | $34.8M | +4.9% |
| Q4 2024 | $43.8M | +8% |
BBAI's revenue has held roughly level: $44M last quarter, up 31% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -229% | -163 points |
| Q2 2026 | -78% | +200 points |
| Q1 2026 | -70% | -9.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | -295% | -276 points |
| Q3 2025 | -66% | -41 points |
| Q2 2025 | -278% | -236 points |
| Q1 2025 | -61% | +235 points |
| Q4 2024 | -19% | +2.6 points |
BBAI's operating margin was −229% last quarter, down 163 points from the same quarter a year ago.
INTC Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $16.5B | +21% |
| Q2 2026 | $16.1B | +25% |
| Q1 2026 | $13.6B | +7.2% |
| Q4 2025 | $13.7B | -4.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $13.7B | +2.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $12.9B | +0.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.7B | -0.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $14.3B | -7.4% |
INTC's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $16.5B last quarter, up 21% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 15% | +10 points |
| Q2 2026 | 11% | +36 points |
| Q1 2026 | -23% | -21 points |
| Q4 2025 | 4.2% | +1.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 5% | +73 points |
| Q2 2025 | -25% | -9.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | -2.4% | +6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 2.9% | -14 points |
INTC has the edge over BBAI on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
BBAI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$9.8M | -$21K |
| Q2 2026 | -$22.5M | -$18.7M |
| Q1 2026 | -$18.3M | -$11.6M |
| Q4 2025 | -$22.1M | -$7.1M |
| Q3 2025 | -$9.8M | -$7.7M |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.9M | +$3.3M |
| Q1 2025 | -$6.7M | +$7.7M |
| Q4 2024 | -$15M | -$14.9M |
BBAI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$73M over the past year, against −$35M the year before.
INTC Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.1B | +774% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.5B | +$6B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.5B | +$1.8B |
| Q4 2025 | $800M | +$3.5B |
| Q3 2025 | $121M | +$2.5B |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.5B | +$1.9B |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.4B | +$2.8B |
| Q4 2024 | -$2.7B | -$597M |
INTC has the edge over BBAI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
BBAI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.3% | +1.2M shares |
| 1 year | +50% | +160M shares |
| 3 years | +247% | +342M shares |
| 5 years | +4529% | +470M shares |
BBAI has 480M diluted shares, up 50% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
| Q1 2023 | — |
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q3 2022 | — |
| Q2 2022 | — |
| Q1 2022 | $100.9M |
INTC Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +4% | +203M shares |
| 1 year | +17% | +776M shares |
| 3 years | +25% | +1.1B shares |
| 5 years | +30% | +1.2B shares |
| Available history | +19% | +834M shares |
INTC has the edge over BBAI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q3 2022 | — |
| Q2 2022 | — |
| Q1 2022 | — |
| Q4 2021 | — |
| Q3 2021 | — |
| Q2 2021 | $114M |
| Q1 2021 | $2.3B |
BBAI Net Leverage
BBAI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
INTC Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.0x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q1 2026 | 3.9x | Elevated |
| Q4 2025 | 3.4x | Elevated |
| Q3 2025 | 4.0x | Elevated |
| Q1 2025 | 69.6x | High |
| Q3 2024 | 23.8x | High |
| Q2 2024 | 4.3x | High |
INTC's net debt is about 2.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.0 years a year ago.
BBAI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 33.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 16.9 | Oversold |
BBAI's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 17 (oversold).
INTC Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 7.7 | Oversold |
INTC's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).
BBAI PE vs Technology Sector
BBAI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
INTC PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | INTC | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 28x | — |
INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
BBAI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $2.38 | 13% below |
| 20 week MA | $2.78 | 26% below |
| 50 week MA | $3.86 | 46% below |
| 100 week MA | $4.53 | 54% below |
| 200 week MA | $3.25 | 36% below |
BBAI is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 36% below its 200-week average.
INTC Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $88.4 | 31% below |
| 20 week MA | $95.3 | 36% below |
| 50 week MA | $79.3 | 23% below |
| 100 week MA | $52.1 | 18% above |
| 200 week MA | $42.5 | 44% above |
INTC has the edge over BBAI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
BBAI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $9.62 | $6.85 | -29% |
| 2022 | $6.85 | $0.73 | -89% |
| 2023 | $0.73 | $2.14 | +193% |
| 2024 | $2.14 | $4.21 | +97% |
| 2025 | $4.21 | $5.73 | +36% |
| 2026 YTD | $5.73 | $2.07 | -64% |
BBAI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +193% in 2023 to −89% in 2022. It's down 64% so far in 2026.
INTC Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $60.1 | $47.1 | -22% |
| 2021 | $47.1 | $51.3 | +9% |
| 2022 | $51.3 | $26.1 | -49% |
| 2023 | $26.1 | $50.3 | +93% |
| 2024 | $50.3 | $20.3 | -60% |
| 2025 | $20.3 | $36.2 | +78% |
| 2026 YTD | $36.2 | $61.2 | +69% |
INTC has the edge over BBAI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.