BAM

Brookfield Asset Management Ltd.

70
Fundamentals57/ 100
Valuation90/ 100
Upside potential89/ 100
Risk potential8/ 100

BAM has the edge over MS overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

MS

Morgan Stanley

62
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

MS offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

BAM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
N/A
N/A

BAM's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BAM.

MS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.

BAM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE17x34x51x68x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE17x34x51x68x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$51.41—
Forward25x$51.41—
Cheap35x$104+101%
Fair45x$132+157%
Expensive53x$154+200%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BAM has the edge over MS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

MS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$134-29%
Fair14x$178-5.7%
Forward14x$189—
Current15x$189—
Expensive18x$223+18%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MS's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.

BAM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Growth
Growth
Weakening
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BAM, but weaker profitability.

MS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

MS has the edge over BAM on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and profitability expectations.

BAM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+59%$81.70
Downside-8%$47.54

Calculated from the latest close: $51.41 on Nov 12.

BAM has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MS, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

MS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$243.85
Downside-11%$168.44

Calculated from the latest close: $189.17 on Nov 12.

MS trails BAM on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

BAM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.13Q2 2024: $1.13Q4 2024: $1.35Q1 2025: $1.43Q2 2025: $1.50Q3 2025: $1.60Q4 2025: $1.52Q1 2026: $1.54Q2 2026: $1.72Q3 2026: $2.92Forward: $2.06
Q4 2023: $1.13Q2 2024: $1.13Q4 2024: $1.35Q1 2025: $1.43Q2 2025: $1.50Q3 2025: $1.60Q4 2025: $1.52Q1 2026: $1.54Q2 2026: $1.72Q3 2026: $2.92Forward: $2.06
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.06-29%
Q3 2026$2.92+83%
Q2 2026$1.72+15%
Q1 2026$1.54+7.7%
Q4 2025$1.52+13%
Q2 2025$1.50+33%
Q4 2024$1.35+19%
Q2 2024$1.13+77%
Q4 2023$1.13-62%

BAM earned $2.92 per share over the past year, up 83% from the year before.

MS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.39+6.3%
Q3 2026$12.60+29%
Q2 2026$12.37+40%
Q1 2026$11.04+29%
Q4 2025$10.21+28%
Q3 2025$9.76+48%
Q2 2025$8.84+45%
Q1 2025$8.53+55%
Q4 2024$7.95+53%

MS has the edge over BAM on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

BAM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $884MQ2 2024: $916MQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $1.1BQ2 2025: $1.1BQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $1.3BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.1B
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $884MQ2 2024: $916MQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $1.1BQ2 2025: $1.1BQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $1.3BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.1B+89%
Q2 2026$1.7B+57%
Q1 2026$1.3B+22%
Q4 2025$1.2B+16%
Q3 2025$1.1B+2.1%
Q2 2025$1.1B+19%
Q1 2025$1.1B+22%
Q2 2022$924M+25%

BAM has the edge over MS on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

MS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.3B+12%
Q2 2026$21.3B+27%
Q1 2026$20.6B+16%
Q4 2025$17.9B+10%
Q3 2025$18.2B+18%
Q2 2025$16.8B+12%
Q1 2025$17.7B+17%
Q4 2024$16.2B+26%

MS's revenue has grown year over year for 14 quarters in a row: $20.3B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

BAM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $513MQ2 2024: $393MQ3 2024: $567MQ4 2024: −$849MQ1 2025: $265MQ2 2025: $529MQ3 2025: $741MQ4 2025: $706MQ1 2026: $339MQ2 2026: $393MQ3 2026: $521M
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $513MQ2 2024: $393MQ3 2024: $567MQ4 2024: −$849MQ1 2025: $265MQ2 2025: $529MQ3 2025: $741MQ4 2025: $706MQ1 2026: $339MQ2 2026: $393MQ3 2026: $521M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$521M-30%
Q2 2026$392.8M-26%
Q1 2026$339M+28%
Q4 2025$706M+$1.6B
Q3 2025$741M+31%
Q2 2025$529M+35%
Q1 2025$265M-48%
Q2 2022$2.7B+31%

BAM has the edge over MS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

MS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$46B-$42.7B
Q2 2026-$2.7B-123%
Q1 2026-$7.1B+$16.9B
Q4 2025-$2.4B-120%
Q3 2025-$3.3B+$14B
Q2 2025$11.8B+368%
Q1 2025-$24B-650%
Q4 2024$11.8B+$29.6B

MS's free cash flow was −$58.3B over the past year, against −$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

BAM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 397MQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
Q4 2023: 397MQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.3%-21.4M shares
1 year-2.9%-47.6M shares
3 years+300%+1.2B shares

BAM has the edge over MS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-3M shares
1 year-1.5%-24M shares
3 years-4.7%-77M shares
5 years-14%-246M shares
Available history-4.5%-74M shares

MS has 1.6B diluted shares, down 1.5% from a year ago.

BAM Net Leverage

Q4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2025: 0.3xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.4xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.7xQ3 2026: 0.7x
Q4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2025: 0.3xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.4xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.7xQ3 2026: 0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.7xVery low
Q2 20260.7xVery low
Q1 20260.6xVery low
Q4 20250.4xVery low
Q3 20250.6xVery low
Q2 20250.3xVery low
Q1 20250.1xVery low
Q4 20240.1xVery low

BAM has the edge over MS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.8xHigh
Q2 20267.3xHigh
Q1 20268.2xHigh
Q4 20258.6xHigh
Q3 20258.4xHigh
Q2 20258.7xHigh
Q1 20258.7xHigh
Q4 20247.9xHigh

MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

BAM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.6Neutral
Stochastic58.7Neutral

BAM's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 59 (neutral).

MS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.0Neutral
Stochastic18.7Oversold

MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

BAM PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBAMSector medianRelative
PE18x13x35% above
PE %105444 pts below

BAM is trading at 18x earnings, a 35% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

MS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMSSector medianRelative
PE15x13x15% above
PE %59634 pts below

MS has the edge over BAM on valuation relative to its sector.

BAM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$47.58.1% above
20 week MA$48.65.9% above
50 week MA$48.75.6% above
100 week MA$52.11.2% below
200 week MA$45.214% above

BAM has the edge over MS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$186.51.5% above
20 week MA$203.36.9% below
50 week MA$191.91.4% below
100 week MA$164.915% above
200 week MA$129.346% above

MS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 46% above its 200-week average.

BAM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2022$33.0$28.0-15%
2023$28.0$40.2+43%
2024$40.2$54.6+36%
2025$54.6$53.4-2.3%
2026 YTD$53.4$51.4-3.7%

BAM has finished lower in two of the last four years. It's down 3.7% so far in 2026.

MS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$51.1$68.1+33%
2021$68.1$99.3+46%
2022$99.3$86.1-13%
2023$86.1$93.3+8.3%
2024$93.3$126.8+36%
2025$126.8$181.9+43%
2026 YTD$181.9$189.2+4%

MS has the edge over BAM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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