BALY
Bally's Corporation
BALY offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
NKE
NIKE, Inc.
NKE has the edge over BALY overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.
BALY Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Weak |
BALY's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.
NKE Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Strong |
NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.
BALY PE Valuation
BALY has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
NKE PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 18x | $37.76 | — |
| Cheap | 23x | $47.70 | +26% |
| Forward | 30x | $37.76 | — |
| Fair | 33x | $68.16 | +80% |
| Expensive | 47x | $97.86 | +159% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
NKE's PE is in its cheap range at 18x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 30x, in its fair range.
BALY Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses growing | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly weakening | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect BALY's losses to grow, with revenue growing.
NKE Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Stable | |
| Decline | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
BALY Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$12.64 | -$2.59 |
| Q1 2026 | -$13.99 | -$6.46 |
| Q4 2025 | -$10.73 | +$0.98 |
| Q3 2025 | -$6.65 | +$8.42 |
| Q2 2025 | -$10.05 | +$1.07 |
| Q1 2025 | -$7.53 | +$2.83 |
| Q4 2024 | -$11.71 | -$8.20 |
| Q3 2024 | -$15.07 | -$8.34 |
BALY is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $12.64 per share over the past year, against $15.07 at its worst in late 2024.
NKE Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.27 | -39% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.09 | +7.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.10 | -2.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.51 | -50% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.70 | -48% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.95 | -44% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.16 | -42% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.01 | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.24 | -5.3% |
NKE has the edge over BALY on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
BALY Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $792.2M | +20% |
| Q1 2026 | $755.7M | +105% |
| Q4 2025 | $746.2M | +29% |
| Q3 2025 | $663.7M | +5.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $657.5M | +5.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $368.7M | -40% |
| Q4 2024 | $580.4M | -5.1% |
| Q3 2024 | $630M | -0.4% |
BALY has the edge over NKE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -4.3% | -3.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 12% | +13 points |
| Q4 2025 | -37% | -31 points |
| Q3 2025 | 0.1% | +25 points |
| Q2 2025 | -0.4% | -1.3 points |
| Q1 2025 | -0.5% | +12 points |
| Q4 2024 | -5.6% | +46 points |
| Q3 2024 | -25% | -31 points |
BALY's operating margin was −4.3% last quarter, down 3.9 points from the same quarter a year ago.
NKE Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $11.2B | -4.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $11B | -1.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.3B | +0.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $12.4B | +0.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $11.7B | +1.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $11.1B | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $11.3B | -9.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.4B | -7.7% |
NKE's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $11.2B last quarter, down 4.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 8.2% | +0.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 12% | +9.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.8% | -1.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 8% | -3.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 7.9% | -3.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 2.9% | -11 points |
| Q1 2025 | 7.5% | -3.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 11% | -2.9 points |
NKE has the edge over BALY on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
BALY Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$156M | -$123.8M |
| Q1 2026 | -$183.9M | -1693% |
| Q4 2025 | -$18.9M | -$12.7M |
| Q3 2025 | -$139.3M | -$83.5M |
| Q2 2025 | -$32.2M | -372% |
| Q1 2025 | $11.5M | +$47.5M |
| Q4 2024 | -$6.2M | -125% |
| Q3 2024 | -$55.8M | +$36.5M |
BALY has burned cash in seven of the last eight quarters: −$498M over the past year, against −$83M the year before.
NKE Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$64M | -527% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5B | +313% |
| Q1 2026 | $284M | -83% |
| Q4 2025 | $386M | -58% |
| Q3 2025 | $15M | -95% |
| Q2 2025 | $363M | -85% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.7B | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $920M | -65% |
NKE has the edge over BALY on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
BALY Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.6% | +340K shares |
| 1 year | -0.2% | -98K shares |
| 3 years | +10% | +5.5M shares |
| 5 years | +69% | +24.8M shares |
| Available history | +60% | +22.7M shares |
BALY has the edge over NKE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | $416.2M |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
NKE Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.2% | +3.2M shares |
| 1 year | +0.4% | +5.2M shares |
| 3 years | -3.8% | -59.1M shares |
| 5 years | -8.4% | -135M shares |
| Available history | -6.9% | -110M shares |
NKE has 1.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | $20M |
| Q3 2025 | $126M |
| Q2 2025 | $199M |
| Q1 2025 | $506M |
| Q4 2024 | $1.1B |
NKE has spent almost nothing on buybacks in the past year.
BALY Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 28.0x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 24.2x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 240.2x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 15.9x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 51.6x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 40.0x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 26.0x | High |
| Q2 2024 | 39.9x | High |
BALY's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from more than 20 years a year ago.
NKE Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2024 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2024 | -0.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2023 | 0.1x | Very low |
NKE has the edge over BALY on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
BALY Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 44.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 65.0 | Neutral |
BALY's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 65 (neutral).
NKE Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 57.5 | Neutral |
NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).
BALY PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BALY | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 18x | — |
BALY has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | NKE | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18x | 18x | 0.3% above |
| PE % | 2 | 47 | 45 pts below |
NKE is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
BALY Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $13.3 | 13% below |
| 20 week MA | $12.6 | 8.2% below |
| 50 week MA | $13.5 | 15% below |
| 100 week MA | $13.6 | 15% below |
| 200 week MA | $14.2 | 19% below |
BALY is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 19% below its 200-week average.
NKE Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $36.7 | 2.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $39.2 | 3.6% below |
| 50 week MA | $48.0 | 21% below |
| 100 week MA | $58.4 | 35% below |
| 200 week MA | $79.2 | 52% below |
NKE has the edge over BALY on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
BALY Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $25.9 | $48.8 | +88% |
| 2021 | $48.8 | $37.5 | -23% |
| 2022 | $37.5 | $19.4 | -48% |
| 2023 | $19.4 | $13.9 | -28% |
| 2024 | $13.9 | $17.8 | +28% |
| 2025 | $17.8 | $17.8 | -0.4% |
| 2026 YTD | $17.8 | $11.5 | -35% |
BALY has the edge over NKE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
NKE Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $101.6 | $141.6 | +39% |
| 2021 | $141.6 | $165.7 | +17% |
| 2022 | $165.7 | $116.3 | -30% |
| 2023 | $116.3 | $108.6 | -6.6% |
| 2024 | $108.6 | $76.4 | -30% |
| 2025 | $76.4 | $60.9 | -20% |
| 2026 YTD | $60.9 | $37.8 | -38% |
NKE has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 38% so far in 2026.