BALL
Ball Corporation
BALL's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.
NIO
NIO Inc.
NIO has the edge over BALL overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.
BALL Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Weak |
BALL's revenue and cash flow are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its balance sheet is weak.
NIO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Unavailable |
NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
BALL PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 15x | $64.91 | — |
| Cheap | 16x | $32.46 | -50% |
| Fair | 26x | $52.14 | -20% |
| Current | 33x | $64.91 | — |
| Expensive | 41x | $80.99 | +25% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BALL's PE is in its fair range at 33x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 15x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
NIO PE Valuation
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
BALL Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BALL, with profitability holding steady.
NIO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
NIO has the edge over BALL on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
BALL Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $4.30 | +118% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.97 | -20% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.51 | +82% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.44 | +105% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.30 | -74% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.46 | -81% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.93 | -85% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.68 | -87% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.66 | +468% |
BALL has the edge over NIO on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
NIO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$0.29 | +$1.45 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.60 | +$1.16 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.06 | +$0.60 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.59 | +$0.02 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.74 | -$0.10 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.76 | +$0.06 |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.66 | +$0.21 |
| Q3 2024 | -$1.61 | +$0.32 |
NIO is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.29 per share over the past year, against $1.93 at its worst in late 2023.
BALL Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.2B | +24% |
| Q2 2026 | $4B | +20% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.6B | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.3B | +16% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.4B | +9.6% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.3B | +13% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.1B | +7.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.9B | -15% |
BALL's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $4.2B last quarter, up 24% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -3.5% | -15 points |
| Q2 2026 | 7% | -1.1 points |
| Q1 2026 | 7.2% | -0.2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.2% | +6.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 12% | +4.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 8% | +1.3 points |
| Q1 2025 | 7.4% | +0.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 0.2% | -8.6 points |
BALL's operating margin was −3.5% last quarter, down 15 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the bottom of its range since 2019.
NIO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.8B | +69% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.8B | +112% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.2B | +76% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.3B | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.9B | +9% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.8B | +21% |
| Q4 2024 | $3B | +15% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.8B | -2.1% |
NIO has the edge over BALL on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -2.1% | +24 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1.2% | +52 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2.3% | +33 points |
| Q3 2025 | -16% | +12 points |
| Q2 2025 | -26% | +4 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | -31% | +8.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | -28% | -2.6 points |
NIO has the edge over BALL on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
BALL Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $32M | -88% |
| Q2 2026 | $467M | +98% |
| Q1 2026 | -$938M | -$192M |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | +165% |
| Q3 2025 | $257M | -48% |
| Q2 2025 | $236M | +62% |
| Q1 2025 | -$746M | +$655M |
| Q4 2024 | $393M | -25% |
BALL generated $602M in free cash flow over the past year, about four times what it generated the year before.
NIO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $0 | +$2.1B |
| Q1 2026 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2025 | $0 | +$391.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.1B | +$73.9M |
| Q1 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2024 | -$391.3M | -386% |
| Q2 2024 | -$2.2B | +$337.9M |
NIO's free cash flow was $0 over the past year, against −$2.5B the year before.
BALL Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.2% | -3.3M shares |
| 1 year | -3.3% | -9.1M shares |
| 3 years | -17% | -53.5M shares |
| 5 years | -20% | -67.8M shares |
| Available history | -22% | -76.3M shares |
BALL has the edge over NIO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $157M |
| Q2 2026 | $114M |
| Q1 2026 | $1M |
| Q4 2025 | $215M |
| Q3 2025 | $84M |
| Q2 2025 | $467M |
| Q1 2025 | $555M |
| Q4 2024 | $651M |
BALL spent $487M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 72% from the year before.
NIO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.6% | +15.6M shares |
| 1 year | +12% | +267M shares |
| 3 years | +51% | +844M shares |
| 5 years | +60% | +933M shares |
| Available history | +143% | +1.5B shares |
NIO has 2.5B diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
NIO hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
BALL Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 5.4x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 3.7x | Elevated |
| Q1 2026 | 4.0x | Elevated |
| Q4 2025 | 3.3x | Elevated |
| Q3 2025 | 4.4x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 5.0x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 5.0x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 3.9x | Elevated |
BALL's net debt is about 5.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 4.4 years a year ago.
NIO Net Leverage
NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
BALL Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 57.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 77.9 | Neutral |
BALL's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 78 (neutral).
NIO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 30.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.9 | Oversold |
NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
BALL PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BALL | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 33x | 18x | 83% above |
| PE % | 61 | 47 | 14 pts above |
BALL is trading at 33x earnings, a 83% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
BALL Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $62.1 | 4.5% above |
| 20 week MA | $62.4 | 4% above |
| 50 week MA | $60.1 | 8% above |
| 100 week MA | $56.2 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $57.5 | 13% above |
BALL has the edge over NIO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
NIO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.36 | 9.2% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.01 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $4.81 | 37% below |
| 100 week MA | $4.85 | 37% below |
| 200 week MA | $6.03 | 49% below |
NIO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.
BALL Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $64.7 | $92.3 | +43% |
| 2021 | $92.3 | $90.0 | -2.5% |
| 2022 | $90.0 | $51.6 | -43% |
| 2023 | $51.6 | $57.5 | +11% |
| 2024 | $57.5 | $55.8 | -2.9% |
| 2025 | $55.8 | $52.7 | -5.7% |
| 2026 YTD | $52.7 | $64.9 | +23% |
BALL has the edge over NIO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
NIO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $2.42 | $45.8 | +1791% |
| 2021 | $45.8 | $30.5 | -33% |
| 2022 | $30.5 | $11.0 | -64% |
| 2023 | $11.0 | $9.07 | -17% |
| 2024 | $9.07 | $4.48 | -51% |
| 2025 | $4.48 | $5.10 | +14% |
| 2026 YTD | $5.10 | $3.05 | -40% |
NIO's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1791% in 2020 to −64% in 2022. It's down 40% so far in 2026.