BALL

Ball Corporation

50
Fundamentals51/ 100
Valuation35/ 100
Upside potential13/ 100
Risk potential44/ 100

BALL has a slight edge over GME overall, supported by lower modeled downside.

GME

GameStop Corp.

49
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation61/ 100
Upside potential32/ 100
Risk potential51/ 100

GME offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

BALL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Healthy
Weak

BALL's revenue and cash flow are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its balance sheet is weak.

GME Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Strong
Unavailable

GME's profitability and cash flow are currently strong, and its revenue is stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

BALL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE22x44x66x88x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE22x44x66x88x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward15x$64.91—
Cheap16x$32.46-50%
Fair26x$52.14-20%
Current33x$64.91—
Expensive41x$80.99+25%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BALL's PE is in its fair range at 33x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 15x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

GME PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE367x734x1101x1467x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE367x734x1101x1467x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current17x$25.62—
Cheap18x$27.96+9.1%
Forward38x$25.62—
Fair43x$66.84+161%
Expensive252x$388+1414%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GME has the edge over BALL in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

BALL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Moderate

BALL has the edge over GME on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.

GME Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong decline
Strong decline
Strongly weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect GME's earnings and revenue to decline, with profitability weakening.

BALL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+7%$69.24
Downside-44%$36.42

Calculated from the latest close: $64.91 on Nov 12.

BALL trails GME on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

GME Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+24%$31.72
Downside-51%$12.64

Calculated from the latest close: $25.62 on Nov 12.

GME has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BALL, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BALL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.23Q1 2024: $13.28Q2 2024: $13.24Q3 2024: $13.25Q4 2024: $12.66Q1 2025: $1.68Q2 2025: $1.93Q3 2025: $2.46Q4 2025: $3.30Q1 2026: $3.44Q2 2026: $3.51Q3 2026: $1.97Forward: $4.30
Q4 2023: $2.23Q1 2024: $13.28Q2 2024: $13.24Q3 2024: $13.25Q4 2024: $12.66Q1 2025: $1.68Q2 2025: $1.93Q3 2025: $2.46Q4 2025: $3.30Q1 2026: $3.44Q2 2026: $3.51Q3 2026: $1.97Forward: $4.30
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.30+118%
Q3 2026$1.97-20%
Q2 2026$3.51+82%
Q1 2026$3.44+105%
Q4 2025$3.30-74%
Q3 2025$2.46-81%
Q2 2025$1.93-85%
Q1 2025$1.68-87%
Q4 2024$12.66+468%

BALL's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.97 over the past year, against $13.28 in early 2024.

GME Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.03Q1 2024: $0.02Q2 2024: $0.08Q3 2024: $0.13Q4 2024: $0.18Q1 2025: $0.33Q2 2025: $0.53Q3 2025: $0.80Q4 2025: $0.89Q1 2026: $0.77Q2 2026: $1.34Q3 2026: $1.54Forward: $0.67
Q4 2023: $-0.03Q1 2024: $0.02Q2 2024: $0.08Q3 2024: $0.13Q4 2024: $0.18Q1 2025: $0.33Q2 2025: $0.53Q3 2025: $0.80Q4 2025: $0.89Q1 2026: $0.77Q2 2026: $1.34Q3 2026: $1.54Forward: $0.67
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.67-56%
Q3 2026$1.54+93%
Q2 2026$1.34+153%
Q1 2026$0.77+133%
Q4 2025$0.89+394%
Q3 2025$0.80+515%
Q2 2025$0.53+563%
Q1 2025$0.33+1550%
Q4 2024$0.18+$0.21

GME has the edge over BALL on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BALL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $3.4BQ1 2024: $2.9BQ2 2024: $3BQ3 2024: $3.1BQ4 2024: $2.9BQ1 2025: $3.1BQ2 2025: $3.3BQ3 2025: $3.4BQ4 2025: $3.3BQ1 2026: $3.6BQ2 2026: $4BQ3 2026: $4.2B
Q4 2023: $3.4BQ1 2024: $2.9BQ2 2024: $3BQ3 2024: $3.1BQ4 2024: $2.9BQ1 2025: $3.1BQ2 2025: $3.3BQ3 2025: $3.4BQ4 2025: $3.3BQ1 2026: $3.6BQ2 2026: $4BQ3 2026: $4.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$4.2B+24%
Q2 2026$4B+20%
Q1 2026$3.6B+16%
Q4 2025$3.3B+16%
Q3 2025$3.4B+9.6%
Q2 2025$3.3B+13%
Q1 2025$3.1B+7.8%
Q4 2024$2.9B-15%

BALL has the edge over GME on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GME Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $1.8BQ2 2024: $882MQ3 2024: $798MQ4 2024: $860MQ1 2025: $1.3BQ2 2025: $732MQ3 2025: $972MQ4 2025: $821MQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $835MQ3 2026: $790M
Q4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $1.8BQ2 2024: $882MQ3 2024: $798MQ4 2024: $860MQ1 2025: $1.3BQ2 2025: $732MQ3 2025: $972MQ4 2025: $821MQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $835MQ3 2026: $790M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$790.2M-19%
Q2 2026$835.3M+14%
Q1 2026$1.1B-14%
Q4 2025$821M-4.6%
Q3 2025$972.2M+22%
Q2 2025$732.4M-17%
Q1 2025$1.3B-28%
Q4 2024$860.3M-20%

GME's revenue has slid since its 2022 peak: $790M last quarter, down 19% from the same quarter a year ago.

BALL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $521MQ1 2024: −$1.4BQ2 2024: $146MQ3 2024: $493MQ4 2024: $393MQ1 2025: −$746MQ2 2025: $236MQ3 2025: $257MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: −$938MQ2 2026: $467MQ3 2026: $32M
Q4 2023: $521MQ1 2024: −$1.4BQ2 2024: $146MQ3 2024: $493MQ4 2024: $393MQ1 2025: −$746MQ2 2025: $236MQ3 2025: $257MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: −$938MQ2 2026: $467MQ3 2026: $32M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$32M-88%
Q2 2026$467M+98%
Q1 2026-$938M-$192M
Q4 2025$1B+165%
Q3 2025$257M-48%
Q2 2025$236M+62%
Q1 2025-$746M+$655M
Q4 2024$393M-25%

BALL generated $602M in free cash flow over the past year, about four times what it generated the year before.

GME Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $11MQ1 2024: −$19MQ2 2024: −$115MQ3 2024: $66MQ4 2024: $20MQ1 2025: $159MQ2 2025: $190MQ3 2025: $113MQ4 2025: $107MQ1 2026: $187MQ2 2026: $333MQ3 2026: $61M
Q4 2023: $11MQ1 2024: −$19MQ2 2024: −$115MQ3 2024: $66MQ4 2024: $20MQ1 2025: $159MQ2 2025: $190MQ3 2025: $113MQ4 2025: $107MQ1 2026: $187MQ2 2026: $333MQ3 2026: $61M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$60.7M-46%
Q2 2026$332.9M+76%
Q1 2026$187.4M+18%
Q4 2025$107M+435%
Q3 2025$113.3M+73%
Q2 2025$189.6M+$304.3M
Q1 2025$158.8M+$177.5M
Q4 2024$20M+80%

GME has the edge over BALL on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BALL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 317MQ1 2024: 317MQ2 2024: 312MQ3 2024: 305MQ4 2024: 308MQ1 2025: 285MQ2 2025: 278MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 276MQ1 2026: 267MQ2 2026: 267MQ3 2026: 264M
Q4 2023: 317MQ1 2024: 317MQ2 2024: 312MQ3 2024: 305MQ4 2024: 308MQ1 2025: 285MQ2 2025: 278MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 276MQ1 2026: 267MQ2 2026: 267MQ3 2026: 264M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-3.3M shares
1 year-3.3%-9.1M shares
3 years-17%-53.5M shares
5 years-20%-67.8M shares
Available history-22%-76.3M shares

BALL has the edge over GME on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

GME Total Shares

Q4 2023: 305MQ1 2024: 305MQ2 2024: 306MQ3 2024: 387MQ4 2024: 438MQ1 2025: 395MQ2 2025: 498MQ3 2025: 547MQ4 2025: 592MQ1 2026: 549MQ2 2026: 592MQ3 2026: 593M
Q4 2023: 305MQ1 2024: 305MQ2 2024: 306MQ3 2024: 387MQ4 2024: 438MQ1 2025: 395MQ2 2025: 498MQ3 2025: 547MQ4 2025: 592MQ1 2026: 549MQ2 2026: 592MQ3 2026: 593M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+300K shares
1 year+8.4%+46.1M shares
3 years+94%+288M shares
5 years+104%+302M shares
Available history+80%+264M shares

GME has 593M diluted shares, up 8.4% from a year ago.

BALL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.0xQ1 2024: 2.2xQ2 2024: 2.7xQ3 2024: 2.8xQ4 2024: 3.9xQ1 2025: 5.0xQ2 2025: 5.0xQ3 2025: 4.4xQ4 2025: 3.3xQ1 2026: 4.0xQ2 2026: 3.7xQ3 2026: 5.4x
Q4 2023: 4.0xQ1 2024: 2.2xQ2 2024: 2.7xQ3 2024: 2.8xQ4 2024: 3.9xQ1 2025: 5.0xQ2 2025: 5.0xQ3 2025: 4.4xQ4 2025: 3.3xQ1 2026: 4.0xQ2 2026: 3.7xQ3 2026: 5.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20265.4xHigh
Q2 20263.7xElevated
Q1 20264.0xElevated
Q4 20253.3xElevated
Q3 20254.4xHigh
Q2 20255.0xHigh
Q1 20255.0xHigh
Q4 20243.9xElevated

BALL's net debt is about 5.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 4.4 years a year ago.

GME Net Leverage

BALL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI57.5Neutral
Stochastic77.9Neutral

BALL's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 78 (neutral).

GME Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI59.9Neutral
Stochastic68.5Neutral

GME's weekly RSI is 60 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 69 (neutral).

BALL PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBALLSector medianRelative
PE33x18x83% above
PE %614714 pts above

BALL is trading at 33x earnings, a 83% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

GME PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricGMESector medianRelative
PE17x18x7.7% below
PE %154732 pts below

GME has the edge over BALL on valuation relative to its sector.

BALL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$62.14.5% above
20 week MA$62.44% above
50 week MA$60.18% above
100 week MA$56.215% above
200 week MA$57.513% above

BALL has climbed back above all five of its weekly moving averages, and it's now 13% above its 200-week average.

GME Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$25.21.8% above
20 week MA$22.415% above
50 week MA$22.613% above
100 week MA$24.07% above
200 week MA$21.817% above

GME is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 17% above its 200-week average.

BALL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$64.7$92.3+43%
2021$92.3$90.0-2.5%
2022$90.0$51.6-43%
2023$51.6$57.5+11%
2024$57.5$55.8-2.9%
2025$55.8$52.7-5.7%
2026 YTD$52.7$64.9+23%

BALL has the edge over GME on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

GME Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$1.48$5.04+241%
2021$5.04$38.0+655%
2022$38.0$20.1-47%
2023$20.1$17.5-13%
2024$17.5$32.2+84%
2025$32.2$21.1-35%
2026 YTD$21.1$25.6+21%

GME's yearly returns have swung widely, from +655% in 2021 to −47% in 2022. It's up 21% so far in 2026.

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