BAC

Bank of America Corporation

60
Fundamentals72/ 100
Valuation55/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

BAC has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

SPNT

SiriusPoint Ltd.

64
Fundamentals79/ 100
Valuation57/ 100
Upside potential55/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

SPNT has the edge over BAC overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

BAC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

BAC's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BAC.

SPNT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
N/A
N/A

SPNT's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SPNT.

BAC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.6x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.6x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.4x$39.50-22%
Forward10x$50.51—
Current12x$50.51—
Fair13x$53.81+6.5%
Expensive15x$62.23+23%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BAC has the edge over SPNT in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

SPNT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.9x20x30x40x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.9x20x30x40x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap3.5x$14.23-47%
Current6.6x$26.81—
Fair7.8x$31.56+18%
Forward9.9x$26.81—
Expensive19x$78.26+192%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SPNT's PE is in its fair range at 6.6x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 9.9x.

BAC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

BAC has the edge over SPNT on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and revenue expectations.

SPNT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Growth
Stable
Stable
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect SPNT's earnings to grow, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.

BAC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$63.36
Downside-10%$45.36

Calculated from the latest close: $50.51 on Nov 12.

BAC has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SPNT, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

SPNT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$32.02
Downside-16%$22.58

Calculated from the latest close: $26.81 on Nov 12.

SPNT trails BAC on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

BAC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.08Q1 2024: $2.90Q2 2024: $2.85Q3 2024: $2.76Q4 2024: $3.21Q1 2025: $3.35Q2 2025: $3.41Q3 2025: $3.66Q4 2025: $3.81Q1 2026: $4.02Q2 2026: $4.34Q3 2026: $4.19Forward: $4.92
Q4 2023: $3.08Q1 2024: $2.90Q2 2024: $2.85Q3 2024: $2.76Q4 2024: $3.21Q1 2025: $3.35Q2 2025: $3.41Q3 2025: $3.66Q4 2025: $3.81Q1 2026: $4.02Q2 2026: $4.34Q3 2026: $4.19Forward: $4.92
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.92+17%
Q3 2026$4.19+14%
Q2 2026$4.34+27%
Q1 2026$4.02+20%
Q4 2025$3.81+19%
Q3 2025$3.66+33%
Q2 2025$3.41+20%
Q1 2025$3.35+16%
Q4 2024$3.21+4.2%

BAC's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $4.19 over the past year, up 14% from the year before, and higher year over year for eight quarters in a row.

SPNT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.95Q1 2024: $1.66Q2 2024: $1.86Q3 2024: $1.57Q4 2024: $1.04Q1 2025: $1.04Q2 2025: $0.97Q3 2025: $1.67Q4 2025: $3.64Q1 2026: $3.97Q2 2026: $4.05Q3 2026: $4.06Forward: $2.72
Q4 2023: $1.95Q1 2024: $1.66Q2 2024: $1.86Q3 2024: $1.57Q4 2024: $1.04Q1 2025: $1.04Q2 2025: $0.97Q3 2025: $1.67Q4 2025: $3.64Q1 2026: $3.97Q2 2026: $4.05Q3 2026: $4.06Forward: $2.72
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.72-33%
Q3 2026$4.06+143%
Q2 2026$4.05+318%
Q1 2026$3.97+282%
Q4 2025$3.64+250%
Q3 2025$1.67+6.4%
Q2 2025$0.97-48%
Q1 2025$1.04-37%
Q4 2024$1.04-47%

SPNT earned $4.06 per share over the past year, up 143% from the year before.

BAC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $25.8BQ2 2024: $25.4BQ3 2024: $25.3BQ4 2024: $25.3BQ1 2025: $27.4BQ2 2025: $26.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $31.2BQ1 2026: $30.3BQ2 2026: $31.6BQ3 2026: $30B
Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $25.8BQ2 2024: $25.4BQ3 2024: $25.3BQ4 2024: $25.3BQ1 2025: $27.4BQ2 2025: $26.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $31.2BQ1 2026: $30.3BQ2 2026: $31.6BQ3 2026: $30B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$30B+6.7%
Q2 2026$31.6B+19%
Q1 2026$30.3B+11%
Q4 2025$31.2B+23%
Q3 2025$28.1B+11%
Q2 2025$26.5B+4.3%
Q1 2025$27.4B+6%
Q4 2024$25.3B+15%

BAC has the edge over SPNT on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SPNT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $646MQ1 2024: $686MQ2 2024: $743MQ3 2024: $562MQ4 2024: $613MQ1 2025: $727MQ2 2025: $748MQ3 2025: $756MQ4 2025: $974MQ1 2026: $775MQ2 2026: $744MQ3 2026: $868M
Q4 2023: $646MQ1 2024: $686MQ2 2024: $743MQ3 2024: $562MQ4 2024: $613MQ1 2025: $727MQ2 2025: $748MQ3 2025: $756MQ4 2025: $974MQ1 2026: $775MQ2 2026: $744MQ3 2026: $868M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$867.6M+15%
Q2 2026$744.1M-0.5%
Q1 2026$774.6M+6.5%
Q4 2025$973.7M+59%
Q3 2025$755.9M+34%
Q2 2025$748.2M+0.7%
Q1 2025$727.3M+6.1%
Q4 2024$612.8M-5.1%

SPNT's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $868M last quarter, up 15% from the same quarter a year ago.

BAC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $32.7BQ1 2024: −$15.5BQ2 2024: $18.1BQ3 2024: −$37.3BQ4 2024: $25.9BQ1 2025: −$2.2BQ2 2025: −$9.1BQ3 2025: $46.9BQ4 2025: −$22.9BQ1 2026: $41.8BQ2 2026: $29BQ3 2026: −$6.5B
Q4 2023: $32.7BQ1 2024: −$15.5BQ2 2024: $18.1BQ3 2024: −$37.3BQ4 2024: $25.9BQ1 2025: −$2.2BQ2 2025: −$9.1BQ3 2025: $46.9BQ4 2025: −$22.9BQ1 2026: $41.8BQ2 2026: $29BQ3 2026: −$6.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$6.5B-114%
Q2 2026$29B+$38.2B
Q1 2026$41.8B+$44B
Q4 2025-$22.9B-189%
Q3 2025$46.9B+$84.2B
Q2 2025-$9.1B-150%
Q1 2025-$2.2B+$13.4B
Q4 2024$25.9B-21%

BAC's free cash flow was $41.4B over the past year, down 33% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BAC.

SPNT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $213MQ1 2024: $56MQ2 2024: −$147MQ3 2024: $58MQ4 2024: $108MQ1 2025: −$89MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $156MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: $142MQ2 2026: −$5MQ3 2026: $170M
Q4 2023: $213MQ1 2024: $56MQ2 2024: −$147MQ3 2024: $58MQ4 2024: $108MQ1 2025: −$89MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $156MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: $142MQ2 2026: −$5MQ3 2026: $170M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$170M+9.3%
Q2 2026-$5.2M-108%
Q1 2026$141.9M+$230.8M
Q4 2025-$26.4M-125%
Q3 2025$155.6M+168%
Q2 2025$62.1M+$209M
Q1 2025-$88.9M-259%
Q4 2024$107.7M-50%

SPNT's free cash flow was $280M over the past year, up 19% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SPNT.

BAC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 8.1BQ1 2024: 8BQ2 2024: 8BQ3 2024: 7.9BQ4 2024: 7.9BQ1 2025: 7.8BQ2 2025: 7.7BQ3 2025: 7.6BQ4 2025: 7.7BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.3BQ3 2026: 7.2B
Q4 2023: 8.1BQ1 2024: 8BQ2 2024: 8BQ3 2024: 7.9BQ4 2024: 7.9BQ1 2025: 7.8BQ2 2025: 7.7BQ3 2025: 7.6BQ4 2025: 7.7BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.3BQ3 2026: 7.2B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1%-72M shares
1 year-5.3%-405M shares
3 years-11%-854M shares
5 years-15%-1.3B shares
Available history-24%-2.2B shares

BAC has the edge over SPNT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SPNT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 170MQ1 2024: 174MQ2 2024: 179MQ3 2024: 173MQ4 2024: 169MQ1 2025: 119MQ2 2025: 119MQ3 2025: 119MQ4 2025: 122MQ1 2026: 122MQ2 2026: 119MQ3 2026: 117M
Q4 2023: 170MQ1 2024: 174MQ2 2024: 179MQ3 2024: 173MQ4 2024: 169MQ1 2025: 119MQ2 2025: 119MQ3 2025: 119MQ4 2025: 122MQ1 2026: 122MQ2 2026: 119MQ3 2026: 117M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.6%-1.8M shares
1 year-1.4%-1.7M shares
3 years-30%-51.3M shares
5 years-27%-43.1M shares
Available history+26%+24.5M shares

SPNT has 117M diluted shares, down 1.4% from a year ago, with $101M in buybacks over the past year.

BAC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 9.5xQ1 2024: 9.5xQ2 2024: 9.4xQ3 2024: 9.9xQ4 2024: 9.0xQ1 2025: 8.6xQ2 2025: 8.8xQ3 2025: 8.3xQ4 2025: 7.7xQ1 2026: 7.1xQ2 2026: 6.7xQ3 2026: 6.4x
Q4 2023: 9.5xQ1 2024: 9.5xQ2 2024: 9.4xQ3 2024: 9.9xQ4 2024: 9.0xQ1 2025: 8.6xQ2 2025: 8.8xQ3 2025: 8.3xQ4 2025: 7.7xQ1 2026: 7.1xQ2 2026: 6.7xQ3 2026: 6.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20266.4xHigh
Q2 20266.7xHigh
Q1 20267.1xHigh
Q4 20257.7xHigh
Q3 20258.3xHigh
Q2 20258.8xHigh
Q1 20258.6xHigh
Q4 20249.0xHigh

BAC's net debt is about 6.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.3 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BAC.

SPNT Net Leverage

BAC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI37.1Neutral
Stochastic4.9Oversold

BAC's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

SPNT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI67.5Neutral
Stochastic84.7Overbought

SPNT's weekly RSI is 67 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 85 (overbought).

BAC PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBACSector medianRelative
PE12x13x7.5% below
PE %406323 pts below

BAC is trading at 12x earnings, in line with the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

SPNT PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricSPNTSector medianRelative
PE6.6x13x49% below
PE %386325 pts below

SPNT has the edge over BAC on valuation relative to its sector.

BAC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$52.13% below
20 week MA$57.813% below
50 week MA$54.77.7% below
100 week MA$50.50% below
200 week MA$42.519% above

BAC has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 19% above its 200-week average.

SPNT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$25.64.8% above
20 week MA$24.88.1% above
50 week MA$23.017% above
100 week MA$20.332% above
200 week MA$15.870% above

SPNT has the edge over BAC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BAC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$35.4$30.0-15%
2021$30.0$44.4+48%
2022$44.4$32.5-27%
2023$32.5$33.7+3.7%
2024$33.7$44.3+32%
2025$44.3$56.2+27%
2026 YTD$56.2$50.5-10%

BAC has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 10% so far in 2026.

SPNT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.5$9.26-12%
2021$9.26$8.25-11%
2022$8.25$6.25-24%
2023$6.25$11.6+86%
2024$11.6$14.2+23%
2025$14.2$22.3+57%
2026 YTD$22.3$26.8+20%

SPNT has the edge over BAC on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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