BAC
Bank of America Corporation
BAC has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
SHOP
Shopify Inc.
SHOP has the edge over BAC overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.
BAC Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
BAC's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BAC.
SHOP Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
SHOP's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
BAC PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 9.4x | $39.50 | -22% |
| Forward | 10x | $50.51 | — |
| Current | 12x | $50.51 | — |
| Fair | 13x | $53.81 | +6.5% |
| Expensive | 15x | $62.23 | +23% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BAC has the edge over SHOP in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
SHOP PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 67x | $147 | — |
| Cheap | 78x | $129 | -12% |
| Current | 89x | $147 | — |
| Fair | 107x | $177 | +21% |
| Expensive | 338x | $557 | +280% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
SHOP's PE is in its cheap range at 89x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 67x next year's earnings.
BAC Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
BAC has the edge over SHOP on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
SHOP Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for SHOP, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
BAC Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $4.92 | +17% |
| Q3 2026 | $4.19 | +14% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.34 | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.02 | +20% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.81 | +19% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.66 | +33% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.41 | +20% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.35 | +16% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.21 | +4.2% |
BAC has the edge over SHOP on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
SHOP Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.20 | +33% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.65 | +21% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.49 | -17% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.02 | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.94 | -40% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.36 | +27% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.80 | +84% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.24 | +$1.41 |
| Q4 2024 | $1.56 | +1633% |
SHOP's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.65 over the past year, against $2.68 in late 2021.
BAC Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $30B | +6.7% |
| Q2 2026 | $31.6B | +19% |
| Q1 2026 | $30.3B | +11% |
| Q4 2025 | $31.2B | +23% |
| Q3 2025 | $28.1B | +11% |
| Q2 2025 | $26.5B | +4.3% |
| Q1 2025 | $27.4B | +6% |
| Q4 2024 | $25.3B | +15% |
BAC's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $30B last quarter, up 6.7% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 30% | -3.7 points |
| Q2 2026 | 37% | +7.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 34% | +4.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 40% | +12 points |
| Q3 2025 | 34% | +4.8 points |
| Q2 2025 | 29% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 30% | +1.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | 28% | +14 points |
BAC has the edge over SHOP on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
SHOP Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.7B | +32% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.6B | +34% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.2B | +34% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.7B | +31% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.8B | +32% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.7B | +31% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.4B | +27% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.8B | +31% |
SHOP has the edge over BAC on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 15% | +3.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 14% | +2.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | 12% | +3.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 17% | +0.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 12% | -1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 11% | -0.9 points |
| Q1 2025 | 8.6% | +4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 17% | +3.1 points |
SHOP's operating margin was 15% last quarter, up 3.1 points from the same quarter a year ago.
BAC Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$6.5B | -114% |
| Q2 2026 | $29B | +$38.2B |
| Q1 2026 | $41.8B | +$44B |
| Q4 2025 | -$22.9B | -189% |
| Q3 2025 | $46.9B | +$84.2B |
| Q2 2025 | -$9.1B | -150% |
| Q1 2025 | -$2.2B | +$13.4B |
| Q4 2024 | $25.9B | -21% |
BAC's free cash flow was $41.4B over the past year, down 33% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BAC.
SHOP Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $816M | +61% |
| Q2 2026 | $654M | +55% |
| Q1 2026 | $476M | +31% |
| Q4 2025 | $715M | +17% |
| Q3 2025 | $507M | +20% |
| Q2 2025 | $422M | +27% |
| Q1 2025 | $363M | +56% |
| Q4 2024 | $611M | +37% |
SHOP has the edge over BAC on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
BAC Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1% | -72M shares |
| 1 year | -5.3% | -405M shares |
| 3 years | -11% | -854M shares |
| 5 years | -15% | -1.3B shares |
| Available history | -24% | -2.2B shares |
BAC has the edge over SHOP on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $6B |
| Q2 2026 | $6B |
| Q1 2026 | $7.2B |
| Q4 2025 | $6.3B |
| Q3 2025 | $5.3B |
| Q2 2025 | $5.3B |
| Q1 2025 | $4.5B |
| Q4 2024 | $3.5B |
BAC spent $25.6B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 37% from the year before.
SHOP Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.6% | -7.2M shares |
| 1 year | -1.7% | -22.1M shares |
| 3 years | -0.4% | -5.1M shares |
| 5 years | +1.1% | +14.5M shares |
| Available history | +11% | +130M shares |
SHOP has 1.3B diluted shares, down 1.7% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $562M |
| Q2 2026 | $1.4B |
| Q1 2026 | $491M |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
BAC Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 6.4x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 6.7x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 7.1x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 7.7x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 8.3x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 8.8x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 8.6x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 9.0x | High |
BAC's net debt is about 6.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.3 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BAC.
SHOP Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.7x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
SHOP has the edge over BAC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
BAC Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 37.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 4.9 | Oversold |
BAC's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).
SHOP Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 52.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 51.5 | Neutral |
SHOP's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 52 (neutral).
BAC PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | BAC | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 12x | 13x | 7.5% below |
| PE % | 40 | 63 | 23 pts below |
BAC has the edge over SHOP on valuation relative to its sector.
SHOP PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | SHOP | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 89x | 28x | 219% above |
| PE % | 29 | 35 | 6 pts below |
SHOP is trading at 89x earnings, a 219% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
BAC Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $52.1 | 3% below |
| 20 week MA | $57.8 | 13% below |
| 50 week MA | $54.7 | 7.7% below |
| 100 week MA | $50.5 | 0% below |
| 200 week MA | $42.5 | 19% above |
BAC has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 19% above its 200-week average.
SHOP Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $157.0 | 6.5% below |
| 20 week MA | $143.1 | 2.5% above |
| 50 week MA | $134.4 | 9.2% above |
| 100 week MA | $128.1 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $97.7 | 50% above |
SHOP has the edge over BAC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
BAC Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $35.4 | $30.0 | -15% |
| 2021 | $30.0 | $44.4 | +48% |
| 2022 | $44.4 | $32.5 | -27% |
| 2023 | $32.5 | $33.7 | +3.7% |
| 2024 | $33.7 | $44.3 | +32% |
| 2025 | $44.3 | $56.2 | +27% |
| 2026 YTD | $56.2 | $50.5 | -10% |
BAC has the edge over SHOP on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
SHOP Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $40.8 | $122.6 | +200% |
| 2021 | $122.6 | $143.9 | +17% |
| 2022 | $143.9 | $33.7 | -77% |
| 2023 | $33.7 | $77.9 | +131% |
| 2024 | $77.9 | $108.2 | +39% |
| 2025 | $108.2 | $170.8 | +58% |
| 2026 YTD | $170.8 | $146.8 | -14% |
SHOP's yearly returns have swung widely, from +200% in 2020 to −77% in 2022. It's down 14% so far in 2026.