BAC

Bank of America Corporation

60
Fundamentals72/ 100
Valuation55/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

BAC has the edge over RDN overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

RDN

Radian Group Inc.

50
Fundamentals50/ 100
Valuation40/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

RDN trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

BAC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

BAC's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BAC.

RDN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
N/A
N/A

RDN's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like RDN.

BAC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.6x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.6x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.4x$39.50-22%
Forward10x$50.51—
Current12x$50.51—
Fair13x$53.81+6.5%
Expensive15x$62.23+23%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BAC has the edge over RDN in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

RDN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.2x6.4x9.6x13x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.2x6.4x9.6x13x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap5.7x$23.35-36%
Forward7.1x$36.75—
Fair8.1x$33.18-9.7%
Current9x$36.75—
Expensive9.2x$37.34+1.6%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

RDN's PE is in its expensive range at 9.0x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 7.1x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

BAC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

BAC has the edge over RDN on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

RDN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Strong growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for RDN, but weaker profitability.

BAC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$63.36
Downside-10%$45.36

Calculated from the latest close: $50.51 on Nov 12.

BAC has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RDN, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

RDN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+18%$43.50
Downside-13%$32.13

Calculated from the latest close: $36.75 on Nov 12.

RDN trails BAC on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

BAC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.08Q1 2024: $2.90Q2 2024: $2.85Q3 2024: $2.76Q4 2024: $3.21Q1 2025: $3.35Q2 2025: $3.41Q3 2025: $3.66Q4 2025: $3.81Q1 2026: $4.02Q2 2026: $4.34Q3 2026: $4.19Forward: $4.92
Q4 2023: $3.08Q1 2024: $2.90Q2 2024: $2.85Q3 2024: $2.76Q4 2024: $3.21Q1 2025: $3.35Q2 2025: $3.41Q3 2025: $3.66Q4 2025: $3.81Q1 2026: $4.02Q2 2026: $4.34Q3 2026: $4.19Forward: $4.92
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.92+17%
Q3 2026$4.19+14%
Q2 2026$4.34+27%
Q1 2026$4.02+20%
Q4 2025$3.81+19%
Q3 2025$3.66+33%
Q2 2025$3.41+20%
Q1 2025$3.35+16%
Q4 2024$3.21+4.2%

BAC has the edge over RDN on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

RDN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.77Q1 2024: $3.77Q2 2024: $3.84Q3 2024: $3.85Q4 2024: $3.92Q1 2025: $3.92Q2 2025: $3.96Q3 2025: $4.00Q4 2025: $4.15Q1 2026: $4.06Q2 2026: $3.89Q3 2026: $4.08Forward: $5.16
Q4 2023: $3.77Q1 2024: $3.77Q2 2024: $3.84Q3 2024: $3.85Q4 2024: $3.92Q1 2025: $3.92Q2 2025: $3.96Q3 2025: $4.00Q4 2025: $4.15Q1 2026: $4.06Q2 2026: $3.89Q3 2026: $4.08Forward: $5.16
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.16+26%
Q3 2026$4.08+2%
Q2 2026$3.89-1.8%
Q1 2026$4.06+3.6%
Q4 2025$4.15+5.9%
Q3 2025$4.00+3.9%
Q2 2025$3.96+3.1%
Q1 2025$3.92+4%
Q4 2024$3.92+4%

RDN earned $4.08 per share over the past year, up 2% from the year before.

BAC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $25.8BQ2 2024: $25.4BQ3 2024: $25.3BQ4 2024: $25.3BQ1 2025: $27.4BQ2 2025: $26.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $31.2BQ1 2026: $30.3BQ2 2026: $31.6BQ3 2026: $30B
Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $25.8BQ2 2024: $25.4BQ3 2024: $25.3BQ4 2024: $25.3BQ1 2025: $27.4BQ2 2025: $26.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $31.2BQ1 2026: $30.3BQ2 2026: $31.6BQ3 2026: $30B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$30B+6.7%
Q2 2026$31.6B+19%
Q1 2026$30.3B+11%
Q4 2025$31.2B+23%
Q3 2025$28.1B+11%
Q2 2025$26.5B+4.3%
Q1 2025$27.4B+6%
Q4 2024$25.3B+15%

BAC has the edge over RDN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

RDN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $326MQ1 2024: $319MQ2 2024: $321MQ3 2024: $334MQ4 2024: $316MQ1 2025: $318MQ2 2025: $318MQ3 2025: $303MQ4 2025: $301MQ1 2026: $466MQ2 2026: $575MQ3 2026: $624M
Q4 2023: $326MQ1 2024: $319MQ2 2024: $321MQ3 2024: $334MQ4 2024: $316MQ1 2025: $318MQ2 2025: $318MQ3 2025: $303MQ4 2025: $301MQ1 2026: $466MQ2 2026: $575MQ3 2026: $624M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$624.1M+106%
Q2 2026$575M+81%
Q1 2026$466.3M+47%
Q4 2025$300.5M-4.9%
Q3 2025$303.2M-9.2%
Q2 2025$318M-1%
Q1 2025$318.1M-0.4%
Q4 2024$315.9M-3.1%

RDN's revenue has picked up after three years of holding roughly level: $624M last quarter, up 106% from the same quarter a year ago.

BAC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $32.7BQ1 2024: −$15.5BQ2 2024: $18.1BQ3 2024: −$37.3BQ4 2024: $25.9BQ1 2025: −$2.2BQ2 2025: −$9.1BQ3 2025: $46.9BQ4 2025: −$22.9BQ1 2026: $41.8BQ2 2026: $29BQ3 2026: −$6.5B
Q4 2023: $32.7BQ1 2024: −$15.5BQ2 2024: $18.1BQ3 2024: −$37.3BQ4 2024: $25.9BQ1 2025: −$2.2BQ2 2025: −$9.1BQ3 2025: $46.9BQ4 2025: −$22.9BQ1 2026: $41.8BQ2 2026: $29BQ3 2026: −$6.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$6.5B-114%
Q2 2026$29B+$38.2B
Q1 2026$41.8B+$44B
Q4 2025-$22.9B-189%
Q3 2025$46.9B+$84.2B
Q2 2025-$9.1B-150%
Q1 2025-$2.2B+$13.4B
Q4 2024$25.9B-21%

BAC's free cash flow was $41.4B over the past year, down 33% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BAC.

RDN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $49MQ2 2024: −$208MQ3 2024: −$238MQ4 2024: −$270MQ1 2025: $67MQ2 2025: −$715MQ3 2025: $358MQ4 2025: $406MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $343MQ3 2026: $379M
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $49MQ2 2024: −$208MQ3 2024: −$238MQ4 2024: −$270MQ1 2025: $67MQ2 2025: −$715MQ3 2025: $358MQ4 2025: $406MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $343MQ3 2026: $379M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$379M+6%
Q2 2026$342.7M+$1.1B
Q1 2026$284.3M+327%
Q4 2025$406.1M+$675.9M
Q3 2025$357.6M+$595.7M
Q2 2025-$714.6M-$506.3M
Q1 2025$66.6M+35%
Q3 2024-$238.1M-417%

RDN has the edge over BAC on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BAC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 8.1BQ1 2024: 8BQ2 2024: 8BQ3 2024: 7.9BQ4 2024: 7.9BQ1 2025: 7.8BQ2 2025: 7.7BQ3 2025: 7.6BQ4 2025: 7.7BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.3BQ3 2026: 7.2B
Q4 2023: 8.1BQ1 2024: 8BQ2 2024: 8BQ3 2024: 7.9BQ4 2024: 7.9BQ1 2025: 7.8BQ2 2025: 7.7BQ3 2025: 7.6BQ4 2025: 7.7BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.3BQ3 2026: 7.2B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1%-72M shares
1 year-5.3%-405M shares
3 years-11%-854M shares
5 years-15%-1.3B shares
Available history-24%-2.2B shares

BAC has the edge over RDN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RDN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 160MQ1 2024: 156MQ2 2024: 154MQ3 2024: 153MQ4 2024: 154MQ1 2025: 148MQ2 2025: 138MQ3 2025: 138MQ4 2025: 138MQ1 2026: 138MQ2 2026: 136MQ3 2026: 134M
Q4 2023: 160MQ1 2024: 156MQ2 2024: 154MQ3 2024: 153MQ4 2024: 154MQ1 2025: 148MQ2 2025: 138MQ3 2025: 138MQ4 2025: 138MQ1 2026: 138MQ2 2026: 136MQ3 2026: 134M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.4%-1.9M shares
1 year-2.6%-3.5M shares
3 years-16%-25.8M shares
5 years-29%-53.7M shares
Available history-34%-70.8M shares

RDN has 134M diluted shares, down 2.6% from a year ago, with $256M in buybacks over the past year.

BAC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 9.5xQ1 2024: 9.5xQ2 2024: 9.4xQ3 2024: 9.9xQ4 2024: 9.0xQ1 2025: 8.6xQ2 2025: 8.8xQ3 2025: 8.3xQ4 2025: 7.7xQ1 2026: 7.1xQ2 2026: 6.7xQ3 2026: 6.4x
Q4 2023: 9.5xQ1 2024: 9.5xQ2 2024: 9.4xQ3 2024: 9.9xQ4 2024: 9.0xQ1 2025: 8.6xQ2 2025: 8.8xQ3 2025: 8.3xQ4 2025: 7.7xQ1 2026: 7.1xQ2 2026: 6.7xQ3 2026: 6.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20266.4xHigh
Q2 20266.7xHigh
Q1 20267.1xHigh
Q4 20257.7xHigh
Q3 20258.3xHigh
Q2 20258.8xHigh
Q1 20258.6xHigh
Q4 20249.0xHigh

BAC's net debt is about 6.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.3 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BAC.

RDN Net Leverage

Q2 2025: 2.2xQ3 2025: 1.4xQ4 2025: 1.3x
Q2 2025: 2.2xQ3 2025: 1.4xQ4 2025: 1.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.4xHealthy
Q2 20252.2xModerate
Q4 20190.9xVery low

RDN's net debt is about 1.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like RDN.

BAC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI37.1Neutral
Stochastic4.9Oversold

BAC's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

RDN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI55.5Neutral
Stochastic60.6Neutral

RDN's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 61 (neutral).

BAC PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBACSector medianRelative
PE12x13x7.5% below
PE %406323 pts below

BAC is trading at 12x earnings, in line with the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

RDN PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricRDNSector medianRelative
PE9x13x31% below
PE %796316 pts above

RDN has the edge over BAC on valuation relative to its sector.

BAC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$52.13% below
20 week MA$57.813% below
50 week MA$54.77.7% below
100 week MA$50.50% below
200 week MA$42.519% above

BAC has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 19% above its 200-week average.

RDN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$34.75.9% above
20 week MA$36.21.4% above
50 week MA$35.34.1% above
100 week MA$34.56.5% above
200 week MA$31.616% above

RDN has the edge over BAC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BAC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$35.4$30.0-15%
2021$30.0$44.4+48%
2022$44.4$32.5-27%
2023$32.5$33.7+3.7%
2024$33.7$44.3+32%
2025$44.3$56.2+27%
2026 YTD$56.2$50.5-10%

BAC has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 10% so far in 2026.

RDN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$25.3$20.0-21%
2021$20.0$20.5+2.6%
2022$20.5$19.1-7.1%
2023$19.1$28.6+50%
2024$28.6$31.8+11%
2025$31.8$36.4+15%
2026 YTD$36.4$36.8+0.9%

RDN has the edge over BAC on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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