BAC

Bank of America Corporation

60
Fundamentals72/ 100
Valuation55/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

BAC has the edge over PAX overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

PAX

Patria Investments Limited

43
Fundamentals38/ 100
Valuation53/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

PAX trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

BAC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

BAC's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BAC.

PAX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
N/A
N/A

PAX's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like PAX.

BAC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.6x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.6x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.4x$39.50-22%
Forward10x$50.51—
Current12x$50.51—
Fair13x$53.81+6.5%
Expensive15x$62.23+23%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BAC's PE is in its fair range at 12x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 10x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

PAX PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x25x38x50x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x25x38x50x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward6.9x$9.18—
Cheap17x$7.80-15%
Current20x$9.18—
Fair23x$10.23+11%
Expensive29x$12.85+40%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PAX has the edge over BAC in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

BAC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

BAC has the edge over PAX on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.

PAX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Stable
Growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect PAX's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken.

BAC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$63.36
Downside-10%$45.36

Calculated from the latest close: $50.51 on Nov 12.

BAC has a better modeled risk to reward balance than PAX, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

PAX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+22%$11.18
Downside-16%$7.68

Calculated from the latest close: $9.18 on Nov 12.

PAX trails BAC on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

BAC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.08Q1 2024: $2.90Q2 2024: $2.85Q3 2024: $2.76Q4 2024: $3.21Q1 2025: $3.35Q2 2025: $3.41Q3 2025: $3.66Q4 2025: $3.81Q1 2026: $4.02Q2 2026: $4.34Q3 2026: $4.19Forward: $4.92
Q4 2023: $3.08Q1 2024: $2.90Q2 2024: $2.85Q3 2024: $2.76Q4 2024: $3.21Q1 2025: $3.35Q2 2025: $3.41Q3 2025: $3.66Q4 2025: $3.81Q1 2026: $4.02Q2 2026: $4.34Q3 2026: $4.19Forward: $4.92
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.92+17%
Q3 2026$4.19+14%
Q2 2026$4.34+27%
Q1 2026$4.02+20%
Q4 2025$3.81+19%
Q3 2025$3.66+33%
Q2 2025$3.41+20%
Q1 2025$3.35+16%
Q4 2024$3.21+4.2%

BAC has the edge over PAX on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PAX Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $0.80Q4 2023: $0.79Q1 2024: $0.77Q2 2024: $0.54Q3 2024: $0.43Q4 2024: $0.49Q1 2025: $0.47Q2 2025: $0.55Q3 2025: $0.69Q4 2025: $0.54Q1 2026: $0.47Q2 2026: $0.45Forward: $1.33
Q3 2023: $0.80Q4 2023: $0.79Q1 2024: $0.77Q2 2024: $0.54Q3 2024: $0.43Q4 2024: $0.49Q1 2025: $0.47Q2 2025: $0.55Q3 2025: $0.69Q4 2025: $0.54Q1 2026: $0.47Q2 2026: $0.45Forward: $1.33
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.33+196%
Q2 2026$0.45-18%
Q1 2026$0.470%
Q4 2025$0.54+10%
Q3 2025$0.69+60%
Q2 2025$0.55+1.9%
Q1 2025$0.47-39%
Q4 2024$0.49-38%
Q3 2024$0.43-46%

PAX's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.45 over the past year, against $0.95 in mid-2021.

BAC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $25.8BQ2 2024: $25.4BQ3 2024: $25.3BQ4 2024: $25.3BQ1 2025: $27.4BQ2 2025: $26.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $31.2BQ1 2026: $30.3BQ2 2026: $31.6BQ3 2026: $30B
Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $25.8BQ2 2024: $25.4BQ3 2024: $25.3BQ4 2024: $25.3BQ1 2025: $27.4BQ2 2025: $26.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $31.2BQ1 2026: $30.3BQ2 2026: $31.6BQ3 2026: $30B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$30B+6.7%
Q2 2026$31.6B+19%
Q1 2026$30.3B+11%
Q4 2025$31.2B+23%
Q3 2025$28.1B+11%
Q2 2025$26.5B+4.3%
Q1 2025$27.4B+6%
Q4 2024$25.3B+15%

BAC's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $30B last quarter, up 6.7% from the same quarter a year ago.

PAX Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $64MQ4 2023: $112MQ1 2024: $64MQ2 2024: $75MQ3 2024: $78MQ4 2024: $157MQ1 2025: $80MQ2 2025: $83MQ3 2025: $86MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $98MQ2 2026: $111M
Q3 2023: $64MQ4 2023: $112MQ1 2024: $64MQ2 2024: $75MQ3 2024: $78MQ4 2024: $157MQ1 2025: $80MQ2 2025: $83MQ3 2025: $86MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $98MQ2 2026: $111M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$111.3M+35%
Q1 2026$98.2M+23%
Q4 2025$134.4M-15%
Q3 2025$86.5M+11%
Q2 2025$82.5M+10%
Q1 2025$79.6M+25%
Q4 2024$157.2M+41%
Q3 2024$78.1M+23%

PAX's revenue is recovering but still below its 2024 peak: $111M last quarter, up 35% from the same quarter a year ago.

BAC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $32.7BQ1 2024: −$15.5BQ2 2024: $18.1BQ3 2024: −$37.3BQ4 2024: $25.9BQ1 2025: −$2.2BQ2 2025: −$9.1BQ3 2025: $46.9BQ4 2025: −$22.9BQ1 2026: $41.8BQ2 2026: $29BQ3 2026: −$6.5B
Q4 2023: $32.7BQ1 2024: −$15.5BQ2 2024: $18.1BQ3 2024: −$37.3BQ4 2024: $25.9BQ1 2025: −$2.2BQ2 2025: −$9.1BQ3 2025: $46.9BQ4 2025: −$22.9BQ1 2026: $41.8BQ2 2026: $29BQ3 2026: −$6.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$6.5B-114%
Q2 2026$29B+$38.2B
Q1 2026$41.8B+$44B
Q4 2025-$22.9B-189%
Q3 2025$46.9B+$84.2B
Q2 2025-$9.1B-150%
Q1 2025-$2.2B+$13.4B
Q4 2024$25.9B-21%

BAC's free cash flow was $41.4B over the past year, down 33% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BAC.

PAX Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $38MQ4 2023: $33MQ1 2024: $40MQ2 2024: $7MQ3 2024: $67MQ4 2024: $23MQ1 2025: $98MQ2 2025: $73MQ3 2025: $52MQ4 2025: $32MQ1 2026: $28MQ2 2026: $36M
Q3 2023: $38MQ4 2023: $33MQ1 2024: $40MQ2 2024: $7MQ3 2024: $67MQ4 2024: $23MQ1 2025: $98MQ2 2025: $73MQ3 2025: $52MQ4 2025: $32MQ1 2026: $28MQ2 2026: $36M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$35.5M-51%
Q1 2026$28.4M-71%
Q4 2025$32.3M+40%
Q3 2025$52.1M-22%
Q2 2025$72.9M+879%
Q1 2025$97.8M+144%
Q4 2024$23.1M-29%
Q3 2024$67M+75%

PAX's free cash flow was $148M over the past year, down 43% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like PAX.

BAC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 8.1BQ1 2024: 8BQ2 2024: 8BQ3 2024: 7.9BQ4 2024: 7.9BQ1 2025: 7.8BQ2 2025: 7.7BQ3 2025: 7.6BQ4 2025: 7.7BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.3BQ3 2026: 7.2B
Q4 2023: 8.1BQ1 2024: 8BQ2 2024: 8BQ3 2024: 7.9BQ4 2024: 7.9BQ1 2025: 7.8BQ2 2025: 7.7BQ3 2025: 7.6BQ4 2025: 7.7BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.3BQ3 2026: 7.2B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1%-72M shares
1 year-5.3%-405M shares
3 years-11%-854M shares
5 years-15%-1.3B shares
Available history-24%-2.2B shares

BAC has the edge over PAX on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

PAX Total Shares

Q3 2023: 148MQ4 2023: 149MQ1 2024: 152MQ2 2024: 152MQ3 2024: 153MQ4 2024: 154MQ1 2025: 158MQ2 2025: 158MQ3 2025: 153MQ4 2025: 158MQ1 2026: 159MQ2 2026: 160M
Q3 2023: 148MQ4 2023: 149MQ1 2024: 152MQ2 2024: 152MQ3 2024: 153MQ4 2024: 154MQ1 2025: 158MQ2 2025: 158MQ3 2025: 153MQ4 2025: 158MQ1 2026: 159MQ2 2026: 160M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.6%+953K shares
1 year+0.9%+1.5M shares
3 years+7.7%+11.4M shares
5 years+19%+25.6M shares
Available history+36%+42.6M shares

PAX has 160M diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago, despite $69M in buybacks over the past year.

BAC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 9.5xQ1 2024: 9.5xQ2 2024: 9.4xQ3 2024: 9.9xQ4 2024: 9.0xQ1 2025: 8.6xQ2 2025: 8.8xQ3 2025: 8.3xQ4 2025: 7.7xQ1 2026: 7.1xQ2 2026: 6.7xQ3 2026: 6.4x
Q4 2023: 9.5xQ1 2024: 9.5xQ2 2024: 9.4xQ3 2024: 9.9xQ4 2024: 9.0xQ1 2025: 8.6xQ2 2025: 8.8xQ3 2025: 8.3xQ4 2025: 7.7xQ1 2026: 7.1xQ2 2026: 6.7xQ3 2026: 6.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20266.4xHigh
Q2 20266.7xHigh
Q1 20267.1xHigh
Q4 20257.7xHigh
Q3 20258.3xHigh
Q2 20258.8xHigh
Q1 20258.6xHigh
Q4 20249.0xHigh

BAC's net debt is about 6.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.3 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BAC.

PAX Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: -0.0xQ1 2024: 0.5xQ2 2024: 1.2xQ3 2024: 1.1xQ4 2024: 1.5xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.0xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.9xQ1 2026: 1.3xQ2 2026: 2.2x
Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: -0.0xQ1 2024: 0.5xQ2 2024: 1.2xQ3 2024: 1.1xQ4 2024: 1.5xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.0xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.9xQ1 2026: 1.3xQ2 2026: 2.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20262.2xModerate
Q1 20261.3xHealthy
Q4 20250.9xVery low
Q3 20250.8xVery low
Q2 20251.0xHealthy
Q1 20251.3xHealthy
Q4 20241.5xHealthy
Q3 20241.1xHealthy

PAX has the edge over BAC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BAC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI37.1Neutral
Stochastic4.9Oversold

BAC's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

PAX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.2Neutral
Stochastic8.1Oversold

PAX's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

BAC PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBACSector medianRelative
PE12x13x7.5% below
PE %406323 pts below

BAC has the edge over PAX on valuation relative to its sector.

PAX PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricPAXSector medianRelative
PE20x13x57% above
PE %406222 pts below

PAX is trading at 20x earnings, a 57% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

BAC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$52.13% below
20 week MA$57.813% below
50 week MA$54.77.7% below
100 week MA$50.50% below
200 week MA$42.519% above

BAC has the edge over PAX on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

PAX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$10.412% below
20 week MA$10.815% below
50 week MA$12.426% below
100 week MA$12.627% below
200 week MA$13.231% below

PAX is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 31% below its 200-week average.

BAC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$35.4$30.0-15%
2021$30.0$44.4+48%
2022$44.4$32.5-27%
2023$32.5$33.7+3.7%
2024$33.7$44.3+32%
2025$44.3$56.2+27%
2026 YTD$56.2$50.5-10%

BAC has the edge over PAX on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

PAX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$19.9$16.5-17%
2022$16.5$13.7-17%
2023$13.7$15.5+13%
2024$15.5$11.6-25%
2025$11.6$16.2+39%
2026 YTD$16.2$9.18-43%

PAX has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 43% so far in 2026.

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