BAC

Bank of America Corporation

60
Fundamentals72/ 100
Valuation55/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

BAC has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

MKTX

MarketAxess Holdings Inc.

67
Fundamentals53/ 100
Valuation85/ 100
Upside potential67/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

MKTX has the edge over BAC overall, supported by stronger valuation.

BAC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

BAC's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BAC.

MKTX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
N/A
N/A

MKTX's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MKTX.

BAC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.6x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.6x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.4x$39.50-22%
Forward10x$50.51—
Current12x$50.51—
Fair13x$53.81+6.5%
Expensive15x$62.23+23%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BAC's PE is in its fair range at 12x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 10x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

MKTX PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE23x47x70x94x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE23x47x70x94x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current20x$165—
Forward20x$165—
Cheap29x$238+44%
Fair40x$328+99%
Expensive66x$535+224%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MKTX has the edge over BAC in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

BAC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

BAC has the edge over MKTX on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and revenue expectations.

MKTX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect MKTX's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

BAC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$63.36
Downside-10%$45.36

Calculated from the latest close: $50.51 on Nov 12.

BAC has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MKTX, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MKTX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$207.25
Downside-13%$144.14

Calculated from the latest close: $165.16 on Nov 12.

MKTX trails BAC on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BAC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.08Q1 2024: $2.90Q2 2024: $2.85Q3 2024: $2.76Q4 2024: $3.21Q1 2025: $3.35Q2 2025: $3.41Q3 2025: $3.66Q4 2025: $3.81Q1 2026: $4.02Q2 2026: $4.34Q3 2026: $4.19Forward: $4.92
Q4 2023: $3.08Q1 2024: $2.90Q2 2024: $2.85Q3 2024: $2.76Q4 2024: $3.21Q1 2025: $3.35Q2 2025: $3.41Q3 2025: $3.66Q4 2025: $3.81Q1 2026: $4.02Q2 2026: $4.34Q3 2026: $4.19Forward: $4.92
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.92+17%
Q3 2026$4.19+14%
Q2 2026$4.34+27%
Q1 2026$4.02+20%
Q4 2025$3.81+19%
Q3 2025$3.66+33%
Q2 2025$3.41+20%
Q1 2025$3.35+16%
Q4 2024$3.21+4.2%

BAC has the edge over MKTX on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MKTX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.85Q1 2024: $6.81Q2 2024: $6.94Q3 2024: $7.38Q4 2024: $7.28Q1 2025: $5.76Q2 2025: $5.95Q3 2025: $5.89Q4 2025: $6.64Q1 2026: $8.44Q2 2026: $8.46Q3 2026: $8.15Forward: $8.43
Q4 2023: $6.85Q1 2024: $6.81Q2 2024: $6.94Q3 2024: $7.38Q4 2024: $7.28Q1 2025: $5.76Q2 2025: $5.95Q3 2025: $5.89Q4 2025: $6.64Q1 2026: $8.44Q2 2026: $8.46Q3 2026: $8.15Forward: $8.43
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$8.43+3.4%
Q3 2026$8.15+38%
Q2 2026$8.46+42%
Q1 2026$8.44+47%
Q4 2025$6.64-8.8%
Q3 2025$5.89-20%
Q2 2025$5.95-14%
Q1 2025$5.76-15%
Q4 2024$7.28+6.3%

MKTX earned $8.15 per share over the past year, up 38% from the year before.

BAC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $25.8BQ2 2024: $25.4BQ3 2024: $25.3BQ4 2024: $25.3BQ1 2025: $27.4BQ2 2025: $26.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $31.2BQ1 2026: $30.3BQ2 2026: $31.6BQ3 2026: $30B
Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $25.8BQ2 2024: $25.4BQ3 2024: $25.3BQ4 2024: $25.3BQ1 2025: $27.4BQ2 2025: $26.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $31.2BQ1 2026: $30.3BQ2 2026: $31.6BQ3 2026: $30B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$30B+6.7%
Q2 2026$31.6B+19%
Q1 2026$30.3B+11%
Q4 2025$31.2B+23%
Q3 2025$28.1B+11%
Q2 2025$26.5B+4.3%
Q1 2025$27.4B+6%
Q4 2024$25.3B+15%

BAC has the edge over MKTX on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MKTX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: $198MQ3 2024: $207MQ4 2024: $202MQ1 2025: $209MQ2 2025: $219MQ3 2025: $209MQ4 2025: $209MQ1 2026: $233MQ2 2026: $218MQ3 2026: $210M
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: $198MQ3 2024: $207MQ4 2024: $202MQ1 2025: $209MQ2 2025: $219MQ3 2025: $209MQ4 2025: $209MQ1 2026: $233MQ2 2026: $218MQ3 2026: $210M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$210.4M+0.8%
Q2 2026$218.4M-0.5%
Q1 2026$233.4M+12%
Q4 2025$209.4M+3.5%
Q3 2025$208.8M+1%
Q2 2025$219.5M+11%
Q3 2022$172.1M+6.2%
Q2 2022$182.2M+3.3%

MKTX's revenue has held roughly level: $210M last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

BAC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $32.7BQ1 2024: −$15.5BQ2 2024: $18.1BQ3 2024: −$37.3BQ4 2024: $25.9BQ1 2025: −$2.2BQ2 2025: −$9.1BQ3 2025: $46.9BQ4 2025: −$22.9BQ1 2026: $41.8BQ2 2026: $29BQ3 2026: −$6.5B
Q4 2023: $32.7BQ1 2024: −$15.5BQ2 2024: $18.1BQ3 2024: −$37.3BQ4 2024: $25.9BQ1 2025: −$2.2BQ2 2025: −$9.1BQ3 2025: $46.9BQ4 2025: −$22.9BQ1 2026: $41.8BQ2 2026: $29BQ3 2026: −$6.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$6.5B-114%
Q2 2026$29B+$38.2B
Q1 2026$41.8B+$44B
Q4 2025-$22.9B-189%
Q3 2025$46.9B+$84.2B
Q2 2025-$9.1B-150%
Q1 2025-$2.2B+$13.4B
Q4 2024$25.9B-21%

BAC has the edge over MKTX on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MKTX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $140MQ1 2024: −$6MQ2 2024: $111MQ3 2024: $94MQ4 2024: $176MQ1 2025: $28MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $89MQ4 2025: $155MQ1 2026: −$76MQ2 2026: $26MQ3 2026: $247M
Q4 2023: $140MQ1 2024: −$6MQ2 2024: $111MQ3 2024: $94MQ4 2024: $176MQ1 2025: $28MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $89MQ4 2025: $155MQ1 2026: −$76MQ2 2026: $26MQ3 2026: $247M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$246.7M+178%
Q2 2026$26.2M-74%
Q1 2026-$75.6M-373%
Q4 2025$155.1M-12%
Q3 2025$88.7M-5.9%
Q2 2025$102.5M-7.8%
Q1 2025$27.7M+$33.8M
Q4 2024$176M+26%

MKTX's free cash flow was $352M over the past year, down 11% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MKTX.

BAC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 8.1BQ1 2024: 8BQ2 2024: 8BQ3 2024: 7.9BQ4 2024: 7.9BQ1 2025: 7.8BQ2 2025: 7.7BQ3 2025: 7.6BQ4 2025: 7.7BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.3BQ3 2026: 7.2B
Q4 2023: 8.1BQ1 2024: 8BQ2 2024: 8BQ3 2024: 7.9BQ4 2024: 7.9BQ1 2025: 7.8BQ2 2025: 7.7BQ3 2025: 7.6BQ4 2025: 7.7BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.3BQ3 2026: 7.2B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1%-72M shares
1 year-5.3%-405M shares
3 years-11%-854M shares
5 years-15%-1.3B shares
Available history-24%-2.2B shares

BAC has the edge over MKTX on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MKTX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 38MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 38MQ3 2024: 38MQ4 2024: 38MQ1 2025: 37MQ2 2025: 37MQ3 2025: 37MQ4 2025: 37MQ1 2026: 35MQ2 2026: 35MQ3 2026: 35M
Q4 2023: 38MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 38MQ3 2024: 38MQ4 2024: 38MQ1 2025: 37MQ2 2025: 37MQ3 2025: 37MQ4 2025: 37MQ1 2026: 35MQ2 2026: 35MQ3 2026: 35M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+36K shares
1 year-4.9%-1.8M shares
3 years-6.1%-2.3M shares
5 years-7.4%-2.8M shares
Available history-7.1%-2.7M shares

MKTX has 35M diluted shares, down 4.9% from a year ago, with $300M in buybacks over the past year.

BAC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 9.5xQ1 2024: 9.5xQ2 2024: 9.4xQ3 2024: 9.9xQ4 2024: 9.0xQ1 2025: 8.6xQ2 2025: 8.8xQ3 2025: 8.3xQ4 2025: 7.7xQ1 2026: 7.1xQ2 2026: 6.7xQ3 2026: 6.4x
Q4 2023: 9.5xQ1 2024: 9.5xQ2 2024: 9.4xQ3 2024: 9.9xQ4 2024: 9.0xQ1 2025: 8.6xQ2 2025: 8.8xQ3 2025: 8.3xQ4 2025: 7.7xQ1 2026: 7.1xQ2 2026: 6.7xQ3 2026: 6.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20266.4xHigh
Q2 20266.7xHigh
Q1 20267.1xHigh
Q4 20257.7xHigh
Q3 20258.3xHigh
Q2 20258.8xHigh
Q1 20258.6xHigh
Q4 20249.0xHigh

BAC's net debt is about 6.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.3 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BAC.

MKTX Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.2xQ1 2024: -1.0xQ2 2024: -1.1xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.3xQ1 2025: -1.2xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.1xQ4 2025: -0.7xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.7x
Q4 2023: -1.2xQ1 2024: -1.0xQ2 2024: -1.1xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.3xQ1 2025: -1.2xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.1xQ4 2025: -0.7xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.7xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.2xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.3xNet Cash

MKTX has the edge over BAC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BAC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI37.1Neutral
Stochastic4.9Oversold

BAC's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

MKTX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI59.8Neutral
Stochastic93.0Overbought

MKTX's weekly RSI is 60 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 93 (overbought).

BAC PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBACSector medianRelative
PE12x13x7.5% below
PE %406323 pts below

BAC has the edge over MKTX on valuation relative to its sector.

MKTX PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMKTXSector medianRelative
PE20x13x56% above
PE %76356 pts below

MKTX is trading at 20x earnings, a 56% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

BAC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$52.13% below
20 week MA$57.813% below
50 week MA$54.77.7% below
100 week MA$50.50% below
200 week MA$42.519% above

BAC has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 19% above its 200-week average.

MKTX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$164.80.2% above
20 week MA$154.17.2% above
50 week MA$158.54.2% above
100 week MA$180.68.5% below
200 week MA$219.825% below

MKTX has the edge over BAC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BAC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$35.4$30.0-15%
2021$30.0$44.4+48%
2022$44.4$32.5-27%
2023$32.5$33.7+3.7%
2024$33.7$44.3+32%
2025$44.3$56.2+27%
2026 YTD$56.2$50.5-10%

BAC has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 10% so far in 2026.

MKTX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$375.0$573.1+53%
2021$573.1$410.7-28%
2022$410.7$280.9-32%
2023$280.9$292.9+4.3%
2024$292.9$229.0-22%
2025$229.0$182.9-20%
2026 YTD$182.9$165.2-9.7%

MKTX has the edge over BAC on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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