BAC

Bank of America Corporation

60
Fundamentals72/ 100
Valuation55/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

BAC has a slight edge over MC overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

MC

Moelis & Company

58
Fundamentals58/ 100
Valuation59/ 100
Upside potential77/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

MC offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

BAC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

BAC's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BAC.

MC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
N/A
N/A

MC's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MC.

BAC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.6x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.6x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.4x$39.50-22%
Forward10x$50.51—
Current12x$50.51—
Fair13x$53.81+6.5%
Expensive15x$62.23+23%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BAC has the edge over MC in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

MC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE125x251x376x502x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE125x251x376x502x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap12x$35.85-36%
Forward16x$56.01—
Current19x$56.01—
Fair20x$60.15+7.4%
Expensive38x$112+101%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MC's PE is in its fair range at 19x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 16x next year's earnings.

BAC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BAC, with profitability improving.

MC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MC, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

BAC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$63.36
Downside-10%$45.36

Calculated from the latest close: $50.51 on Nov 12.

BAC trails MC on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+44%$80.41
Downside-13%$48.79

Calculated from the latest close: $56.01 on Nov 12.

MC has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BAC, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BAC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.08Q1 2024: $2.90Q2 2024: $2.85Q3 2024: $2.76Q4 2024: $3.21Q1 2025: $3.35Q2 2025: $3.41Q3 2025: $3.66Q4 2025: $3.81Q1 2026: $4.02Q2 2026: $4.34Q3 2026: $4.19Forward: $4.92
Q4 2023: $3.08Q1 2024: $2.90Q2 2024: $2.85Q3 2024: $2.76Q4 2024: $3.21Q1 2025: $3.35Q2 2025: $3.41Q3 2025: $3.66Q4 2025: $3.81Q1 2026: $4.02Q2 2026: $4.34Q3 2026: $4.19Forward: $4.92
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.92+17%
Q3 2026$4.19+14%
Q2 2026$4.34+27%
Q1 2026$4.02+20%
Q4 2025$3.81+19%
Q3 2025$3.66+33%
Q2 2025$3.41+20%
Q1 2025$3.35+16%
Q4 2024$3.21+4.2%

BAC has the edge over MC on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.36Q1 2024: $-0.19Q2 2024: $0.15Q3 2024: $0.53Q4 2024: $1.76Q1 2025: $2.18Q2 2025: $2.54Q3 2025: $2.99Q4 2025: $2.94Q1 2026: $2.78Q2 2026: $2.87Q3 2026: $2.94Forward: $3.55
Q4 2023: $-0.36Q1 2024: $-0.19Q2 2024: $0.15Q3 2024: $0.53Q4 2024: $1.76Q1 2025: $2.18Q2 2025: $2.54Q3 2025: $2.99Q4 2025: $2.94Q1 2026: $2.78Q2 2026: $2.87Q3 2026: $2.94Forward: $3.55
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.55+21%
Q3 2026$2.94-1.7%
Q2 2026$2.87+13%
Q1 2026$2.78+28%
Q4 2025$2.94+67%
Q3 2025$2.99+464%
Q2 2025$2.54+1593%
Q1 2025$2.18+$2.37
Q4 2024$1.76+$2.12

MC's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.94 over the past year, against $5.90 in late 2021.

BAC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $25.8BQ2 2024: $25.4BQ3 2024: $25.3BQ4 2024: $25.3BQ1 2025: $27.4BQ2 2025: $26.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $31.2BQ1 2026: $30.3BQ2 2026: $31.6BQ3 2026: $30B
Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $25.8BQ2 2024: $25.4BQ3 2024: $25.3BQ4 2024: $25.3BQ1 2025: $27.4BQ2 2025: $26.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $31.2BQ1 2026: $30.3BQ2 2026: $31.6BQ3 2026: $30B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$30B+6.7%
Q2 2026$31.6B+19%
Q1 2026$30.3B+11%
Q4 2025$31.2B+23%
Q3 2025$28.1B+11%
Q2 2025$26.5B+4.3%
Q1 2025$27.4B+6%
Q4 2024$25.3B+15%

BAC's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $30B last quarter, up 6.7% from the same quarter a year ago.

MC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $215MQ1 2024: $217MQ2 2024: $265MQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $439MQ1 2025: $307MQ2 2025: $365MQ3 2025: $357MQ4 2025: $488MQ1 2026: $320MQ2 2026: $409MQ3 2026: --
Q4 2023: $215MQ1 2024: $217MQ2 2024: $265MQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $439MQ1 2025: $307MQ2 2025: $365MQ3 2025: $357MQ4 2025: $488MQ1 2026: $320MQ2 2026: $409MQ3 2026: --
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$409.4M+12%
Q1 2026$319.8M+4.3%
Q4 2025$487.9M+11%
Q3 2025$356.9M+30%
Q2 2025$365.4M+38%
Q1 2025$306.6M+41%
Q4 2024$438.7M+104%
Q3 2024$273.8M+0.6%

MC has the edge over BAC on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

BAC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $32.7BQ1 2024: −$15.5BQ2 2024: $18.1BQ3 2024: −$37.3BQ4 2024: $25.9BQ1 2025: −$2.2BQ2 2025: −$9.1BQ3 2025: $46.9BQ4 2025: −$22.9BQ1 2026: $41.8BQ2 2026: $29BQ3 2026: −$6.5B
Q4 2023: $32.7BQ1 2024: −$15.5BQ2 2024: $18.1BQ3 2024: −$37.3BQ4 2024: $25.9BQ1 2025: −$2.2BQ2 2025: −$9.1BQ3 2025: $46.9BQ4 2025: −$22.9BQ1 2026: $41.8BQ2 2026: $29BQ3 2026: −$6.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$6.5B-114%
Q2 2026$29B+$38.2B
Q1 2026$41.8B+$44B
Q4 2025-$22.9B-189%
Q3 2025$46.9B+$84.2B
Q2 2025-$9.1B-150%
Q1 2025-$2.2B+$13.4B
Q4 2024$25.9B-21%

BAC's free cash flow was $41.4B over the past year, down 33% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BAC.

MC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $94MQ1 2024: −$170MQ2 2024: $138MQ3 2024: $135MQ4 2024: $313MQ1 2025: −$169MQ2 2025: $199MQ3 2025: $180MQ4 2025: $330MQ1 2026: −$292MQ2 2026: $218MQ3 2026: $250M
Q4 2023: $94MQ1 2024: −$170MQ2 2024: $138MQ3 2024: $135MQ4 2024: $313MQ1 2025: −$169MQ2 2025: $199MQ3 2025: $180MQ4 2025: $330MQ1 2026: −$292MQ2 2026: $218MQ3 2026: $250M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$250.2M+39%
Q2 2026$218M+9.3%
Q1 2026-$291.6M-$123M
Q4 2025$329.6M+5.3%
Q3 2025$179.6M+33%
Q2 2025$199.4M+45%
Q1 2025-$168.6M+$1.8M
Q4 2024$313M+233%

MC has the edge over BAC on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BAC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 8.1BQ1 2024: 8BQ2 2024: 8BQ3 2024: 7.9BQ4 2024: 7.9BQ1 2025: 7.8BQ2 2025: 7.7BQ3 2025: 7.6BQ4 2025: 7.7BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.3BQ3 2026: 7.2B
Q4 2023: 8.1BQ1 2024: 8BQ2 2024: 8BQ3 2024: 7.9BQ4 2024: 7.9BQ1 2025: 7.8BQ2 2025: 7.7BQ3 2025: 7.6BQ4 2025: 7.7BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.3BQ3 2026: 7.2B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1%-72M shares
1 year-5.3%-405M shares
3 years-11%-854M shares
5 years-15%-1.3B shares
Available history-24%-2.2B shares

BAC has the edge over MC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 69MQ1 2024: 75MQ2 2024: 76MQ3 2024: 77MQ4 2024: 78MQ1 2025: 79MQ2 2025: 79MQ3 2025: 79MQ4 2025: 80MQ1 2026: 79MQ2 2026: 79MQ3 2026: 78M
Q4 2023: 69MQ1 2024: 75MQ2 2024: 76MQ3 2024: 77MQ4 2024: 78MQ1 2025: 79MQ2 2025: 79MQ3 2025: 79MQ4 2025: 80MQ1 2026: 79MQ2 2026: 79MQ3 2026: 78M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.7%-1.4M shares
1 year-1.3%-994K shares
3 years+14%+9.3M shares
5 years+14%+9.8M shares
Available history+39%+21.7M shares

MC has 78M diluted shares, down 1.3% from a year ago.

BAC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 9.5xQ1 2024: 9.5xQ2 2024: 9.4xQ3 2024: 9.9xQ4 2024: 9.0xQ1 2025: 8.6xQ2 2025: 8.8xQ3 2025: 8.3xQ4 2025: 7.7xQ1 2026: 7.1xQ2 2026: 6.7xQ3 2026: 6.4x
Q4 2023: 9.5xQ1 2024: 9.5xQ2 2024: 9.4xQ3 2024: 9.9xQ4 2024: 9.0xQ1 2025: 8.6xQ2 2025: 8.8xQ3 2025: 8.3xQ4 2025: 7.7xQ1 2026: 7.1xQ2 2026: 6.7xQ3 2026: 6.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20266.4xHigh
Q2 20266.7xHigh
Q1 20267.1xHigh
Q4 20257.7xHigh
Q3 20258.3xHigh
Q2 20258.8xHigh
Q1 20258.6xHigh
Q4 20249.0xHigh

BAC's net debt is about 6.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.3 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BAC.

MC Net Leverage

Q2 2024: 10.5xQ3 2024: 1.6xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: 0.2xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: -0.8xQ1 2026: 0.4xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.5x
Q2 2024: 10.5xQ3 2024: 1.6xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: 0.2xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: -0.8xQ1 2026: 0.4xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q2 20260.2xVery low
Q1 20260.4xVery low
Q4 2025-0.8xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 20250.2xVery low
Q4 2024-1.0xNet Cash

MC has the edge over BAC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BAC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI37.1Neutral
Stochastic4.9Oversold

BAC's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

MC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.7Neutral
Stochastic30.3Neutral

MC's weekly RSI is 39 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 30 (neutral).

BAC PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBACSector medianRelative
PE12x13x7.5% below
PE %406323 pts below

BAC has the edge over MC on valuation relative to its sector.

MC PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMCSector medianRelative
PE19x13x46% above
PE %446319 pts below

MC is trading at 19x earnings, a 46% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

BAC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$52.13% below
20 week MA$57.813% below
50 week MA$54.77.7% below
100 week MA$50.50% below
200 week MA$42.519% above

BAC has the edge over MC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$56.61% below
20 week MA$62.610% below
50 week MA$64.513% below
100 week MA$65.314% below
200 week MA$59.05.1% below

MC is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 5.1% below its 200-week average.

BAC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$35.4$30.0-15%
2021$30.0$44.4+48%
2022$44.4$32.5-27%
2023$32.5$33.7+3.7%
2024$33.7$44.3+32%
2025$44.3$56.2+27%
2026 YTD$56.2$50.5-10%

BAC has the edge over MC on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

MC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$32.8$47.2+44%
2021$47.2$62.4+32%
2022$62.4$39.0-37%
2023$39.0$56.1+44%
2024$56.1$74.5+33%
2025$74.5$71.6-3.9%
2026 YTD$71.6$56.0-22%

MC has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 22% so far in 2026.

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