BAC

Bank of America Corporation

60
Fundamentals72/ 100
Valuation55/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

BAC has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

LOB

Live Oak Bancshares, Inc.

74
Fundamentals79/ 100
Valuation83/ 100
Upside potential80/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

LOB has the edge over BAC overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

BAC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

BAC's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BAC.

LOB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

LOB's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like LOB.

BAC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.6x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.6x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.4x$39.50-22%
Forward10x$50.51—
Current12x$50.51—
Fair13x$53.81+6.5%
Expensive15x$62.23+23%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BAC has the edge over LOB in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

LOB PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE61x121x182x242x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE61x121x182x242x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward9.1x$34.63—
Cheap11x$30.19-13%
Current12x$34.63—
Fair21x$58.49+69%
Expensive34x$97.13+180%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LOB's PE is in its cheap range at 12x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 9.1x next year's earnings.

BAC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BAC, with profitability improving.

LOB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for LOB, with profitability improving.

BAC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$63.36
Downside-10%$45.36

Calculated from the latest close: $50.51 on Nov 12.

BAC trails LOB on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LOB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+55%$53.81
Downside-14%$29.73

Calculated from the latest close: $34.63 on Nov 12.

LOB has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BAC, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BAC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.08Q1 2024: $2.90Q2 2024: $2.85Q3 2024: $2.76Q4 2024: $3.21Q1 2025: $3.35Q2 2025: $3.41Q3 2025: $3.66Q4 2025: $3.81Q1 2026: $4.02Q2 2026: $4.34Q3 2026: $4.19Forward: $4.92
Q4 2023: $3.08Q1 2024: $2.90Q2 2024: $2.85Q3 2024: $2.76Q4 2024: $3.21Q1 2025: $3.35Q2 2025: $3.41Q3 2025: $3.66Q4 2025: $3.81Q1 2026: $4.02Q2 2026: $4.34Q3 2026: $4.19Forward: $4.92
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.92+17%
Q3 2026$4.19+14%
Q2 2026$4.34+27%
Q1 2026$4.02+20%
Q4 2025$3.81+19%
Q3 2025$3.66+33%
Q2 2025$3.41+20%
Q1 2025$3.35+16%
Q4 2024$3.21+4.2%

BAC has the edge over LOB on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

LOB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.64Q1 2024: $2.23Q2 2024: $2.43Q3 2024: $1.83Q4 2024: $1.69Q1 2025: $1.30Q2 2025: $1.22Q3 2025: $1.49Q4 2025: $2.23Q1 2026: $2.62Q2 2026: $2.85Q3 2026: $2.82Forward: $3.81
Q4 2023: $1.64Q1 2024: $2.23Q2 2024: $2.43Q3 2024: $1.83Q4 2024: $1.69Q1 2025: $1.30Q2 2025: $1.22Q3 2025: $1.49Q4 2025: $2.23Q1 2026: $2.62Q2 2026: $2.85Q3 2026: $2.82Forward: $3.81
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.81+35%
Q3 2026$2.82+89%
Q2 2026$2.85+134%
Q1 2026$2.62+102%
Q4 2025$2.23+32%
Q3 2025$1.49-19%
Q2 2025$1.22-50%
Q1 2025$1.30-42%
Q4 2024$1.69+3%

LOB's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.82 over the past year, against $4.54 in late 2022.

BAC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $25.8BQ2 2024: $25.4BQ3 2024: $25.3BQ4 2024: $25.3BQ1 2025: $27.4BQ2 2025: $26.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $31.2BQ1 2026: $30.3BQ2 2026: $31.6BQ3 2026: $30B
Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $25.8BQ2 2024: $25.4BQ3 2024: $25.3BQ4 2024: $25.3BQ1 2025: $27.4BQ2 2025: $26.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $31.2BQ1 2026: $30.3BQ2 2026: $31.6BQ3 2026: $30B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$30B+6.7%
Q2 2026$31.6B+19%
Q1 2026$30.3B+11%
Q4 2025$31.2B+23%
Q3 2025$28.1B+11%
Q2 2025$26.5B+4.3%
Q1 2025$27.4B+6%
Q4 2024$25.3B+15%

BAC's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $30B last quarter, up 6.7% from the same quarter a year ago.

LOB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $120MQ1 2024: $116MQ2 2024: $125MQ3 2024: $130MQ4 2024: $128MQ1 2025: $126MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $146MQ4 2025: $162MQ1 2026: $145MQ2 2026: $156MQ3 2026: $176M
Q4 2023: $120MQ1 2024: $116MQ2 2024: $125MQ3 2024: $130MQ4 2024: $128MQ1 2025: $126MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $146MQ4 2025: $162MQ1 2026: $145MQ2 2026: $156MQ3 2026: $176M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$175.6M+20%
Q2 2026$156.1M+8.6%
Q1 2026$145.5M+15%
Q4 2025$161.9M+26%
Q3 2025$146.1M+12%
Q2 2025$143.7M+15%
Q1 2025$126.1M+8.5%
Q4 2024$128.1M+7%

LOB has the edge over BAC on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

BAC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $32.7BQ1 2024: −$15.5BQ2 2024: $18.1BQ3 2024: −$37.3BQ4 2024: $25.9BQ1 2025: −$2.2BQ2 2025: −$9.1BQ3 2025: $46.9BQ4 2025: −$22.9BQ1 2026: $41.8BQ2 2026: $29BQ3 2026: −$6.5B
Q4 2023: $32.7BQ1 2024: −$15.5BQ2 2024: $18.1BQ3 2024: −$37.3BQ4 2024: $25.9BQ1 2025: −$2.2BQ2 2025: −$9.1BQ3 2025: $46.9BQ4 2025: −$22.9BQ1 2026: $41.8BQ2 2026: $29BQ3 2026: −$6.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$6.5B-114%
Q2 2026$29B+$38.2B
Q1 2026$41.8B+$44B
Q4 2025-$22.9B-189%
Q3 2025$46.9B+$84.2B
Q2 2025-$9.1B-150%
Q1 2025-$2.2B+$13.4B
Q4 2024$25.9B-21%

BAC's free cash flow was $41.4B over the past year, down 33% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BAC.

LOB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $149MQ1 2024: $69MQ2 2024: $67MQ3 2024: $185MQ4 2024: −$224MQ1 2025: $103MQ2 2025: $207MQ3 2025: $61MQ4 2025: $70MQ1 2026: $85MQ2 2026: $28MQ3 2026: $124M
Q4 2023: $149MQ1 2024: $69MQ2 2024: $67MQ3 2024: $185MQ4 2024: −$224MQ1 2025: $103MQ2 2025: $207MQ3 2025: $61MQ4 2025: $70MQ1 2026: $85MQ2 2026: $28MQ3 2026: $124M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$124.4M+105%
Q2 2026$28.4M-86%
Q1 2026$85.3M-17%
Q4 2025$70.4M+$294.5M
Q3 2025$60.6M-67%
Q2 2025$206.7M+210%
Q1 2025$102.7M+48%
Q4 2024-$224.2M-251%

LOB's free cash flow was $309M over the past year, up 112% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like LOB.

BAC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 8.1BQ1 2024: 8BQ2 2024: 8BQ3 2024: 7.9BQ4 2024: 7.9BQ1 2025: 7.8BQ2 2025: 7.7BQ3 2025: 7.6BQ4 2025: 7.7BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.3BQ3 2026: 7.2B
Q4 2023: 8.1BQ1 2024: 8BQ2 2024: 8BQ3 2024: 7.9BQ4 2024: 7.9BQ1 2025: 7.8BQ2 2025: 7.7BQ3 2025: 7.6BQ4 2025: 7.7BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.3BQ3 2026: 7.2B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1%-72M shares
1 year-5.3%-405M shares
3 years-11%-854M shares
5 years-15%-1.3B shares
Available history-24%-2.2B shares

BAC has the edge over LOB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LOB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 45MQ1 2024: 46MQ2 2024: 46MQ3 2024: 46MQ4 2024: 46MQ1 2025: 46MQ2 2025: 46MQ3 2025: 46MQ4 2025: 46MQ1 2026: 47MQ2 2026: 47MQ3 2026: 47M
Q4 2023: 45MQ1 2024: 46MQ2 2024: 46MQ3 2024: 46MQ4 2024: 46MQ1 2025: 46MQ2 2025: 46MQ3 2025: 46MQ4 2025: 46MQ1 2026: 47MQ2 2026: 47MQ3 2026: 47M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.6%+275K shares
1 year+1.4%+652K shares
3 years+3.5%+1.6M shares
5 years+4.9%+2.2M shares
Available history+14%+5.8M shares

LOB has 47M diluted shares, up 1.4% from a year ago.

BAC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 9.5xQ1 2024: 9.5xQ2 2024: 9.4xQ3 2024: 9.9xQ4 2024: 9.0xQ1 2025: 8.6xQ2 2025: 8.8xQ3 2025: 8.3xQ4 2025: 7.7xQ1 2026: 7.1xQ2 2026: 6.7xQ3 2026: 6.4x
Q4 2023: 9.5xQ1 2024: 9.5xQ2 2024: 9.4xQ3 2024: 9.9xQ4 2024: 9.0xQ1 2025: 8.6xQ2 2025: 8.8xQ3 2025: 8.3xQ4 2025: 7.7xQ1 2026: 7.1xQ2 2026: 6.7xQ3 2026: 6.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20266.4xHigh
Q2 20266.7xHigh
Q1 20267.1xHigh
Q4 20257.7xHigh
Q3 20258.3xHigh
Q2 20258.8xHigh
Q1 20258.6xHigh
Q4 20249.0xHigh

BAC's net debt is about 6.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.3 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BAC.

LOB Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -5.6xQ1 2024: -4.9xQ2 2024: -4.4xQ3 2024: -5.8xQ4 2024: -5.4xQ1 2025: -7.1xQ2 2025: -6.5xQ3 2025: -7.4xQ4 2025: -5.0xQ1 2026: -4.1xQ2 2026: -4.3xQ3 2026: -5.2x
Q4 2023: -5.6xQ1 2024: -4.9xQ2 2024: -4.4xQ3 2024: -5.8xQ4 2024: -5.4xQ1 2025: -7.1xQ2 2025: -6.5xQ3 2025: -7.4xQ4 2025: -5.0xQ1 2026: -4.1xQ2 2026: -4.3xQ3 2026: -5.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-5.2xNet Cash
Q2 2026-4.3xNet Cash
Q1 2026-4.1xNet Cash
Q4 2025-5.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-7.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-6.5xNet Cash
Q1 2025-7.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-5.4xNet Cash

LOB has the edge over BAC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BAC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI37.1Neutral
Stochastic4.9Oversold

BAC's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

LOB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.3Neutral
Stochastic9.6Oversold

LOB's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

BAC PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBACSector medianRelative
PE12x13x7.5% below
PE %406323 pts below

BAC has the edge over LOB on valuation relative to its sector.

LOB PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricLOBSector medianRelative
PE12x13x5.7% below
PE %196344 pts below

LOB is trading at 12x earnings, in line with the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

BAC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$52.13% below
20 week MA$57.813% below
50 week MA$54.77.7% below
100 week MA$50.50% below
200 week MA$42.519% above

BAC has the edge over LOB on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

LOB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$35.21.7% below
20 week MA$38.811% below
50 week MA$37.67.8% below
100 week MA$34.80.6% below
200 week MA$35.21.5% below

LOB is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.5% below its 200-week average.

BAC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$35.4$30.0-15%
2021$30.0$44.4+48%
2022$44.4$32.5-27%
2023$32.5$33.7+3.7%
2024$33.7$44.3+32%
2025$44.3$56.2+27%
2026 YTD$56.2$50.5-10%

BAC has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 10% so far in 2026.

LOB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$19.1$48.1+153%
2021$48.1$83.7+74%
2022$83.7$31.4-62%
2023$31.4$45.5+45%
2024$45.5$39.4-13%
2025$39.4$35.2-11%
2026 YTD$35.2$34.6-1.6%

LOB has the edge over BAC on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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