BAC
Bank of America Corporation
BAC has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
HIG
The Hartford Financial Services Group, Inc.
HIG has a slight edge over BAC overall, supported by stronger valuation.
BAC Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
BAC's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BAC.
HIG Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
HIG's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HIG.
BAC PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 9.4x | $39.50 | -22% |
| Forward | 10x | $50.51 | — |
| Current | 12x | $50.51 | — |
| Fair | 13x | $53.81 | +6.5% |
| Expensive | 15x | $62.23 | +23% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BAC's PE is in its fair range at 12x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 10x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
HIG PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 8.3x | $137 | — |
| Cheap | 9.2x | $152 | +11% |
| Forward | 10x | $137 | — |
| Fair | 11x | $187 | +37% |
| Expensive | 13x | $208 | +52% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
HIG has the edge over BAC in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
BAC Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
BAC has the edge over HIG on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.
HIG Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect HIG's earnings, revenue and profitability to hold roughly steady.
BAC Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $4.92 | +17% |
| Q3 2026 | $4.19 | +14% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.34 | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.02 | +20% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.81 | +19% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.66 | +33% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.41 | +20% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.35 | +16% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.21 | +4.2% |
BAC's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $4.19 over the past year, up 14% from the year before, and higher year over year for eight quarters in a row.
HIG Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $13.28 | -20% |
| Q3 2026 | $16.50 | +35% |
| Q2 2026 | $15.45 | +40% |
| Q1 2026 | $14.21 | +42% |
| Q4 2025 | $13.32 | +29% |
| Q3 2025 | $12.24 | +23% |
| Q2 2025 | $11.03 | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $10.03 | +14% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.35 | +30% |
HIG has the edge over BAC on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
BAC Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $30B | +6.7% |
| Q2 2026 | $31.6B | +19% |
| Q1 2026 | $30.3B | +11% |
| Q4 2025 | $31.2B | +23% |
| Q3 2025 | $28.1B | +11% |
| Q2 2025 | $26.5B | +4.3% |
| Q1 2025 | $27.4B | +6% |
| Q4 2024 | $25.3B | +15% |
BAC has the edge over HIG on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 30% | -3.7 points |
| Q2 2026 | 37% | +7.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 34% | +4.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 40% | +12 points |
| Q3 2025 | 34% | +4.8 points |
| Q2 2025 | 29% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 30% | +1.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | 28% | +14 points |
BAC has the edge over HIG on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
HIG Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $7.2B | -0.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $7.3B | +4% |
| Q1 2026 | $7.2B | +6.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $7.3B | +6.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.2B | +7.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $7B | +7.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $6.8B | +6.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.9B | +7.5% |
HIG's revenue is growing: $7.2B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 22% | +3.7 points |
| Q2 2026 | 17% | -0.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 15% | +3.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 19% | +3.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 18% | +4.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 18% | +3.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | -2.7 points |
| Q4 2024 | 16% | +0.8 points |
HIG's operating margin was 22% last quarter, up 3.7 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2019.
BAC Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$6.5B | -114% |
| Q2 2026 | $29B | +$38.2B |
| Q1 2026 | $41.8B | +$44B |
| Q4 2025 | -$22.9B | -189% |
| Q3 2025 | $46.9B | +$84.2B |
| Q2 2025 | -$9.1B | -150% |
| Q1 2025 | -$2.2B | +$13.4B |
| Q4 2024 | $25.9B | -21% |
BAC's free cash flow was $41.4B over the past year, down 33% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BAC.
HIG Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $1.3B | +4.2% |
| Q1 2026 | $1B | +7.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.8B | -7.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.8B | +11% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.3B | +4.3% |
| Q1 2025 | $947M | -9.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.9B | +22% |
| Q3 2024 | $1.6B | -5.9% |
HIG has the edge over BAC on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
BAC Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1% | -72M shares |
| 1 year | -5.3% | -405M shares |
| 3 years | -11% | -854M shares |
| 5 years | -15% | -1.3B shares |
| Available history | -24% | -2.2B shares |
BAC has the edge over HIG on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $6B |
| Q2 2026 | $6B |
| Q1 2026 | $7.2B |
| Q4 2025 | $6.3B |
| Q3 2025 | $5.3B |
| Q2 2025 | $5.3B |
| Q1 2025 | $4.5B |
| Q4 2024 | $3.5B |
BAC spent $25.6B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 37% from the year before.
HIG Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.2% | -3.2M shares |
| 1 year | -4.2% | -11.9M shares |
| 3 years | -12% | -35.9M shares |
| 5 years | -22% | -77.6M shares |
| Available history | -25% | -91.8M shares |
HIG has 273M diluted shares, down 4.2% from a year ago, with $1.8B in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $475M |
| Q2 2026 | $466M |
| Q1 2026 | $450M |
| Q4 2025 | $400M |
| Q3 2025 | $400M |
| Q2 2025 | $415M |
| Q1 2025 | $400M |
| Q4 2024 | $414M |
HIG spent $1.8B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 9.9% from the year before.
BAC Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 6.4x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 6.7x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 7.1x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 7.7x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 8.3x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 8.8x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 8.6x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 9.0x | High |
BAC's net debt is about 6.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.3 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BAC.
HIG Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.9x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 1.0x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 1.1x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 1.0x | Very low |
HIG has the edge over BAC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
BAC Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 37.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 4.9 | Oversold |
BAC's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).
HIG Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 53.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 57.9 | Neutral |
HIG's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).
BAC PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | BAC | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 12x | 13x | 7.5% below |
| PE % | 40 | 63 | 23 pts below |
BAC is trading at 12x earnings, in line with the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
HIG PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | HIG | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 8.3x | 13x | 36% below |
| PE % | 8 | 63 | 55 pts below |
HIG has the edge over BAC on valuation relative to its sector.
BAC Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $52.1 | 3% below |
| 20 week MA | $57.8 | 13% below |
| 50 week MA | $54.7 | 7.7% below |
| 100 week MA | $50.5 | 0% below |
| 200 week MA | $42.5 | 19% above |
BAC has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 19% above its 200-week average.
HIG Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $131.8 | 3.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $135.8 | 0.8% above |
| 50 week MA | $135.3 | 1.2% above |
| 100 week MA | $129.3 | 5.9% above |
| 200 week MA | $109.0 | 26% above |
HIG has the edge over BAC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
BAC Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $35.4 | $30.0 | -15% |
| 2021 | $30.0 | $44.4 | +48% |
| 2022 | $44.4 | $32.5 | -27% |
| 2023 | $32.5 | $33.7 | +3.7% |
| 2024 | $33.7 | $44.3 | +32% |
| 2025 | $44.3 | $56.2 | +27% |
| 2026 YTD | $56.2 | $50.5 | -10% |
BAC has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 10% so far in 2026.
HIG Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $60.6 | $48.4 | -20% |
| 2021 | $48.4 | $68.3 | +41% |
| 2022 | $68.3 | $76.1 | +12% |
| 2023 | $76.1 | $80.4 | +5.6% |
| 2024 | $80.4 | $110.1 | +37% |
| 2025 | $110.1 | $138.7 | +26% |
| 2026 YTD | $138.7 | $136.9 | -1.3% |
HIG has the edge over BAC on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.