BAC

Bank of America Corporation

60
Fundamentals72/ 100
Valuation55/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

BAC has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

COLB

Columbia Banking System, Inc.

63
Fundamentals68/ 100
Valuation55/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

COLB has the edge over BAC overall on the model score.

BAC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

BAC's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BAC.

COLB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

COLB's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like COLB.

BAC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.6x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.6x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.4x$39.50-22%
Forward10x$50.51—
Current12x$50.51—
Fair13x$53.81+6.5%
Expensive15x$62.23+23%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BAC's PE is in its fair range at 12x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 10x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

COLB PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.0x12x18x24x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.0x12x18x24x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward9.4x$30.59—
Cheap9.5x$27.84-9%
Current10x$30.59—
Fair11x$32.87+7.5%
Expensive13x$39.02+28%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

COLB has the edge over BAC in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

BAC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

BAC has the edge over COLB on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

COLB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect COLB's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

BAC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$63.36
Downside-10%$45.36

Calculated from the latest close: $50.51 on Nov 12.

BAC has a better modeled risk to reward balance than COLB, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

COLB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+27%$38.83
Downside-15%$25.88

Calculated from the latest close: $30.59 on Nov 12.

COLB trails BAC on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BAC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.08Q1 2024: $2.90Q2 2024: $2.85Q3 2024: $2.76Q4 2024: $3.21Q1 2025: $3.35Q2 2025: $3.41Q3 2025: $3.66Q4 2025: $3.81Q1 2026: $4.02Q2 2026: $4.34Q3 2026: $4.19Forward: $4.92
Q4 2023: $3.08Q1 2024: $2.90Q2 2024: $2.85Q3 2024: $2.76Q4 2024: $3.21Q1 2025: $3.35Q2 2025: $3.41Q3 2025: $3.66Q4 2025: $3.81Q1 2026: $4.02Q2 2026: $4.34Q3 2026: $4.19Forward: $4.92
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.92+17%
Q3 2026$4.19+14%
Q2 2026$4.34+27%
Q1 2026$4.02+20%
Q4 2025$3.81+19%
Q3 2025$3.66+33%
Q2 2025$3.41+20%
Q1 2025$3.35+16%
Q4 2024$3.21+4.2%

BAC has the edge over COLB on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

COLB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.78Q1 2024: $2.46Q2 2024: $2.39Q3 2024: $2.44Q4 2024: $2.55Q1 2025: $2.37Q2 2025: $2.53Q3 2025: $2.23Q4 2025: $2.30Q1 2026: $2.55Q2 2026: $2.55Q3 2026: $2.93Forward: $3.26
Q4 2023: $1.78Q1 2024: $2.46Q2 2024: $2.39Q3 2024: $2.44Q4 2024: $2.55Q1 2025: $2.37Q2 2025: $2.53Q3 2025: $2.23Q4 2025: $2.30Q1 2026: $2.55Q2 2026: $2.55Q3 2026: $2.93Forward: $3.26
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.26+11%
Q3 2026$2.93+31%
Q2 2026$2.55+0.8%
Q1 2026$2.55+7.6%
Q4 2025$2.30-9.8%
Q3 2025$2.23-8.6%
Q2 2025$2.53+5.9%
Q1 2025$2.37-3.7%
Q4 2024$2.55+43%

COLB earned $2.93 per share over the past year, up 31% from the year before.

BAC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $25.8BQ2 2024: $25.4BQ3 2024: $25.3BQ4 2024: $25.3BQ1 2025: $27.4BQ2 2025: $26.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $31.2BQ1 2026: $30.3BQ2 2026: $31.6BQ3 2026: $30B
Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $25.8BQ2 2024: $25.4BQ3 2024: $25.3BQ4 2024: $25.3BQ1 2025: $27.4BQ2 2025: $26.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $31.2BQ1 2026: $30.3BQ2 2026: $31.6BQ3 2026: $30B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$30B+6.7%
Q2 2026$31.6B+19%
Q1 2026$30.3B+11%
Q4 2025$31.2B+23%
Q3 2025$28.1B+11%
Q2 2025$26.5B+4.3%
Q1 2025$27.4B+6%
Q4 2024$25.3B+15%

BAC's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $30B last quarter, up 6.7% from the same quarter a year ago.

COLB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $519MQ1 2024: $474MQ2 2024: $472MQ3 2024: $496MQ4 2024: $487MQ1 2025: $491MQ2 2025: $511MQ3 2025: $582MQ4 2025: $717MQ1 2026: $677MQ2 2026: $677MQ3 2026: $695M
Q4 2023: $519MQ1 2024: $474MQ2 2024: $472MQ3 2024: $496MQ4 2024: $487MQ1 2025: $491MQ2 2025: $511MQ3 2025: $582MQ4 2025: $717MQ1 2026: $677MQ2 2026: $677MQ3 2026: $695M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$695M+19%
Q2 2026$677M+33%
Q1 2026$677M+38%
Q4 2025$717M+47%
Q3 2025$582M+17%
Q2 2025$510.9M+8.2%
Q1 2025$491.4M+3.7%
Q4 2024$487.1M-6.2%

COLB's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $695M last quarter, up 19% from the same quarter a year ago.

BAC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $32.7BQ1 2024: −$15.5BQ2 2024: $18.1BQ3 2024: −$37.3BQ4 2024: $25.9BQ1 2025: −$2.2BQ2 2025: −$9.1BQ3 2025: $46.9BQ4 2025: −$22.9BQ1 2026: $41.8BQ2 2026: $29BQ3 2026: −$6.5B
Q4 2023: $32.7BQ1 2024: −$15.5BQ2 2024: $18.1BQ3 2024: −$37.3BQ4 2024: $25.9BQ1 2025: −$2.2BQ2 2025: −$9.1BQ3 2025: $46.9BQ4 2025: −$22.9BQ1 2026: $41.8BQ2 2026: $29BQ3 2026: −$6.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$6.5B-114%
Q2 2026$29B+$38.2B
Q1 2026$41.8B+$44B
Q4 2025-$22.9B-189%
Q3 2025$46.9B+$84.2B
Q2 2025-$9.1B-150%
Q1 2025-$2.2B+$13.4B
Q4 2024$25.9B-21%

BAC's free cash flow was $41.4B over the past year, down 33% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BAC.

COLB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $186MQ2 2024: $150MQ3 2024: $67MQ4 2024: $256MQ1 2025: $122MQ2 2025: $107MQ3 2025: $236MQ4 2025: $281MQ1 2026: $494MQ2 2026: $295MQ3 2026: $365M
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $186MQ2 2024: $150MQ3 2024: $67MQ4 2024: $256MQ1 2025: $122MQ2 2025: $107MQ3 2025: $236MQ4 2025: $281MQ1 2026: $494MQ2 2026: $295MQ3 2026: $365M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$365M+55%
Q2 2026$295M+176%
Q1 2026$494M+305%
Q4 2025$281M+9.8%
Q3 2025$236.2M+251%
Q2 2025$106.8M-29%
Q1 2025$122M-34%
Q3 2024$67.2M-81%

COLB has the edge over BAC on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BAC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 8.1BQ1 2024: 8BQ2 2024: 8BQ3 2024: 7.9BQ4 2024: 7.9BQ1 2025: 7.8BQ2 2025: 7.7BQ3 2025: 7.6BQ4 2025: 7.7BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.3BQ3 2026: 7.2B
Q4 2023: 8.1BQ1 2024: 8BQ2 2024: 8BQ3 2024: 7.9BQ4 2024: 7.9BQ1 2025: 7.8BQ2 2025: 7.7BQ3 2025: 7.6BQ4 2025: 7.7BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.3BQ3 2026: 7.2B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1%-72M shares
1 year-5.3%-405M shares
3 years-11%-854M shares
5 years-15%-1.3B shares
Available history-24%-2.2B shares

BAC has the edge over COLB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

COLB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 196MQ1 2024: 209MQ2 2024: 209MQ3 2024: 209MQ4 2024: 209MQ1 2025: 210MQ2 2025: 210MQ3 2025: 239MQ4 2025: 239MQ1 2026: 292MQ2 2026: 286MQ3 2026: 280M
Q4 2023: 196MQ1 2024: 209MQ2 2024: 209MQ3 2024: 209MQ4 2024: 209MQ1 2025: 210MQ2 2025: 210MQ3 2025: 239MQ4 2025: 239MQ1 2026: 292MQ2 2026: 286MQ3 2026: 280M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.1%-6.1M shares
1 year+17%+41.4M shares
3 years+34%+71.7M shares
5 years+294%+209M shares
Available history+289%+208M shares

COLB has 280M diluted shares, up 17% from a year ago, despite $721M in buybacks over the past year.

BAC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 9.5xQ1 2024: 9.5xQ2 2024: 9.4xQ3 2024: 9.9xQ4 2024: 9.0xQ1 2025: 8.6xQ2 2025: 8.8xQ3 2025: 8.3xQ4 2025: 7.7xQ1 2026: 7.1xQ2 2026: 6.7xQ3 2026: 6.4x
Q4 2023: 9.5xQ1 2024: 9.5xQ2 2024: 9.4xQ3 2024: 9.9xQ4 2024: 9.0xQ1 2025: 8.6xQ2 2025: 8.8xQ3 2025: 8.3xQ4 2025: 7.7xQ1 2026: 7.1xQ2 2026: 6.7xQ3 2026: 6.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20266.4xHigh
Q2 20266.7xHigh
Q1 20267.1xHigh
Q4 20257.7xHigh
Q3 20258.3xHigh
Q2 20258.8xHigh
Q1 20258.6xHigh
Q4 20249.0xHigh

BAC's net debt is about 6.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.3 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BAC.

COLB Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q4 2022-0.8xNet Cash
Q3 2022-0.9xNet Cash
Q2 2022-1.3xNet Cash
Q1 2022-3.3xNet Cash
Q4 2021-2.9xNet Cash
Q3 2021-3.0xNet Cash
Q2 2021-2.9xNet Cash
Q1 2021-3.5xNet Cash

COLB has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like COLB.

BAC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI37.1Neutral
Stochastic4.9Oversold

BAC's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

COLB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI52.7Neutral
Stochastic56.8Neutral

COLB's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 57 (neutral).

BAC PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBACSector medianRelative
PE12x13x7.5% below
PE %406323 pts below

BAC is trading at 12x earnings, in line with the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

COLB PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricCOLBSector medianRelative
PE10x13x20% below
PE %316332 pts below

COLB has the edge over BAC on valuation relative to its sector.

BAC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$52.13% below
20 week MA$57.813% below
50 week MA$54.77.7% below
100 week MA$50.50% below
200 week MA$42.519% above

BAC has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 19% above its 200-week average.

COLB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$29.82.8% above
20 week MA$30.70.2% below
50 week MA$29.82.7% above
100 week MA$27.611% above
200 week MA$25.221% above

COLB has the edge over BAC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BAC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$35.4$30.0-15%
2021$30.0$44.4+48%
2022$44.4$32.5-27%
2023$32.5$33.7+3.7%
2024$33.7$44.3+32%
2025$44.3$56.2+27%
2026 YTD$56.2$50.5-10%

BAC has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 10% so far in 2026.

COLB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$40.8$34.7-15%
2021$34.7$32.3-6.8%
2022$32.3$29.5-8.8%
2023$29.5$26.7-9.6%
2024$26.7$27.1+1.7%
2025$27.1$28.6+5.3%
2026 YTD$28.6$30.6+7%

COLB has the edge over BAC on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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