BAC

Bank of America Corporation

60
Fundamentals72/ 100
Valuation55/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

BAC has the edge over CIA overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.

CIA

Citizens, Inc.

28
Fundamentals44/ 100
Valuation20/ 100
Upside potential35/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

CIA trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

BAC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

BAC's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BAC.

CIA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
N/A
N/A

CIA's revenue and profitability are currently stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like CIA.

BAC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.6x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.6x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.4x$39.50-22%
Forward10x$50.51โ€”
Current12x$50.51โ€”
Fair13x$53.81+6.5%
Expensive15x$62.23+23%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BAC has the edge over CIA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

CIA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.5x15x23x30x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.5x15x23x30x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.9x$1.10-70%
Fair16x$2.60-29%
Forward19x$3.67โ€”
Current23x$3.67โ€”
Expensive24x$3.86+5.1%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CIA's PE is in its expensive range at 23x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 19x, in its fair range.

BAC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

BAC has the edge over CIA on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

CIA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Decline
Stable
Weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect CIA's earnings and profitability to decline, with its revenue holding steady.

BAC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$63.36
Downside-10%$45.36

Calculated from the latest close: $50.51 on Nov 12.

BAC has a better modeled risk to reward balance than CIA, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

CIA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$4.57
Downside-46%$1.98

Calculated from the latest close: $3.67 on Nov 12.

CIA trails BAC on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

BAC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.08Q1 2024: $2.90Q2 2024: $2.85Q3 2024: $2.76Q4 2024: $3.21Q1 2025: $3.35Q2 2025: $3.41Q3 2025: $3.66Q4 2025: $3.81Q1 2026: $4.02Q2 2026: $4.34Q3 2026: $4.19Forward: $4.92
Q4 2023: $3.08Q1 2024: $2.90Q2 2024: $2.85Q3 2024: $2.76Q4 2024: $3.21Q1 2025: $3.35Q2 2025: $3.41Q3 2025: $3.66Q4 2025: $3.81Q1 2026: $4.02Q2 2026: $4.34Q3 2026: $4.19Forward: $4.92
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.92+17%
Q3 2026$4.19+14%
Q2 2026$4.34+27%
Q1 2026$4.02+20%
Q4 2025$3.81+19%
Q3 2025$3.66+33%
Q2 2025$3.41+20%
Q1 2025$3.35+16%
Q4 2024$3.21+4.2%

BAC has the edge over CIA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CIA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.48Q1 2024: $0.47Q2 2024: $0.43Q3 2024: $0.43Q4 2024: $0.29Q1 2025: $0.17Q2 2025: $0.22Q3 2025: $0.21Q4 2025: $0.28Q1 2026: $0.35Q2 2026: $0.21Q3 2026: $0.16Forward: $0.19
Q4 2023: $0.48Q1 2024: $0.47Q2 2024: $0.43Q3 2024: $0.43Q4 2024: $0.29Q1 2025: $0.17Q2 2025: $0.22Q3 2025: $0.21Q4 2025: $0.28Q1 2026: $0.35Q2 2026: $0.21Q3 2026: $0.16Forward: $0.19
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.19+19%
Q3 2026$0.16-24%
Q2 2026$0.21-4.5%
Q1 2026$0.35+106%
Q4 2025$0.28-3.4%
Q3 2025$0.21-51%
Q2 2025$0.22-49%
Q1 2025$0.17-64%
Q4 2024$0.29-40%

CIA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.16 over the past year, against $0.48 in late 2023.

BAC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $25.8BQ2 2024: $25.4BQ3 2024: $25.3BQ4 2024: $25.3BQ1 2025: $27.4BQ2 2025: $26.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $31.2BQ1 2026: $30.3BQ2 2026: $31.6BQ3 2026: $30B
Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $25.8BQ2 2024: $25.4BQ3 2024: $25.3BQ4 2024: $25.3BQ1 2025: $27.4BQ2 2025: $26.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $31.2BQ1 2026: $30.3BQ2 2026: $31.6BQ3 2026: $30B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$30B+6.7%
Q2 2026$31.6B+19%
Q1 2026$30.3B+11%
Q4 2025$31.2B+23%
Q3 2025$28.1B+11%
Q2 2025$26.5B+4.3%
Q1 2025$27.4B+6%
Q4 2024$25.3B+15%

BAC has the edge over CIA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CIA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $67MQ1 2024: $58MQ2 2024: $62MQ3 2024: $62MQ4 2024: $63MQ1 2025: $56MQ2 2025: $65MQ3 2025: $63MQ4 2025: $72MQ1 2026: $60MQ2 2026: $60MQ3 2026: $65M
Q4 2023: $67MQ1 2024: $58MQ2 2024: $62MQ3 2024: $62MQ4 2024: $63MQ1 2025: $56MQ2 2025: $65MQ3 2025: $63MQ4 2025: $72MQ1 2026: $60MQ2 2026: $60MQ3 2026: $65M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$65M+3.6%
Q2 2026$60.4M-7.2%
Q1 2026$59.7M+7.3%
Q4 2025$72.1M+14%
Q3 2025$62.8M+1.7%
Q2 2025$65.1M+4.8%
Q1 2025$55.7M-3.6%
Q4 2024$63.5M-5%

CIA's revenue has picked up after four years of holding roughly level: $65M last quarter, up 3.6% from the same quarter a year ago.

BAC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $32.7BQ1 2024: โˆ’$15.5BQ2 2024: $18.1BQ3 2024: โˆ’$37.3BQ4 2024: $25.9BQ1 2025: โˆ’$2.2BQ2 2025: โˆ’$9.1BQ3 2025: $46.9BQ4 2025: โˆ’$22.9BQ1 2026: $41.8BQ2 2026: $29BQ3 2026: โˆ’$6.5B
Q4 2023: $32.7BQ1 2024: โˆ’$15.5BQ2 2024: $18.1BQ3 2024: โˆ’$37.3BQ4 2024: $25.9BQ1 2025: โˆ’$2.2BQ2 2025: โˆ’$9.1BQ3 2025: $46.9BQ4 2025: โˆ’$22.9BQ1 2026: $41.8BQ2 2026: $29BQ3 2026: โˆ’$6.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$6.5B-114%
Q2 2026$29B+$38.2B
Q1 2026$41.8B+$44B
Q4 2025-$22.9B-189%
Q3 2025$46.9B+$84.2B
Q2 2025-$9.1B-150%
Q1 2025-$2.2B+$13.4B
Q4 2024$25.9B-21%

BAC has the edge over CIA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CIA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $6MQ1 2024: $7MQ2 2024: $4MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $11MQ1 2025: $641,000Q2 2025: $3MQ3 2025: $5MQ4 2025: $9MQ1 2026: โˆ’$649,000Q2 2026: $2MQ3 2026: $11M
Q4 2023: $6MQ1 2024: $7MQ2 2024: $4MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $11MQ1 2025: $641,000Q2 2025: $3MQ3 2025: $5MQ4 2025: $9MQ1 2026: โˆ’$649,000Q2 2026: $2MQ3 2026: $11M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$10.7M+132%
Q2 2026$2M-39%
Q1 2026-$649K-201%
Q4 2025$9M-16%
Q3 2025$4.6M-51%
Q2 2025$3.3M-26%
Q1 2025$641K-90%
Q4 2024$10.7M+66%

CIA's free cash flow was $21M over the past year, up 9.4% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CIA.

BAC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 8.1BQ1 2024: 8BQ2 2024: 8BQ3 2024: 7.9BQ4 2024: 7.9BQ1 2025: 7.8BQ2 2025: 7.7BQ3 2025: 7.6BQ4 2025: 7.7BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.3BQ3 2026: 7.2B
Q4 2023: 8.1BQ1 2024: 8BQ2 2024: 8BQ3 2024: 7.9BQ4 2024: 7.9BQ1 2025: 7.8BQ2 2025: 7.7BQ3 2025: 7.6BQ4 2025: 7.7BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.3BQ3 2026: 7.2B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1%-72M shares
1 year-5.3%-405M shares
3 years-11%-854M shares
5 years-15%-1.3B shares
Available history-24%-2.2B shares

BAC has the edge over CIA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

CIA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 51MQ1 2024: 50MQ2 2024: 50MQ3 2024: 50MQ4 2024: 50MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 50MQ3 2025: 50MQ4 2025: 50MQ1 2026: 51MQ2 2026: 51MQ3 2026: 51M
Q4 2023: 51MQ1 2024: 50MQ2 2024: 50MQ3 2024: 50MQ4 2024: 50MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 50MQ3 2025: 50MQ4 2025: 50MQ1 2026: 51MQ2 2026: 51MQ3 2026: 51M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+61.7K shares
1 year+0.8%+408K shares
3 years+2.3%+1.2M shares
5 years+0.5%+248K shares

CIA has 51M diluted shares, up 0.8% from a year ago.

BAC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 9.5xQ1 2024: 9.5xQ2 2024: 9.4xQ3 2024: 9.9xQ4 2024: 9.0xQ1 2025: 8.6xQ2 2025: 8.8xQ3 2025: 8.3xQ4 2025: 7.7xQ1 2026: 7.1xQ2 2026: 6.7xQ3 2026: 6.4x
Q4 2023: 9.5xQ1 2024: 9.5xQ2 2024: 9.4xQ3 2024: 9.9xQ4 2024: 9.0xQ1 2025: 8.6xQ2 2025: 8.8xQ3 2025: 8.3xQ4 2025: 7.7xQ1 2026: 7.1xQ2 2026: 6.7xQ3 2026: 6.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20266.4xHigh
Q2 20266.7xHigh
Q1 20267.1xHigh
Q4 20257.7xHigh
Q3 20258.3xHigh
Q2 20258.8xHigh
Q1 20258.6xHigh
Q4 20249.0xHigh

BAC's net debt is about 6.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.3 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BAC.

CIA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.0xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -1.2xQ3 2024: -1.6xQ4 2024: -1.9xQ1 2025: -2.1xQ2 2025: -1.8xQ3 2025: -1.7xQ4 2025: -1.3xQ1 2026: -0.8xQ2 2026: -1.1xQ3 2026: -1.7x
Q4 2023: -1.0xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -1.2xQ3 2024: -1.6xQ4 2024: -1.9xQ1 2025: -2.1xQ2 2025: -1.8xQ3 2025: -1.7xQ4 2025: -1.3xQ1 2026: -0.8xQ2 2026: -1.1xQ3 2026: -1.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.7xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.3xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.7xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q1 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.9xNet Cash

CIA has the edge over BAC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BAC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI37.1Neutral
Stochastic4.9Oversold

BAC's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

CIA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.7Neutral
Stochastic32.8Neutral

CIA's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 33 (neutral).

BAC PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBACSector medianRelative
PE12x13x7.5% below
PE %406323 pts below

BAC has the edge over CIA on valuation relative to its sector.

CIA PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricCIASector medianRelative
PE23x13x76% above
PE %766313 pts above

CIA is trading at 23x earnings, a 76% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

BAC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$52.13% below
20 week MA$57.813% below
50 week MA$54.77.7% below
100 week MA$50.50% below
200 week MA$42.519% above

BAC has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 19% above its 200-week average.

CIA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.631.1% above
20 week MA$4.1010% below
50 week MA$4.8524% below
100 week MA$4.7623% below
200 week MA$3.854.7% below

CIA has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 4.7% below its 200-week average.

BAC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$35.4$30.0-15%
2021$30.0$44.4+48%
2022$44.4$32.5-27%
2023$32.5$33.7+3.7%
2024$33.7$44.3+32%
2025$44.3$56.2+27%
2026 YTD$56.2$50.5-10%

BAC has the edge over CIA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

CIA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$6.67$5.89-12%
2021$5.89$5.76-2.2%
2022$5.76$2.28-60%
2023$2.28$2.69+18%
2024$2.69$4.32+61%
2025$4.32$5.16+19%
2026 YTD$5.16$3.67-29%

CIA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 29% so far in 2026.

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