BAC

Bank of America Corporation

60
Fundamentals72/ 100
Valuation55/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

BAC has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

BX

Blackstone Inc.

62
Fundamentals70/ 100
Valuation68/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

BX has a slight edge over BAC overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

BAC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

BAC's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BAC.

BX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

BX's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BX.

BAC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.6x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.6x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.4x$39.50-22%
Forward10x$50.51—
Current12x$50.51—
Fair13x$53.81+6.5%
Expensive15x$62.23+23%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BAC has the edge over BX in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

BX PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE34x67x101x135x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE34x67x101x135x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap17x$77.47-35%
Forward18x$119—
Current26x$119—
Fair34x$151+27%
Expensive58x$259+118%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BX's PE is in its fair range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

BAC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

BAC has the edge over BX on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

BX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for BX, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

BAC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$63.36
Downside-10%$45.36

Calculated from the latest close: $50.51 on Nov 12.

BAC trails BX on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+37%$162.46
Downside-14%$101.69

Calculated from the latest close: $118.54 on Nov 12.

BX has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BAC, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BAC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.08Q1 2024: $2.90Q2 2024: $2.85Q3 2024: $2.76Q4 2024: $3.21Q1 2025: $3.35Q2 2025: $3.41Q3 2025: $3.66Q4 2025: $3.81Q1 2026: $4.02Q2 2026: $4.34Q3 2026: $4.19Forward: $4.92
Q4 2023: $3.08Q1 2024: $2.90Q2 2024: $2.85Q3 2024: $2.76Q4 2024: $3.21Q1 2025: $3.35Q2 2025: $3.41Q3 2025: $3.66Q4 2025: $3.81Q1 2026: $4.02Q2 2026: $4.34Q3 2026: $4.19Forward: $4.92
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.92+17%
Q3 2026$4.19+14%
Q2 2026$4.34+27%
Q1 2026$4.02+20%
Q4 2025$3.81+19%
Q3 2025$3.66+33%
Q2 2025$3.41+20%
Q1 2025$3.35+16%
Q4 2024$3.21+4.2%

BAC's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $4.19 over the past year, up 14% from the year before, and higher year over year for eight quarters in a row.

BX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.84Q1 2024: $2.84Q2 2024: $2.63Q3 2024: $2.92Q4 2024: $3.62Q1 2025: $3.31Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.49Q4 2025: $3.87Q1 2026: $3.90Q2 2026: $4.46Q3 2026: $4.49Forward: $6.61
Q4 2023: $1.84Q1 2024: $2.84Q2 2024: $2.63Q3 2024: $2.92Q4 2024: $3.62Q1 2025: $3.31Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.49Q4 2025: $3.87Q1 2026: $3.90Q2 2026: $4.46Q3 2026: $4.49Forward: $6.61
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.61+47%
Q3 2026$4.49+29%
Q2 2026$4.46+20%
Q1 2026$3.90+18%
Q4 2025$3.87+6.9%
Q3 2025$3.49+20%
Q2 2025$3.71+41%
Q1 2025$3.31+17%
Q4 2024$3.62+97%

BX has the edge over BAC on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

BAC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $25.8BQ2 2024: $25.4BQ3 2024: $25.3BQ4 2024: $25.3BQ1 2025: $27.4BQ2 2025: $26.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $31.2BQ1 2026: $30.3BQ2 2026: $31.6BQ3 2026: $30B
Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $25.8BQ2 2024: $25.4BQ3 2024: $25.3BQ4 2024: $25.3BQ1 2025: $27.4BQ2 2025: $26.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $31.2BQ1 2026: $30.3BQ2 2026: $31.6BQ3 2026: $30B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$30B+6.7%
Q2 2026$31.6B+19%
Q1 2026$30.3B+11%
Q4 2025$31.2B+23%
Q3 2025$28.1B+11%
Q2 2025$26.5B+4.3%
Q1 2025$27.4B+6%
Q4 2024$25.3B+15%

BAC's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $30B last quarter, up 6.7% from the same quarter a year ago.

BX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $3.7BQ2 2024: $2.8BQ3 2024: $3.7BQ4 2024: $3.1BQ1 2025: $3.3BQ2 2025: $3.7BQ3 2025: $3.1BQ4 2025: $4.4BQ1 2026: $3.6BQ2 2026: $5BQ3 2026: $3.1B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $3.7BQ2 2024: $2.8BQ3 2024: $3.7BQ4 2024: $3.1BQ1 2025: $3.3BQ2 2025: $3.7BQ3 2025: $3.1BQ4 2025: $4.4BQ1 2026: $3.6BQ2 2026: $5BQ3 2026: $3.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.1B-0.8%
Q2 2026$5B+36%
Q1 2026$3.6B+10%
Q4 2025$4.4B+41%
Q3 2025$3.1B-16%
Q2 2025$3.7B+33%
Q1 2025$3.3B-11%
Q4 2024$3.1B+140%

BX's revenue is growing: $3.1B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

BAC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $32.7BQ1 2024: −$15.5BQ2 2024: $18.1BQ3 2024: −$37.3BQ4 2024: $25.9BQ1 2025: −$2.2BQ2 2025: −$9.1BQ3 2025: $46.9BQ4 2025: −$22.9BQ1 2026: $41.8BQ2 2026: $29BQ3 2026: −$6.5B
Q4 2023: $32.7BQ1 2024: −$15.5BQ2 2024: $18.1BQ3 2024: −$37.3BQ4 2024: $25.9BQ1 2025: −$2.2BQ2 2025: −$9.1BQ3 2025: $46.9BQ4 2025: −$22.9BQ1 2026: $41.8BQ2 2026: $29BQ3 2026: −$6.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$6.5B-114%
Q2 2026$29B+$38.2B
Q1 2026$41.8B+$44B
Q4 2025-$22.9B-189%
Q3 2025$46.9B+$84.2B
Q2 2025-$9.1B-150%
Q1 2025-$2.2B+$13.4B
Q4 2024$25.9B-21%

BAC's free cash flow was $41.4B over the past year, down 33% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BAC.

BX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $864MQ1 2024: $922MQ2 2024: --Q3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $150MQ1 2025: $1.1BQ2 2025: $848MQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $958MQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $1.9B
Q4 2023: $864MQ1 2024: $922MQ2 2024: --Q3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $150MQ1 2025: $1.1BQ2 2025: $848MQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $958MQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $1.9B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.9B+22%
Q2 2026$1.9B+125%
Q1 2026$957.6M-11%
Q4 2025$1B+599%
Q3 2025$1.6B+31%
Q1 2025$1.1B+17%
Q4 2024$149.5M-83%
Q3 2024$1.2B+18%

BX has the edge over BAC on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BAC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 8.1BQ1 2024: 8BQ2 2024: 8BQ3 2024: 7.9BQ4 2024: 7.9BQ1 2025: 7.8BQ2 2025: 7.7BQ3 2025: 7.6BQ4 2025: 7.7BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.3BQ3 2026: 7.2B
Q4 2023: 8.1BQ1 2024: 8BQ2 2024: 8BQ3 2024: 7.9BQ4 2024: 7.9BQ1 2025: 7.8BQ2 2025: 7.7BQ3 2025: 7.6BQ4 2025: 7.7BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.3BQ3 2026: 7.2B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1%-72M shares
1 year-5.3%-405M shares
3 years-11%-854M shares
5 years-15%-1.3B shares
Available history-24%-2.2B shares

BAC has the edge over BX on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 755MQ1 2024: 760MQ2 2024: 769MQ3 2024: 768MQ4 2024: 767MQ1 2025: 772MQ2 2025: 782MQ3 2025: 783MQ4 2025: 780MQ1 2026: 786MQ2 2026: 800MQ3 2026: 800M
Q4 2023: 755MQ1 2024: 760MQ2 2024: 769MQ3 2024: 768MQ4 2024: 767MQ1 2025: 772MQ2 2025: 782MQ3 2025: 783MQ4 2025: 780MQ1 2026: 786MQ2 2026: 800MQ3 2026: 800M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+82.9K shares
1 year+2.2%+17.3M shares
3 years+5.5%+41.9M shares
5 years+11%+77.5M shares
Available history+18%+124M shares

BX has 800M diluted shares, up 2.2% from a year ago.

BAC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 9.5xQ1 2024: 9.5xQ2 2024: 9.4xQ3 2024: 9.9xQ4 2024: 9.0xQ1 2025: 8.6xQ2 2025: 8.8xQ3 2025: 8.3xQ4 2025: 7.7xQ1 2026: 7.1xQ2 2026: 6.7xQ3 2026: 6.4x
Q4 2023: 9.5xQ1 2024: 9.5xQ2 2024: 9.4xQ3 2024: 9.9xQ4 2024: 9.0xQ1 2025: 8.6xQ2 2025: 8.8xQ3 2025: 8.3xQ4 2025: 7.7xQ1 2026: 7.1xQ2 2026: 6.7xQ3 2026: 6.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20266.4xHigh
Q2 20266.7xHigh
Q1 20267.1xHigh
Q4 20257.7xHigh
Q3 20258.3xHigh
Q2 20258.8xHigh
Q1 20258.6xHigh
Q4 20249.0xHigh

BAC's net debt is about 6.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.3 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BAC.

BX Net Leverage

BAC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI37.1Neutral
Stochastic4.9Oversold

BAC's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

BX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.4Neutral
Stochastic29.9Neutral

BX's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 30 (neutral).

BAC PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBACSector medianRelative
PE12x13x7.5% below
PE %406323 pts below

BAC has the edge over BX on valuation relative to its sector.

BX PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBXSector medianRelative
PE26x13x103% above
PE %356328 pts below

BX is trading at 26x earnings, a 103% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

BAC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$52.13% below
20 week MA$57.813% below
50 week MA$54.77.7% below
100 week MA$50.50% below
200 week MA$42.519% above

BAC has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 19% above its 200-week average.

BX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$115.72.5% above
20 week MA$125.65.6% below
50 week MA$127.77.2% below
100 week MA$142.117% below
200 week MA$130.39% below

BX has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 9% below its 200-week average.

BAC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$35.4$30.0-15%
2021$30.0$44.4+48%
2022$44.4$32.5-27%
2023$32.5$33.7+3.7%
2024$33.7$44.3+32%
2025$44.3$56.2+27%
2026 YTD$56.2$50.5-10%

BAC has the edge over BX on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

BX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$56.1$65.0+16%
2021$65.0$135.0+108%
2022$135.0$74.9-45%
2023$74.9$130.9+75%
2024$130.9$174.0+33%
2025$174.0$155.4-11%
2026 YTD$155.4$118.5-24%

BX's yearly returns have swung widely, from +108% in 2021 to −45% in 2022. It's down 24% so far in 2026.

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