BABA

Alibaba Group Holding Limited

53
Fundamentals36/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

BABA's fundamentals are weak: its operating margin fell 10 points to 4.2% and free cash flow turned negative, though revenue grew 4.3%. Its PE isn't a useful guide right now because of how its recent earnings were reported.

ZGN

Ermenegildo Zegna N.V.

There isn't enough reported data to score ZGN yet.

BABA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Weak
Healthy

BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

ZGN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Strong
Unavailable
Strong

ZGN's profitability and balance sheet are currently strong. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue and cash flow.

BABA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap16x$69.66-26%
Fair20x$86.59-8.2%
Current21x$94.36โ€”
Expensive26x$115+22%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BABA's PE is 21x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

ZGN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE18x36x54x72x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE18x36x54x72x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap23x$9.68-29%
Fair26x$10.98-19%
Current41x$13.57โ€”
Expensive54x$22.47+66%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ZGN has the edge over BABA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

BABA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BABA, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ZGN Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for ZGN to show an outlook.

BABA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$125.09
Downside-23%$72.35

Calculated from the latest close: $94.36 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare BABA and ZGN's risk to reward.

ZGN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $13.57 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare BABA and ZGN's risk to reward.

BABA Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$4.42-52%
Q1 2026$6.57-18%
Q4 2025$5.79-22%
Q3 2025$7.85+49%
Q2 2025$9.27+116%
Q1 2025$8.06+71%
Q4 2024$7.47+24%
Q3 2024$5.26-35%

BABA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.42 over the past year, against $9.27 in mid-2025. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.

ZGN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2024: $0.33Q2 2025: $0.41Q4 2025: $0.42
Q4 2024: $0.33Q2 2025: $0.41Q4 2025: $0.42
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q4 2025$0.42+27%

ZGN and BABA do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.

BABA Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$40.2B+8.3%
Q1 2026$36.5B+2.9%
Q4 2025$42.7B+1.7%
Q3 2025$37.2B+4.8%
Q2 2025$37.2B+1.8%
Q1 2025$35.5B+6.6%
Q4 2024$42B+7.6%
Q3 2024$35.5B+5.2%

BABA has the edge over ZGN in the latest year-over-year revenue comparison.

ZGN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2020: $680MQ2 2021: $676MQ4 2021: $760MQ2 2022: $810MQ4 2022: $849MQ2 2023: $1BQ4 2023: $1.1BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $1.1BQ2 2025: $1BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1B
Q4 2020: $680MQ2 2021: $676MQ4 2021: $760MQ2 2022: $810MQ4 2022: $849MQ2 2023: $1BQ4 2023: $1.1BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $1.1BQ2 2025: $1BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$1.1B+7.9%
Q4 2025$1.1B+0.3%
Q2 2025$1B-3.4%
Q4 2024$1.1B-1.5%
Q2 2024$1.1B+6.3%
Q4 2023$1.1B+31%
Q2 2023$1B+24%
Q4 2022$848.6M+12%

ZGN's revenue is growing: $1.1B last quarter, up 4.2% from the same quarter a year ago.

BABA Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: โˆ’$4.2BQ2 2025: โˆ’$2.7BQ3 2025: โˆ’$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: โˆ’$2.7BQ2 2026: โˆ’$6.7B
Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: โˆ’$4.2BQ2 2025: โˆ’$2.7BQ3 2025: โˆ’$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: โˆ’$2.7BQ2 2026: โˆ’$6.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$6.7B-$4.1B
Q1 2026-$2.7B+$1.5B
Q4 2025$1B-90%
Q3 2025-$3.2B-254%
Q2 2025-$2.7B-182%
Q1 2025-$4.2B-12231%
Q4 2024$10.4B-4.8%
Q3 2024$2.1B-62%

BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: โˆ’$11.6B over the past year.

ZGN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2020: $131MQ2 2021: $82MQ4 2021: $138MQ2 2022: $14MQ4 2022: $94MQ2 2023: $91MQ4 2023: $152MQ2 2024: $81MQ4 2024: $118MQ2 2025: $71MQ4 2025: $213MQ2 2026: $123M
Q4 2020: $131MQ2 2021: $82MQ4 2021: $138MQ2 2022: $14MQ4 2022: $94MQ2 2023: $91MQ4 2023: $152MQ2 2024: $81MQ4 2024: $118MQ2 2025: $71MQ4 2025: $213MQ2 2026: $123M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$122.7M+73%
Q4 2025$212.6M+80%
Q2 2025$70.7M-12%
Q4 2024$118.3M-22%
Q2 2024$80.6M-11%
Q4 2023$151.6M+61%
Q2 2023$91M+552%
Q4 2022$94.1M-32%

ZGN generated $524M in free cash flow over the past year, up 26% from the year before.

BABA Total Shares

Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+11.1M shares
1 year+0.9%+21.4M shares
3 years-6.2%-161M shares
5 years-12%-339M shares
Available history-8.4%-221M shares

BABA has the edge over ZGN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ZGN Total Shares

Q4 2020: 222MQ2 2021: 203MQ4 2021: 205MQ2 2022: 239MQ4 2022: 242MQ4 2023: 252MQ2 2024: 253MQ4 2024: 254MQ2 2025: 256MQ4 2025: 261MQ2 2026: 270M
Q4 2020: 222MQ2 2021: 203MQ4 2021: 205MQ2 2022: 239MQ4 2022: 242MQ4 2023: 252MQ2 2024: 253MQ4 2024: 254MQ2 2025: 256MQ4 2025: 261MQ2 2026: 270M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.4%+8.8M shares
1 year+6.7%+17M shares
3 years+12%+27.9M shares

ZGN has 270M diluted shares, up 6.7% from a year ago.

BABA Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.8xVery low
Q2 20250.2xVery low
Q1 20250.3xVery low
Q4 20240.1xVery low
Q3 2024-0.2xNet Cash

BABA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

ZGN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 0.1x
Q4 2023: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q4 20250.1xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.4xVery low
Q2 20240.4xVery low
Q4 20230.3xVery low

ZGN's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

BABA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.0Neutral
Stochastic12.7Oversold

BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).

ZGN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.6Neutral
Stochastic54.9Neutral

ZGN's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 55 (neutral).

BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBABASector medianRelative
PE21x18x19% above
PE %604713 pts above

BABA has the edge over ZGN on valuation relative to its sector.

ZGN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricZGNSector medianRelative
PE41x18x128% above
PE %785523 pts above

ZGN is trading at 41x earnings, a 128% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.

BABA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$104.79.9% below
20 week MA$111.115% below
50 week MA$128.026% below
100 week MA$127.726% below
200 week MA$106.411% below

BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.

ZGN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$13.23% above
20 week MA$13.41.3% above
50 week MA$12.211% above
100 week MA$10.430% above
200 week MA$11.221% above

ZGN has the edge over BABA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BABA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$215.5$222.0+3%
2021$222.0$118.7-47%
2022$118.7$85.7-28%
2023$85.7$77.5-9.5%
2024$77.5$85.1+9.7%
2025$85.1$152.2+79%
2026 YTD$152.2$94.4-38%

BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.

ZGN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$12.0$12.00%
2022$12.0$10.0-17%
2023$10.0$11.6+16%
2024$11.6$8.35-28%
2025$8.35$10.5+25%
2026 YTD$10.5$13.6+30%

ZGN has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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