BABA

Alibaba Group Holding Limited

53
Fundamentals36/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

BABA's fundamentals are weak: its operating margin fell 10 points to 4.2% and free cash flow turned negative, though revenue grew 4.3%. Its PE isn't a useful guide right now because of how its recent earnings were reported.

YSG

Yatsen Holding Limited

There isn't enough reported data to score YSG yet.

BABA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Weak
Healthy

BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

YSG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Strong

YSG's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

BABA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap16x$69.66-26%
Fair20x$86.59-8.2%
Current21x$94.36โ€”
Expensive26x$115+22%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BABA's PE is 21x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

YSG PE Valuation

YSG has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BABA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BABA, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

YSG Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for YSG to show an outlook.

BABA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$125.09
Downside-23%$72.35

Calculated from the latest close: $94.36 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare BABA and YSG's risk to reward.

YSG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $1.95 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare BABA and YSG's risk to reward.

BABA Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$4.42-52%
Q1 2026$6.57-18%
Q4 2025$5.79-22%
Q3 2025$7.85+49%
Q2 2025$9.27+116%
Q1 2025$8.06+71%
Q4 2024$7.47+24%
Q3 2024$5.26-35%

BABA has the edge over YSG on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

YSG Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-0.48Q4 2023: $-1.10Q1 2024: $-1.28Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-1.16Q4 2024: $-1.07Q1 2025: $-0.90Q2 2025: $-0.82Q3 2025: $-0.74Q4 2025: $-0.13Q1 2026: $-0.21Q2 2026: $-0.33
Q3 2023: $-0.48Q4 2023: $-1.10Q1 2024: $-1.28Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-1.16Q4 2024: $-1.07Q1 2025: $-0.90Q2 2025: $-0.82Q3 2025: $-0.74Q4 2025: $-0.13Q1 2026: $-0.21Q2 2026: $-0.33
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$0.33+$0.49
Q1 2026-$0.21+$0.69
Q4 2025-$0.13+$0.94
Q3 2025-$0.74+$0.42
Q2 2025-$0.82+$0.43
Q1 2025-$0.90+$0.38
Q4 2024-$1.07+$0.03
Q3 2024-$1.16-$0.68

YSG is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.33 per share over the past year, against $1.80 at its worst in early 2022.

BABA Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$40.2B+8.3%
Q1 2026$36.5B+2.9%
Q4 2025$42.7B+1.7%
Q3 2025$37.2B+4.8%
Q2 2025$37.2B+1.8%
Q1 2025$35.5B+6.6%
Q4 2024$42B+7.6%
Q3 2024$35.5B+5.2%

BABA's revenue has grown year over year for 16 quarters in a row: $40.2B last quarter, up 8.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

YSG Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $109MQ4 2023: $158MQ1 2024: $117MQ2 2024: $120MQ3 2024: $99MQ4 2024: $175MQ1 2025: $125MQ2 2025: $162MQ3 2025: $149MQ4 2025: $204MQ1 2026: $153MQ2 2026: $172M
Q3 2023: $109MQ4 2023: $158MQ1 2024: $117MQ2 2024: $120MQ3 2024: $99MQ4 2024: $175MQ1 2025: $125MQ2 2025: $162MQ3 2025: $149MQ4 2025: $204MQ1 2026: $153MQ2 2026: $172M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$171.6M+6.2%
Q1 2026$153.2M+23%
Q4 2025$204.2M+17%
Q3 2025$149.1M+50%
Q2 2025$161.5M+35%
Q1 2025$124.8M+7%
Q4 2024$175M+11%
Q3 2024$99.4M-8.5%

YSG's revenue is recovering but still below its 2020 peak: $172M last quarter, up 6.2% from the same quarter a year ago.

BABA Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: โˆ’$4.2BQ2 2025: โˆ’$2.7BQ3 2025: โˆ’$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: โˆ’$2.7BQ2 2026: โˆ’$6.7B
Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: โˆ’$4.2BQ2 2025: โˆ’$2.7BQ3 2025: โˆ’$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: โˆ’$2.7BQ2 2026: โˆ’$6.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$6.7B-$4.1B
Q1 2026-$2.7B+$1.5B
Q4 2025$1B-90%
Q3 2025-$3.2B-254%
Q2 2025-$2.7B-182%
Q1 2025-$4.2B-12231%
Q4 2024$10.4B-4.8%
Q3 2024$2.1B-62%

BABA has the edge over YSG on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

YSG Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $4MQ4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $0Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: $0Q2 2025: $0Q3 2025: $0Q4 2025: โˆ’$21MQ1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
Q3 2023: $4MQ4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $0Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: $0Q2 2025: $0Q3 2025: $0Q4 2025: โˆ’$21MQ1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$0$0
Q1 2026$0$0
Q4 2025-$20.8M-$20.8M
Q3 2025$0$0
Q2 2025$0$0
Q1 2025$0$0
Q4 2024$0$0
Q3 2024$0-100%

YSG's free cash flow was โˆ’$21M over the past year, against $0 the year before.

BABA Total Shares

Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+11.1M shares
1 year+0.9%+21.4M shares
3 years-6.2%-161M shares
5 years-12%-339M shares
Available history-8.4%-221M shares

BABA has the edge over YSG on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

YSG Total Shares

Q3 2023: 109MQ4 2023: 107MQ1 2024: 107MQ2 2024: 102MQ3 2024: 102MQ4 2024: 97MQ1 2025: 92MQ2 2025: 93MQ3 2025: 94MQ4 2025: 101MQ1 2026: 94MQ2 2026: 94M
Q3 2023: 109MQ4 2023: 107MQ1 2024: 107MQ2 2024: 102MQ3 2024: 102MQ4 2024: 97MQ1 2025: 92MQ2 2025: 93MQ3 2025: 94MQ4 2025: 101MQ1 2026: 94MQ2 2026: 94M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-113K shares
1 year+1.1%+983K shares
3 years-16%-17.7M shares
5 years-26%-32.6M shares
Available history-30%-41.1M shares

YSG has 94M diluted shares, up 1.1% from a year ago, despite $17M in buybacks over the past year.

BABA Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.8xVery low
Q2 20250.2xVery low
Q1 20250.3xVery low
Q4 20240.1xVery low
Q3 2024-0.2xNet Cash

BABA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

YSG Net Leverage

Q4 2025: -7.1xQ1 2026: -35.5x
Q4 2025: -7.1xQ1 2026: -35.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q1 2026-35.5xNet Cash
Q4 2025-7.1xNet Cash
Q1 20208.5xHigh
Q4 2019-1.9xNet Cash

YSG has the edge over BABA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BABA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.0Neutral
Stochastic12.7Oversold

BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).

YSG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI29.3Oversold
Stochastic11.9Oversold

YSG's weekly RSI is 29 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBABASector medianRelative
PE21x18x19% above
PE %604713 pts above

BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.

YSG PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

YSG has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BABA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$104.79.9% below
20 week MA$111.115% below
50 week MA$128.026% below
100 week MA$127.726% below
200 week MA$106.411% below

BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.

YSG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$2.3617% below
20 week MA$2.8532% below
50 week MA$3.3241% below
100 week MA$4.8860% below
200 week MA$4.6858% below

YSG is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 58% below its 200-week average.

BABA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$215.5$222.0+3%
2021$222.0$118.7-47%
2022$118.7$85.7-28%
2023$85.7$77.5-9.5%
2024$77.5$85.1+9.7%
2025$85.1$152.2+79%
2026 YTD$152.2$94.4-38%

BABA has the edge over YSG on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

YSG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$100.2$80.0-20%
2021$80.0$9.45-88%
2022$9.45$7.35-22%
2023$7.35$3.66-50%
2024$3.66$4.43+21%
2025$4.43$4.13-6.8%
2026 YTD$4.13$1.95-53%

YSG has finished lower in five of the last six years. It's down 53% so far in 2026.

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