BABA

Alibaba Group Holding Limited

53
Fundamentals36/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

BABA's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

YETI

YETI Holdings, Inc.

70
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation80/ 100
Upside potential76/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

YETI has the edge over BABA overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

BABA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Weak
Healthy

BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

YETI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

YETI's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

BABA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap16x$69.66-26%
Fair20x$86.59-8.2%
Current21x$94.36—
Expensive26x$115+22%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BABA's PE is 21x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

YETI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE19x39x58x77x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE19x39x58x77x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$38.30—
Current16x$38.30—
Cheap17x$41.93+9.5%
Fair25x$59.81+56%
Expensive53x$128+233%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

YETI has the edge over BABA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

BABA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BABA, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

YETI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for YETI, with profitability improving.

BABA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$125.09
Downside-23%$72.35

Calculated from the latest close: $94.36 on Nov 12.

BABA trails YETI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

YETI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$56.99
Downside-16%$32.35

Calculated from the latest close: $38.30 on Nov 12.

YETI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BABA, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

BABA Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$4.42-52%
Q1 2026$6.57-18%
Q4 2025$5.79-22%
Q3 2025$7.85+49%
Q2 2025$9.27+116%
Q1 2025$8.06+71%
Q4 2024$7.47+24%
Q3 2024$5.26-35%

BABA has the edge over YETI on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

YETI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.94Q1 2024: $2.00Q2 2024: $2.15Q3 2024: $2.32Q4 2024: $2.05Q1 2025: $2.07Q2 2025: $2.09Q3 2025: $1.91Q1 2026: $2.03Q2 2026: $1.96Q3 2026: $2.29Q4 2026: $2.41Forward: $3.26
Q4 2023: $1.94Q1 2024: $2.00Q2 2024: $2.15Q3 2024: $2.32Q4 2024: $2.05Q1 2025: $2.07Q2 2025: $2.09Q3 2025: $1.91Q1 2026: $2.03Q2 2026: $1.96Q3 2026: $2.29Q4 2026: $2.41Forward: $3.26
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.26+35%
Q3 2026$2.41+26%
Q2 2026$2.29+9.6%
Q1 2026$1.96-5.3%
Q4 2025$2.03-1%
Q3 2025$1.91-18%
Q2 2025$2.09-2.8%
Q1 2025$2.07+3.5%
Q4 2024$2.05+5.7%

YETI earned $2.41 per share over the past year, up 26% from the year before.

BABA Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$40.2B+8.3%
Q1 2026$36.5B+2.9%
Q4 2025$42.7B+1.7%
Q3 2025$37.2B+4.8%
Q2 2025$37.2B+1.8%
Q1 2025$35.5B+6.6%
Q4 2024$42B+7.6%
Q3 2024$35.5B+5.2%

BABA has the edge over YETI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

YETI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $520MQ1 2024: $341MQ2 2024: $463MQ3 2024: $478MQ4 2024: $547MQ1 2025: $351MQ2 2025: $446MQ3 2025: $488MQ1 2026: $584MQ2 2026: $380MQ3 2026: $484MQ4 2026: $509M
Q4 2023: $520MQ1 2024: $341MQ2 2024: $463MQ3 2024: $478MQ4 2024: $547MQ1 2025: $351MQ2 2025: $446MQ3 2025: $488MQ1 2026: $584MQ2 2026: $380MQ3 2026: $484MQ4 2026: $509M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$509.4M+4.4%
Q2 2026$483.9M+8.5%
Q1 2026$380.4M+8.3%
Q4 2025$583.7M+6.8%
Q3 2025$487.8M+1.9%
Q2 2025$445.9M-3.8%
Q1 2025$351.1M+2.9%
Q4 2024$546.5M+5.1%

YETI's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $509M last quarter, up 4.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

BABA Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: −$4.2BQ2 2025: −$2.7BQ3 2025: −$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: −$2.7BQ2 2026: −$6.7B
Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: −$4.2BQ2 2025: −$2.7BQ3 2025: −$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: −$2.7BQ2 2026: −$6.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$6.7B-$4.1B
Q1 2026-$2.7B+$1.5B
Q4 2025$1B-90%
Q3 2025-$3.2B-254%
Q2 2025-$2.7B-182%
Q1 2025-$4.2B-12231%
Q4 2024$10.4B-4.8%
Q3 2024$2.1B-62%

BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.

YETI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $159MQ1 2024: −$114MQ2 2024: $45MQ3 2024: $74MQ4 2024: $215MQ1 2025: −$89MQ2 2025: $50MQ3 2025: $63MQ1 2026: $162MQ2 2026: −$44MQ3 2026: $48MQ4 2026: $67M
Q4 2023: $159MQ1 2024: −$114MQ2 2024: $45MQ3 2024: $74MQ4 2024: $215MQ1 2025: −$89MQ2 2025: $50MQ3 2025: $63MQ1 2026: $162MQ2 2026: −$44MQ3 2026: $48MQ4 2026: $67M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$67.4M+7.1%
Q2 2026$48.1M-4.1%
Q1 2026-$43.8M+$45.4M
Q4 2025$162M-25%
Q3 2025$62.9M-15%
Q2 2025$50.2M+12%
Q1 2025-$89.2M+$25.1M
Q4 2024$215.1M+35%

YETI has the edge over BABA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

BABA Total Shares

Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+11.1M shares
1 year+0.9%+21.4M shares
3 years-6.2%-161M shares
5 years-12%-339M shares
Available history-8.4%-221M shares

BABA has 2.4B diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.

YETI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 87MQ1 2024: 87MQ2 2024: 85MQ3 2024: 85MQ4 2024: 86MQ1 2025: 84MQ2 2025: 83MQ3 2025: 81MQ1 2026: 82MQ2 2026: 77MQ3 2026: 76MQ4 2026: 74M
Q4 2023: 87MQ1 2024: 87MQ2 2024: 85MQ3 2024: 85MQ4 2024: 86MQ1 2025: 84MQ2 2025: 83MQ3 2025: 81MQ1 2026: 82MQ2 2026: 77MQ3 2026: 76MQ4 2026: 74M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.1%-1.6M shares
1 year-8.9%-7.3M shares
3 years-15%-13.4M shares
5 years-16%-14.6M shares
Available history-14%-12.2M shares

YETI has the edge over BABA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BABA Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.8xVery low
Q2 20250.2xVery low
Q1 20250.3xVery low
Q4 20240.1xVery low
Q3 2024-0.2xNet Cash

BABA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

YETI Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.3xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -0.6xQ2 2025: -0.7xQ3 2025: -0.3xQ1 2026: -0.4xQ2 2026: -0.2xQ3 2026: 0.1xQ4 2026: -0.0x
Q4 2023: -1.3xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -0.6xQ2 2025: -0.7xQ3 2025: -0.3xQ1 2026: -0.4xQ2 2026: -0.2xQ3 2026: 0.1xQ4 2026: -0.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.0xNet Cash

YETI has the edge over BABA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BABA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.0Neutral
Stochastic12.7Oversold

BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).

YETI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.1Neutral
Stochastic24.9Neutral

YETI's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 25 (neutral).

BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBABASector medianRelative
PE21x18x19% above
PE %604713 pts above

BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.

YETI PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricYETISector medianRelative
PE16x18x12% below
PE %74740 pts below

YETI has the edge over BABA on valuation relative to its sector.

BABA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$104.79.9% below
20 week MA$111.115% below
50 week MA$128.026% below
100 week MA$127.726% below
200 week MA$106.411% below

BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.

YETI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$42.08.7% below
20 week MA$44.514% below
50 week MA$44.213% below
100 week MA$39.22.4% below
200 week MA$40.24.6% below

YETI is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 4.6% below its 200-week average.

BABA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$215.5$222.0+3%
2021$222.0$118.7-47%
2022$118.7$85.7-28%
2023$85.7$77.5-9.5%
2024$77.5$85.1+9.7%
2025$85.1$152.2+79%
2026 YTD$152.2$94.4-38%

BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.

YETI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$35.0$73.1+109%
2021$73.1$83.4+14%
2022$83.4$41.5-50%
2023$41.5$51.8+25%
2024$51.8$39.4-24%
2025$39.4$45.8+16%
2026 YTD$45.8$38.3-16%

YETI has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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