BABA
Alibaba Group Holding Limited
BABA has a slight edge over XPEV overall, supported by lower modeled downside.
XPEV
XPeng Inc.
XPEV offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
BABA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Healthy |
BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
XPEV Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Stable | |
| Unavailable |
XPEV's revenue and cash flow are currently stable, but its profitability is under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
BABA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 16x | $69.66 | -26% |
| Fair | 20x | $86.59 | -8.2% |
| Current | 21x | $94.36 | — |
| Expensive | 26x | $115 | +22% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BABA's PE is 21x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
XPEV PE Valuation
XPEV has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
BABA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BABA, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
XPEV Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect XPEV's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
BABA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.42 | -52% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.57 | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.79 | -22% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.85 | +49% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.27 | +116% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.06 | +71% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.47 | +24% |
| Q3 2024 | $5.26 | -35% |
BABA has the edge over XPEV on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
XPEV Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$0.93 | -$0.25 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.58 | +$0.23 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.12 | +$0.80 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.45 | +$0.47 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.68 | +$0.63 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.81 | +$0.79 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.92 | +$0.87 |
| Q3 2024 | -$0.92 | +$1.07 |
XPEV is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.93 per share over the past year, against $1.99 at its worst in late 2023.
BABA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $40.2B | +8.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $36.5B | +2.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $42.7B | +1.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $37.2B | +4.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $37.2B | +1.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $35.5B | +6.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $42B | +7.6% |
| Q3 2024 | $35.5B | +5.2% |
BABA's revenue has grown year over year for 16 quarters in a row: $40.2B last quarter, up 8.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 7.2% | -6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3% | -12 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.1% | -7.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.2% | -13 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +5.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | +6.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | 15% | 0 points |
BABA has the edge over XPEV on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
XPEV Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $3B | +7.7% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.9B | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.3B | +36% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.1B | +102% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.7B | +125% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.4B | +141% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.4B | +23% |
| Q3 2024 | $1.5B | +18% |
XPEV's revenue is growing: $3B last quarter, up 7.7% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -6.7% | -1.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | -16% | -9.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | -4.2% | +5.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | -3.7% | +15 points |
| Q2 2025 | -5.1% | +15 points |
| Q1 2025 | -6.6% | +19 points |
| Q4 2024 | -9.7% | +6.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | -18% | +19 points |
XPEV's operating margin was −6.7% last quarter, down 1.6 points from the same quarter a year ago.
BABA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$6.7B | -$4.1B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.7B | +$1.5B |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | -90% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.2B | -254% |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.7B | -182% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.2B | -12231% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.4B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.1B | -62% |
BABA has the edge over XPEV on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
XPEV Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $0 | $0 |
| Q1 2026 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q3 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q2 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q1 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2024 | $0 | $0 |
| Q3 2024 | $0 | $0 |
XPEV's free cash flow was $0 over the past year, against $0 the year before.
BABA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +11.1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.9% | +21.4M shares |
| 3 years | -6.2% | -161M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -339M shares |
| Available history | -8.4% | -221M shares |
BABA has 2.4B diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $269.8M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
BABA spent $270M buying back its own shares over the past year, after none the year before.
XPEV Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.1% | +541K shares |
| 1 year | -49% | -467M shares |
| 3 years | -45% | -383M shares |
| 5 years | -44% | -377M shares |
| Available history | -44% | -377M shares |
XPEV has the edge over BABA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
XPEV hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
BABA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
BABA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
XPEV Net Leverage
XPEV's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
BABA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 12.7 | Oversold |
BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).
XPEV Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 35.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 17.7 | Oversold |
XPEV's weekly RSI is 36 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).
BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BABA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 18x | 19% above |
| PE % | 60 | 47 | 13 pts above |
BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.
XPEV PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
XPEV has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
BABA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $104.7 | 9.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $111.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $128.0 | 26% below |
| 100 week MA | $127.7 | 26% below |
| 200 week MA | $106.4 | 11% below |
BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.
XPEV Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $9.56 | 1% below |
| 20 week MA | $11.1 | 14% below |
| 50 week MA | $14.9 | 37% below |
| 100 week MA | $17.2 | 45% below |
| 200 week MA | $14.2 | 33% below |
XPEV is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 33% below its 200-week average.
BABA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $215.5 | $222.0 | +3% |
| 2021 | $222.0 | $118.7 | -47% |
| 2022 | $118.7 | $85.7 | -28% |
| 2023 | $85.7 | $77.5 | -9.5% |
| 2024 | $77.5 | $85.1 | +9.7% |
| 2025 | $85.1 | $152.2 | +79% |
| 2026 YTD | $152.2 | $94.4 | -38% |
BABA has the edge over XPEV on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
XPEV Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $22.8 | $41.9 | +84% |
| 2021 | $41.9 | $46.1 | +10% |
| 2022 | $46.1 | $10.1 | -78% |
| 2023 | $10.1 | $14.6 | +45% |
| 2024 | $14.6 | $12.6 | -13% |
| 2025 | $12.6 | $20.8 | +65% |
| 2026 YTD | $20.8 | $9.46 | -54% |
XPEV is down 54% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in four of the previous six years.