BABA

Alibaba Group Holding Limited

53
Fundamentals36/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

BABA's fundamentals are weak: its operating margin fell 10 points to 4.2% and free cash flow turned negative, though revenue grew 4.3%. Its PE isn't a useful guide right now because of how its recent earnings were reported.

XMAX

XMAX, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score XMAX yet.

BABA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Weak
Healthy

BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

XMAX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Unavailable
Strong

XMAX's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable. There isn't enough data to rate its cash flow.

BABA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap16x$69.66-26%
Fair20x$86.59-8.2%
Current21x$94.36—
Expensive26x$115+22%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BABA's PE is 21x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

XMAX PE Valuation

LevelPEPriceVs current
Current16x$6.56—
Cheap17x$6.78+3.4%
Fair21x$8.62+31%
Expensive21x$8.73+33%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

XMAX has the edge over BABA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

BABA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BABA, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

XMAX Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for XMAX to show an outlook.

BABA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$125.09
Downside-23%$72.35

Calculated from the latest close: $94.36 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare BABA and XMAX's risk to reward.

XMAX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $6.56 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare BABA and XMAX's risk to reward.

BABA Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$4.42-52%
Q1 2026$6.57-18%
Q4 2025$5.79-22%
Q3 2025$7.85+49%
Q2 2025$9.27+116%
Q1 2025$8.06+71%
Q4 2024$7.47+24%
Q3 2024$5.26-35%

BABA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.42 over the past year, against $9.27 in mid-2025. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.

XMAX Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-8.40Q4 2023: $-4.96Q1 2024: $-4.76Q2 2024: $-4.61Q3 2024: $-4.50Q4 2024: $-1.90Q1 2025: $-1.28Q2 2025: $-1.08Q3 2025: $-0.42Q4 2025: $-0.17Q1 2026: $-0.14Q2 2026: $0.41
Q3 2023: $-8.40Q4 2023: $-4.96Q1 2024: $-4.76Q2 2024: $-4.61Q3 2024: $-4.50Q4 2024: $-1.90Q1 2025: $-1.28Q2 2025: $-1.08Q3 2025: $-0.42Q4 2025: $-0.17Q1 2026: $-0.14Q2 2026: $0.41
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$0.41+$1.49
Q1 2026-$0.14+$1.14
Q4 2025-$0.17+$1.73
Q3 2025-$0.42+$4.08
Q2 2025-$1.08+$3.53
Q1 2025-$1.28+$3.48
Q4 2024-$1.90+$3.06
Q3 2024-$4.50+$3.90

XMAX has the edge over BABA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BABA Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$40.2B+8.3%
Q1 2026$36.5B+2.9%
Q4 2025$42.7B+1.7%
Q3 2025$37.2B+4.8%
Q2 2025$37.2B+1.8%
Q1 2025$35.5B+6.6%
Q4 2024$42B+7.6%
Q3 2024$35.5B+5.2%

BABA has the edge over XMAX on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

XMAX Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $2MQ4 2023: $2MQ1 2024: $2MQ2 2024: $3MQ3 2024: $3MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $3MQ2 2025: $3MQ3 2025: $10MQ4 2025: $2MQ1 2026: $2MQ2 2026: $3M
Q3 2023: $2MQ4 2023: $2MQ1 2024: $2MQ2 2024: $3MQ3 2024: $3MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $3MQ2 2025: $3MQ3 2025: $10MQ4 2025: $2MQ1 2026: $2MQ2 2026: $3M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$2.7M+7.1%
Q1 2026$1.8M-32%
Q4 2025$1.8M-12%
Q3 2025$9.8M+273%
Q2 2025$2.6M-4.9%
Q1 2025$2.6M+11%
Q4 2024$2M-12%
Q3 2024$2.6M+5.6%

XMAX's revenue is growing: $3M last quarter, up 7.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

BABA Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: −$4.2BQ2 2025: −$2.7BQ3 2025: −$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: −$2.7BQ2 2026: −$6.7B
Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: −$4.2BQ2 2025: −$2.7BQ3 2025: −$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: −$2.7BQ2 2026: −$6.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$6.7B-$4.1B
Q1 2026-$2.7B+$1.5B
Q4 2025$1B-90%
Q3 2025-$3.2B-254%
Q2 2025-$2.7B-182%
Q1 2025-$4.2B-12231%
Q4 2024$10.4B-4.8%
Q3 2024$2.1B-62%

XMAX has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is up 57% versus its history, compared with BABA at down 158%.

XMAX Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: −$3MQ1 2024: −$221,702Q2 2024: −$468,713Q3 2024: −$437,915Q4 2024: −$263,449Q1 2025: −$322,617Q2 2025: $92,513Q3 2025: −$2MQ4 2025: --Q1 2026: −$641,744Q2 2026: --
Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: −$3MQ1 2024: −$221,702Q2 2024: −$468,713Q3 2024: −$437,915Q4 2024: −$263,449Q1 2025: −$322,617Q2 2025: $92,513Q3 2025: −$2MQ4 2025: --Q1 2026: −$641,744Q2 2026: --
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q1 2026-$641.7K-$319.1K
Q3 2025-$1.9M-$1.5M
Q2 2025$92.5K+$561.2K
Q1 2025-$322.6K-$100.9K
Q4 2024-$263.4K+$2.8M
Q1 2024-$221.7K+$510.7K
Q4 2023-$3.1M-$1.2M
Q1 2023-$732.4K+$124.2K

XMAX has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$3M over the past year, against −$1M the year before.

BABA Total Shares

Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+11.1M shares
1 year+0.9%+21.4M shares
3 years-6.2%-161M shares
5 years-12%-339M shares
Available history-8.4%-221M shares

BABA has the edge over XMAX on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

XMAX Total Shares

Q3 2023: 2MQ1 2024: 2MQ2 2024: 3MQ3 2024: 3MQ4 2024: 4MQ1 2025: 10MQ2 2025: 14MQ3 2025: 18MQ1 2026: 45MQ2 2026: 61M
Q3 2023: 2MQ1 2024: 2MQ2 2024: 3MQ3 2024: 3MQ4 2024: 4MQ1 2025: 10MQ2 2025: 14MQ3 2025: 18MQ1 2026: 45MQ2 2026: 61M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+36%+16.2M shares
1 year+524%+51.2M shares
3 years+4302%+59.6M shares
5 years+5213%+59.9M shares
Available history+5210%+59.9M shares

XMAX has 61M diluted shares, up 524% from a year ago.

BABA Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.8xVery low
Q2 20250.2xVery low
Q1 20250.3xVery low
Q4 20240.1xVery low
Q3 2024-0.2xNet Cash

BABA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

XMAX Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2019-1.0xNet Cash
Q2 2019-4.5xNet Cash

XMAX has more cash than debt.

BABA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.0Neutral
Stochastic12.7Oversold

BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).

XMAX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.5Neutral
Stochastic30.6Neutral

XMAX's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).

BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBABASector medianRelative
PE21x18x19% above
PE %604713 pts above

BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.

XMAX PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricXMAXSector medianRelative
PE16x18x11% below

XMAX has the edge over BABA on valuation relative to its sector.

BABA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$104.79.9% below
20 week MA$111.115% below
50 week MA$128.026% below
100 week MA$127.726% below
200 week MA$106.411% below

XMAX has stronger trend alignment. BABA is above 0 of 5 weekly averages versus XMAX above 1 of 4.

XMAX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$7.6414% below
20 week MA$8.2921% below
50 week MA$7.4812% below
100 week MA$4.8535% above

XMAX has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 35% above its 100-week average.

BABA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$215.5$222.0+3%
2021$222.0$118.7-47%
2022$118.7$85.7-28%
2023$85.7$77.5-9.5%
2024$77.5$85.1+9.7%
2025$85.1$152.2+79%
2026 YTD$152.2$94.4-38%

BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.

XMAX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2023$3.77$3.770%
2024$3.77$0.53-86%
2025$0.53$6.00+1032%
2026 YTD$6.00$6.56+9.3%

XMAX has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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