BABA
Alibaba Group Holding Limited
BABA's fundamentals are weak: its operating margin fell 10 points to 4.2% and free cash flow turned negative, though revenue grew 4.3%. Its PE isn't a useful guide right now because of how its recent earnings were reported.
XELB
Xcel Brands, Inc.
There isn't enough reported data to score XELB yet.
BABA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Healthy |
BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
XELB Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Strong |
XELB's balance sheet is currently strong, but its revenue, profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
BABA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 16x | $69.66 | -26% |
| Fair | 20x | $86.59 | -8.2% |
| Current | 21x | $94.36 | — |
| Expensive | 26x | $115 | +22% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BABA's PE is 21x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
XELB PE Valuation
XELB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
BABA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BABA, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
XELB Forward outlook
There aren't enough analyst estimates for XELB to show an outlook.
BABA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.42 | -52% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.57 | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.79 | -22% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.85 | +49% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.27 | +116% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.06 | +71% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.47 | +24% |
| Q3 2024 | $5.26 | -35% |
BABA has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is down 52% for BABA versus XELB down 236%.
XELB Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2025 | -$14.01 | -$3.71 |
| Q2 2025 | -$15.89 | -$6.89 |
| Q1 2025 | -$14.13 | -$3.23 |
| Q4 2024 | -$16.05 | -$5.35 |
| Q3 2024 | -$10.30 | -$0.10 |
| Q2 2024 | -$9.00 | +$0.70 |
| Q1 2024 | -$10.90 | -$7.80 |
| Q4 2023 | -$10.70 | -$8.70 |
XELB lost $14.01 per share over the past year, a bigger loss than the year before.
BABA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $40.2B | +8.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $36.5B | +2.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $42.7B | +1.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $37.2B | +4.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $37.2B | +1.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $35.5B | +6.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $42B | +7.6% |
| Q3 2024 | $35.5B | +5.2% |
BABA has the edge over XELB on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 7.2% | -6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3% | -12 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.1% | -7.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.2% | -13 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +5.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | +6.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | 15% | 0 points |
BABA has the edge over XELB on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
XELB Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $1.1M | -15% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1M | -14% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.2M | -3.4% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.1M | -42% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.3M | -55% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.3M | -39% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.2M | -47% |
| Q3 2024 | $1.9M | -27% |
XELB's revenue has slid since its 2019 peak: $1M last quarter, down 15% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -141% | -16 points |
| Q1 2026 | -165% | -0.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | -167% | +366 points |
| Q3 2025 | -666% | -191 points |
| Q2 2025 | -125% | -136 points |
| Q1 2025 | -164% | +120 points |
| Q4 2024 | -533% | -287 points |
| Q3 2024 | -475% | -270 points |
XELB's operating margin was −141% last quarter, down 16 points from the same quarter a year ago.
BABA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$6.7B | -$4.1B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.7B | +$1.5B |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | -90% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.2B | -254% |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.7B | -182% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.2B | -12231% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.4B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.1B | -62% |
XELB has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is down 16% versus its history, compared with BABA at down 158%.
XELB Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q4 2025 | -$1.8M | -$418K |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.4M | -$966K |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.4M | +$2.3M |
| Q3 2024 | -$432K | +$913K |
| Q4 2023 | -$3.7M | -$571K |
| Q3 2023 | -$1.3M | +$1.1M |
| Q2 2023 | $1.4M | +$9.3M |
| Q1 2023 | -$3M | -$2.1M |
XELB has burned cash in most quarters: −$7M over the past year, against −$7M the year before.
BABA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +11.1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.9% | +21.4M shares |
| 3 years | -6.2% | -161M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -339M shares |
| Available history | -8.4% | -221M shares |
BABA has the edge over XELB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $269.8M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
BABA spent $270M buying back its own shares over the past year, after none the year before.
XELB Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +4.3% | +256K shares |
| 1 year | +159% | +3.8M shares |
| 3 years | +214% | +4.2M shares |
| 5 years | +220% | +4.2M shares |
| Available history | +225% | +4.3M shares |
XELB has 6M diluted shares, up 159% from a year ago, despite $190,000 in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $56,000 |
| Q1 2026 | $46,000 |
| Q4 2025 | $82,000 |
| Q3 2025 | $6,000 |
| Q2 2025 | $58,000 |
| Q1 2025 | $58,000 |
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q3 2022 | — |
XELB spent $190,000 buying back its own shares over the past year.
BABA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
BABA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
XELB Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q1 2023 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2019 | 11.0x | High |
| Q3 2019 | 1.9x | Healthy |
XELB has more cash than debt.
BABA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 12.7 | Oversold |
BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).
XELB Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 27.2 | Oversold |
| Stochastic | 11.5 | Oversold |
XELB's weekly RSI is 27 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).
BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BABA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 18x | 19% above |
| PE % | 60 | 47 | 13 pts above |
BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.
XELB PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | XELB | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 18x | — |
XELB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
BABA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $104.7 | 9.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $111.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $128.0 | 26% below |
| 100 week MA | $127.7 | 26% below |
| 200 week MA | $106.4 | 11% below |
BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.
XELB Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $0.50 | 30% below |
| 20 week MA | $0.88 | 60% below |
| 50 week MA | $1.36 | 74% below |
| 100 week MA | $1.87 | 81% below |
| 200 week MA | $5.57 | 94% below |
XELB is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 94% below its 200-week average.
BABA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $215.5 | $222.0 | +3% |
| 2021 | $222.0 | $118.7 | -47% |
| 2022 | $118.7 | $85.7 | -28% |
| 2023 | $85.7 | $77.5 | -9.5% |
| 2024 | $77.5 | $85.1 | +9.7% |
| 2025 | $85.1 | $152.2 | +79% |
| 2026 YTD | $152.2 | $94.4 | -38% |
BABA has the edge over XELB on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
XELB Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $16.0 | $11.4 | -29% |
| 2021 | $11.4 | $12.0 | +5.3% |
| 2022 | $12.0 | $7.40 | -38% |
| 2023 | $7.40 | $12.9 | +74% |
| 2024 | $12.9 | $4.85 | -62% |
| 2025 | $4.85 | $1.37 | -72% |
| 2026 YTD | $1.37 | $0.35 | -74% |
XELB has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 74% so far in 2026.