BABA
Alibaba Group Holding Limited
BABA has the edge over WYNN overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.
WYNN
Wynn Resorts, Limited
WYNN offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
BABA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Healthy |
BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
WYNN Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Weak |
WYNN's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently stable, but its balance sheet is weak.
BABA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 16x | $69.66 | -26% |
| Fair | 20x | $86.59 | -8.2% |
| Current | 21x | $94.36 | — |
| Expensive | 26x | $115 | +22% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BABA has the edge over WYNN in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
WYNN PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 12x | $42.76 | -48% |
| Forward | 21x | $83.02 | — |
| Fair | 24x | $82.88 | -0.2% |
| Current | 24x | $83.02 | — |
| Expensive | 36x | $127 | +53% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
WYNN's PE is in its fair range at 24x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 21x.
BABA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
BABA has the edge over WYNN on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.
WYNN Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Decline | |
| Stable | |
| Weakening | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect WYNN's earnings and profitability to decline, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
BABA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.42 | -52% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.57 | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.79 | -22% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.85 | +49% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.27 | +116% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.06 | +71% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.47 | +24% |
| Q3 2024 | $5.26 | -35% |
BABA has the edge over WYNN on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
WYNN Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $3.89 | +11% |
| Q3 2026 | $3.49 | -24% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.17 | +20% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.49 | -6.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.14 | -28% |
| Q3 2025 | $4.61 | -45% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.47 | -55% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.74 | -51% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.35 | -31% |
WYNN's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $3.49 over the past year, against $8.45 in late 2024.
BABA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $40.2B | +8.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $36.5B | +2.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $42.7B | +1.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $37.2B | +4.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $37.2B | +1.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $35.5B | +6.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $42B | +7.6% |
| Q3 2024 | $35.5B | +5.2% |
BABA has the edge over WYNN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 7.2% | -6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3% | -12 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.1% | -7.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.2% | -13 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +5.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | +6.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | 15% | 0 points |
BABA's operating margin was 7.2% last quarter, down 6.9 points from the same quarter a year ago.
WYNN Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.7B | -7.9% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.9B | +6.9% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.9B | +9.2% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.9B | +1.5% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.8B | +8.3% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.7B | +0.3% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.7B | -8.7% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.8B | -0.1% |
WYNN's revenue grew through 2024 and has held roughly level since: $1.7B last quarter, down 7.9% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 11% | -6.4 points |
| Q2 2026 | 16% | +0.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | 15% | -0.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | 15% | -5.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 17% | +9.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 15% | -0.3 points |
| Q1 2025 | 16% | -3.7 points |
| Q4 2024 | 20% | +0.5 points |
WYNN has the edge over BABA on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
BABA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$6.7B | -$4.1B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.7B | +$1.5B |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | -90% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.2B | -254% |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.7B | -182% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.2B | -12231% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.4B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.1B | -62% |
BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.
WYNN Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$104.8M | -161% |
| Q2 2026 | $338.9M | +41% |
| Q1 2026 | -$25.6M | +$548K |
| Q4 2025 | $306.8M | -13% |
| Q3 2025 | $171.8M | -3.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $239.8M | -7.5% |
| Q1 2025 | -$26.2M | -112% |
| Q4 2024 | $351.8M | +7.3% |
WYNN has the edge over BABA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
BABA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +11.1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.9% | +21.4M shares |
| 3 years | -6.2% | -161M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -339M shares |
| Available history | -8.4% | -221M shares |
BABA has 2.4B diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $269.8M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
BABA spent $270M buying back its own shares over the past year, after none the year before.
WYNN Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.7% | -716K shares |
| 1 year | -1.3% | -1.4M shares |
| 3 years | -9.3% | -10.5M shares |
| 5 years | -11% | -12.4M shares |
| Available history | -4.4% | -4.7M shares |
WYNN has the edge over BABA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $58.1M |
| Q2 2026 | $95.5M |
| Q1 2026 | $70M |
| Q4 2025 | $448,000 |
| Q3 2025 | $2M |
| Q2 2025 | $165.6M |
| Q1 2025 | $212M |
| Q4 2024 | $203.6M |
WYNN spent $224M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 62% from the year before.
BABA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
BABA has the edge over WYNN on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
WYNN Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 5.4x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 5.1x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 5.3x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 5.2x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 5.0x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 5.2x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 5.1x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 4.5x | High |
WYNN's net debt is about 5.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 5.0 years a year ago.
BABA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 12.7 | Oversold |
BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).
WYNN Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.6 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 25.5 | Neutral |
WYNN's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).
BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BABA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 18x | 19% above |
| PE % | 60 | 47 | 13 pts above |
BABA has the edge over WYNN on valuation relative to its sector.
WYNN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | WYNN | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 24x | 18x | 32% above |
| PE % | 49 | 47 | 2 pts above |
WYNN is trading at 24x earnings, a 32% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
BABA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $104.7 | 9.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $111.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $128.0 | 26% below |
| 100 week MA | $127.7 | 26% below |
| 200 week MA | $106.4 | 11% below |
BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.
WYNN Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $77.7 | 6.9% above |
| 20 week MA | $88.6 | 6.3% below |
| 50 week MA | $100.9 | 18% below |
| 100 week MA | $100.3 | 17% below |
| 200 week MA | $98.5 | 16% below |
WYNN has the edge over BABA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
BABA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $215.5 | $222.0 | +3% |
| 2021 | $222.0 | $118.7 | -47% |
| 2022 | $118.7 | $85.7 | -28% |
| 2023 | $85.7 | $77.5 | -9.5% |
| 2024 | $77.5 | $85.1 | +9.7% |
| 2025 | $85.1 | $152.2 | +79% |
| 2026 YTD | $152.2 | $94.4 | -38% |
BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.
WYNN Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $139.8 | $114.4 | -18% |
| 2021 | $114.4 | $88.9 | -22% |
| 2022 | $88.9 | $80.7 | -9.2% |
| 2023 | $80.7 | $91.1 | +13% |
| 2024 | $91.1 | $88.7 | -2.7% |
| 2025 | $88.7 | $124.4 | +40% |
| 2026 YTD | $124.4 | $83.0 | -33% |
WYNN has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.