BABA
Alibaba Group Holding Limited
BABA has the edge over WW overall, supported by lower modeled downside.
WW
WW International, Inc.
WW offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
BABA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Healthy |
BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
WW Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure |
WW's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently under pressure.
BABA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 16x | $69.66 | -26% |
| Fair | 20x | $86.59 | -8.2% |
| Current | 21x | $94.36 | — |
| Expensive | 26x | $115 | +22% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BABA's PE is 21x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
WW PE Valuation
WW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
BABA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
BABA has the edge over WW on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.
WW Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect WW's losses to shrink, with revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
BABA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.42 | -52% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.57 | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.79 | -22% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.85 | +49% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.27 | +116% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.06 | +71% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.47 | +24% |
| Q3 2024 | $5.26 | -35% |
BABA has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is down 52% for BABA versus WW down 121%.
WW Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2025 | -$92.43 | +$342.50 |
| Q1 2025 | -$80.09 | +$321.31 |
| Q4 2024 | -$404.20 | -$255.19 |
| Q3 2024 | -$539.24 | -$450.76 |
| Q2 2024 | -$434.93 | -$23.28 |
| Q1 2024 | -$401.40 | +$77.30 |
| Q4 2023 | -$149.01 | +$184.41 |
| Q3 2023 | -$88.48 | +$161.12 |
WW lost $92.43 per share over the past year, a smaller loss than the year before.
BABA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $40.2B | +8.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $36.5B | +2.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $42.7B | +1.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $37.2B | +4.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $37.2B | +1.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $35.5B | +6.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $42B | +7.6% |
| Q3 2024 | $35.5B | +5.2% |
BABA has the edge over WW on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 7.2% | -6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3% | -12 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.1% | -7.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.2% | -13 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +5.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | +6.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | 15% | 0 points |
BABA's operating margin was 7.2% last quarter, down 6.9 points from the same quarter a year ago.
WW Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $152.9M | -11% |
| Q2 2026 | $162.3M | -8.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $168.3M | -9.8% |
| Q4 2025 | $162.8M | -12% |
| Q3 2025 | $172.1M | -11% |
| Q2 2025 | $177M | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $186.6M | -9.7% |
| Q4 2024 | $184.4M | -10% |
WW's revenue has slid since its 2020 peak: $153M last quarter, down 11% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 24% | +19 points |
| Q2 2026 | 5.8% | -18 points |
| Q1 2026 | -18% | -7.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | -8% | -28 points |
| Q3 2025 | 4.7% | +25 points |
| Q2 2025 | 23% | +5.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | -11% | +120 points |
| Q4 2024 | 20% | +23 points |
WW has the edge over BABA on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
BABA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$6.7B | -$4.1B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.7B | +$1.5B |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | -90% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.2B | -254% |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.7B | -182% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.2B | -12231% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.4B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.1B | -62% |
BABA has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is down 158% versus its history, compared with WW at down 160%.
WW Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q4 2025 | -$10.3M | -331% |
| Q3 2025 | $8.4M | -50% |
| Q2 2025 | -$49.5M | -$47.3M |
| Q1 2025 | $15M | +$51.5M |
| Q4 2024 | $4.5M | -40% |
| Q3 2024 | $16.7M | -35% |
| Q2 2024 | -$2.2M | -$1.1M |
| Q1 2024 | -$36.5M | -$8.8M |
WW's free cash flow was −$36M over the past year, against −$18M the year before.
BABA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +11.1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.9% | +21.4M shares |
| 3 years | -6.2% | -161M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -339M shares |
| Available history | -8.4% | -221M shares |
BABA has the edge over WW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $269.8M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
BABA spent $270M buying back its own shares over the past year, after none the year before.
WW Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +9334% | +80.3M shares |
| 1 year | +9370% | +80.3M shares |
| 3 years | +10652% | +80.4M shares |
| 5 years | +10730% | +80.4M shares |
WW has 81M diluted shares, up 9370% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2025 | — |
BABA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
BABA has the edge over WW on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
WW Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 3.2x | Elevated |
| Q2 2026 | 4.1x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 3.7x | Elevated |
| Q4 2025 | 3.7x | Elevated |
| Q3 2025 | 2.6x | Moderate |
| Q2 2025 | 6.2x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 29.0x | High |
| Q4 2023 | 16.5x | High |
WW's net debt is about 3.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.6 years a year ago.
BABA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 12.7 | Oversold |
BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).
WW Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 42.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 21.2 | Neutral |
WW's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 21 (neutral).
BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BABA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 18x | 19% above |
| PE % | 60 | 47 | 13 pts above |
BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.
WW PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | WW | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 18x | — |
WW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
BABA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $104.7 | 9.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $111.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $128.0 | 26% below |
| 100 week MA | $127.7 | 26% below |
| 200 week MA | $106.4 | 11% below |
BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.
WW Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $13.6 | 9.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $14.8 | 17% below |
| 50 week MA | $17.4 | 29% below |
| 100 week MA | $32.8 | 63% below |
| 200 week MA | $235.8 | 95% below |
WW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 95% below its 200-week average.
BABA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $215.5 | $222.0 | +3% |
| 2021 | $222.0 | $118.7 | -47% |
| 2022 | $118.7 | $85.7 | -28% |
| 2023 | $85.7 | $77.5 | -9.5% |
| 2024 | $77.5 | $85.1 | +9.7% |
| 2025 | $85.1 | $152.2 | +79% |
| 2026 YTD | $152.2 | $94.4 | -38% |
BABA has the edge over WW on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
WW Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $3,503.7 | $2,630.1 | -25% |
| 2021 | $2,630.1 | $1,504.1 | -43% |
| 2022 | $1,504.1 | $351.1 | -77% |
| 2023 | $351.1 | $814.9 | +132% |
| 2024 | $814.9 | $119.2 | -85% |
| 2025 | $119.2 | $27.7 | -77% |
| 2026 YTD | $27.7 | $12.3 | -56% |
WW's yearly returns have swung widely, from +132% in 2023 to −85% in 2024. It's down 56% so far in 2026.