BABA
Alibaba Group Holding Limited
BABA has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
WINA
Winmark Corporation
WINA has a slight edge over BABA overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.
BABA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Healthy |
BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
WINA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy |
WINA's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
BABA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 16x | $69.66 | -26% |
| Fair | 20x | $86.59 | -8.2% |
| Current | 21x | $94.36 | — |
| Expensive | 26x | $115 | +22% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BABA's PE is 21x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
WINA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 21x | $240 | -12% |
| Current | 24x | $272 | — |
| Fair | 28x | $312 | +15% |
| Expensive | 36x | $403 | +48% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
WINA has the edge over BABA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
BABA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BABA, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
WINA Forward outlook
There aren't enough analyst estimates for WINA to show an outlook.
BABA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.42 | -52% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.57 | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.79 | -22% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.85 | +49% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.27 | +116% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.06 | +71% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.47 | +24% |
| Q3 2024 | $5.26 | -35% |
BABA has the edge over WINA on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
WINA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $11.20 | -0.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $11.01 | -2% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.09 | -0.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $11.30 | +3.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $11.22 | +2.6% |
| Q2 2025 | $11.23 | +2.5% |
| Q1 2025 | $11.19 | +2.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.89 | -1.4% |
WINA earned $11.20 per share over the past year, about the same as the year before.
BABA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $40.2B | +8.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $36.5B | +2.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $42.7B | +1.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $37.2B | +4.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $37.2B | +1.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $35.5B | +6.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $42B | +7.6% |
| Q3 2024 | $35.5B | +5.2% |
BABA's revenue has grown year over year for 16 quarters in a row: $40.2B last quarter, up 8.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 7.2% | -6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3% | -12 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.1% | -7.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.2% | -13 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +5.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | +6.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | 15% | 0 points |
BABA's operating margin was 7.2% last quarter, down 6.9 points from the same quarter a year ago.
WINA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $27.9M | +23% |
| Q2 2026 | $22M | +7.6% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.8M | -4.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $21.1M | +7.9% |
| Q3 2025 | $22.6M | +5.2% |
| Q2 2025 | $20.4M | +1.5% |
| Q1 2025 | $21.9M | +9% |
| Q4 2024 | $19.5M | -2.5% |
WINA's revenue has picked up after three years of holding roughly level: $28M last quarter, up 23% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 57% | -9.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 62% | -1.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 59% | -2.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 62% | -3.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 66% | -3.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 64% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 62% | +1.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 65% | +2.8 points |
WINA has the edge over BABA on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
BABA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$6.7B | -$4.1B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.7B | +$1.5B |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | -90% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.2B | -254% |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.7B | -182% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.2B | -12231% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.4B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.1B | -62% |
BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.
WINA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $12.7M | +4.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $10.7M | +19% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.9M | -21% |
| Q4 2025 | $8.5M | +0.5% |
| Q3 2025 | $12.2M | +0.6% |
| Q2 2025 | $9M | +11% |
| Q1 2025 | $15M | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $8.5M | -2.4% |
WINA has the edge over BABA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
BABA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +11.1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.9% | +21.4M shares |
| 3 years | -6.2% | -161M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -339M shares |
| Available history | -8.4% | -221M shares |
BABA has 2.4B diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $269.8M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
BABA spent $270M buying back its own shares over the past year, after none the year before.
WINA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.3% | -10.3K shares |
| 1 year | -0.2% | -7.5K shares |
| 3 years | +0.9% | +31.9K shares |
| 5 years | -2.6% | -97.2K shares |
| Available history | -10% | -415K shares |
WINA has the edge over BABA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $8.1M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | $168,800 |
| Q1 2025 | $2.2M |
| Q4 2022 | $838,600 |
| Q3 2022 | $433,700 |
| Q2 2022 | $11.3M |
BABA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
BABA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
WINA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.9x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.9x | Very low |
WINA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
BABA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 12.7 | Oversold |
BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).
WINA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 35.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.8 | Oversold |
WINA's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BABA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 18x | 19% above |
| PE % | 60 | 47 | 13 pts above |
BABA has the edge over WINA on valuation relative to its sector.
WINA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | WINA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 24x | 18x | 35% above |
| PE % | 39 | 47 | 8 pts below |
WINA is trading at 24x earnings, a 35% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
BABA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $104.7 | 9.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $111.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $128.0 | 26% below |
| 100 week MA | $127.7 | 26% below |
| 200 week MA | $106.4 | 11% below |
BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.
WINA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $287.9 | 5.6% below |
| 20 week MA | $324.0 | 16% below |
| 50 week MA | $379.4 | 28% below |
| 100 week MA | $389.0 | 30% below |
| 200 week MA | $376.0 | 28% below |
WINA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 28% below its 200-week average.
BABA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $215.5 | $222.0 | +3% |
| 2021 | $222.0 | $118.7 | -47% |
| 2022 | $118.7 | $85.7 | -28% |
| 2023 | $85.7 | $77.5 | -9.5% |
| 2024 | $77.5 | $85.1 | +9.7% |
| 2025 | $85.1 | $152.2 | +79% |
| 2026 YTD | $152.2 | $94.4 | -38% |
BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.
WINA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $196.2 | $184.0 | -6.2% |
| 2021 | $184.0 | $241.9 | +31% |
| 2022 | $241.9 | $238.4 | -1.5% |
| 2023 | $238.4 | $417.6 | +75% |
| 2024 | $417.6 | $396.2 | -5.1% |
| 2025 | $396.2 | $410.2 | +3.5% |
| 2026 YTD | $410.2 | $271.7 | -34% |
WINA has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.