BABA
Alibaba Group Holding Limited
BABA has the edge over WGO overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
WGO
Winnebago Industries, Inc.
WGO offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
BABA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Healthy |
BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
WGO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Under pressure | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable |
WGO's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable, but its revenue is under pressure.
BABA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 16x | $69.66 | -26% |
| Fair | 20x | $86.59 | -8.2% |
| Current | 21x | $94.36 | — |
| Expensive | 26x | $115 | +22% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BABA has the edge over WGO in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
WGO PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 6x | $7.31 | -76% |
| Fair | 15x | $18.48 | -40% |
| Forward | 16x | $31.04 | — |
| Expensive | 26x | $31.82 | +2.5% |
| Current | 26x | $31.04 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
WGO's PE is in its expensive range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 16x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
BABA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
BABA has the edge over WGO on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.
WGO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect WGO's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
BABA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.42 | -52% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.57 | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.79 | -22% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.85 | +49% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.27 | +116% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.06 | +71% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.47 | +24% |
| Q3 2024 | $5.26 | -35% |
BABA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.42 over the past year, against $9.27 in mid-2025. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.
WGO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.98 | +63% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.21 | +33% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.36 | +$1.81 |
| Q1 2026 | $1.47 | +$1.58 |
| Q4 2025 | $1.28 | +$1.80 |
| Q3 2025 | $0.91 | +107% |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.45 | -117% |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.11 | -103% |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.52 | -110% |
WGO has the edge over BABA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
BABA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $40.2B | +8.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $36.5B | +2.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $42.7B | +1.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $37.2B | +4.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $37.2B | +1.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $35.5B | +6.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $42B | +7.6% |
| Q3 2024 | $35.5B | +5.2% |
BABA has the edge over WGO on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 7.2% | -6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3% | -12 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.1% | -7.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.2% | -13 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +5.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | +6.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | 15% | 0 points |
BABA has the edge over WGO on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
WGO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $645.1M | -17% |
| Q2 2026 | $698.7M | -9.9% |
| Q1 2026 | $657.4M | +6% |
| Q4 2025 | $702.7M | +12% |
| Q3 2025 | $777.3M | +7.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $775.1M | -1.4% |
| Q1 2025 | $620.2M | -12% |
| Q4 2024 | $625.6M | -18% |
WGO's revenue fell from its 2022 peak and has held roughly level since: $645M last quarter, down 17% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.7% | +0.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 3.3% | -0.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 1.8% | +0.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2% | +2.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.6% | +5.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 3.9% | -1.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 1.3% | -3.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | -0.1% | -5.3 points |
WGO's operating margin was 2.7% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
BABA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$6.7B | -$4.1B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.7B | +$1.5B |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | -90% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.2B | -254% |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.7B | -182% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.2B | -12231% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.4B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.1B | -62% |
BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.
WGO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $135.2M | -21% |
| Q2 2026 | $18.7M | +$54.8M |
| Q1 2026 | -$29.1M | -$10.2M |
| Q4 2025 | $19.8M | +$46.5M |
| Q3 2025 | $171.2M | +480% |
| Q2 2025 | -$36.1M | -141% |
| Q1 2025 | -$18.9M | -233% |
| Q4 2024 | -$26.7M | +$6.5M |
WGO has the edge over BABA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
BABA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +11.1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.9% | +21.4M shares |
| 3 years | -6.2% | -161M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -339M shares |
| Available history | -8.4% | -221M shares |
BABA has 2.4B diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $269.8M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
BABA spent $270M buying back its own shares over the past year, after none the year before.
WGO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | -- |
| 1 year | +0.4% | +100K shares |
| 3 years | -20% | -7M shares |
| 5 years | -17% | -5.7M shares |
| Available history | -12% | -3.9M shares |
WGO has the edge over BABA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | $1.7M |
| Q3 2025 | $100,000 |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | $20M |
| Q4 2024 | $33.6M |
WGO spent $2M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 97% from the year before.
BABA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
BABA has the edge over WGO on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
WGO Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.1x | Moderate |
| Q2 2026 | 3.0x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 2.9x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 2.7x | Moderate |
| Q3 2025 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q2 2025 | 6.5x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 5.2x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 3.6x | Elevated |
WGO's net debt is about 2.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.1 years a year ago.
BABA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 12.7 | Oversold |
BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).
WGO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 52.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 72.5 | Neutral |
WGO's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 72 (neutral).
BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BABA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 18x | 19% above |
| PE % | 60 | 47 | 13 pts above |
BABA has the edge over WGO on valuation relative to its sector.
WGO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | WGO | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 26x | 18x | 42% above |
| PE % | 82 | 47 | 35 pts above |
WGO is trading at 26x earnings, a 42% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
BABA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $104.7 | 9.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $111.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $128.0 | 26% below |
| 100 week MA | $127.7 | 26% below |
| 200 week MA | $106.4 | 11% below |
BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.
WGO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $27.8 | 12% above |
| 20 week MA | $29.3 | 5.8% above |
| 50 week MA | $33.8 | 8.2% below |
| 100 week MA | $35.1 | 12% below |
| 200 week MA | $48.6 | 36% below |
WGO has the edge over BABA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
BABA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $215.5 | $222.0 | +3% |
| 2021 | $222.0 | $118.7 | -47% |
| 2022 | $118.7 | $85.7 | -28% |
| 2023 | $85.7 | $77.5 | -9.5% |
| 2024 | $77.5 | $85.1 | +9.7% |
| 2025 | $85.1 | $152.2 | +79% |
| 2026 YTD | $152.2 | $94.4 | -38% |
BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.
WGO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $53.2 | $65.3 | +23% |
| 2021 | $65.3 | $71.2 | +8.9% |
| 2022 | $71.2 | $53.3 | -25% |
| 2023 | $53.3 | $72.9 | +37% |
| 2024 | $72.9 | $46.9 | -36% |
| 2025 | $46.9 | $41.9 | -11% |
| 2026 YTD | $41.9 | $31.0 | -26% |
WGO has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.