BABA
Alibaba Group Holding Limited
BABA has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
VNCE
Vince Holding Corp.
VNCE has a slight edge over BABA overall, supported by stronger fundamentals.
BABA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Healthy |
BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
VNCE Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
VNCE's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
BABA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 16x | $69.66 | -26% |
| Fair | 20x | $86.59 | -8.2% |
| Current | 21x | $94.36 | — |
| Expensive | 26x | $115 | +22% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BABA has the edge over VNCE in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
VNCE PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 1.2x | $0.70 | -95% |
| Fair | 8.6x | $4.91 | -62% |
| Expensive | 22x | $12.74 | -1.3% |
| Current | 23x | $12.91 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
VNCE's PE is in its expensive range at 23x.
BABA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BABA, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
VNCE Forward outlook
There aren't enough analyst estimates for VNCE to show an outlook.
BABA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.42 | -52% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.57 | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.79 | -22% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.85 | +49% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.27 | +116% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.06 | +71% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.47 | +24% |
| Q3 2024 | $5.26 | -35% |
BABA has the edge over VNCE on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
VNCE Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $0.57 | +$1.92 |
| Q2 2026 | $0.70 | +$2.93 |
| Q1 2026 | $0.49 | +$2.00 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.48 | -500% |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.35 | -1327% |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.23 | -192% |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.51 | -174% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.37 | -76% |
VNCE has returned to profit: it earned $0.57 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.
BABA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $40.2B | +8.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $36.5B | +2.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $42.7B | +1.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $37.2B | +4.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $37.2B | +1.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $35.5B | +6.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $42B | +7.6% |
| Q3 2024 | $35.5B | +5.2% |
BABA's revenue has grown year over year for 16 quarters in a row: $40.2B last quarter, up 8.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 7.2% | -6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3% | -12 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.1% | -7.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.2% | -13 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +5.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | +6.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | 15% | 0 points |
BABA's operating margin was 7.2% last quarter, down 6.9 points from the same quarter a year ago.
VNCE Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $81.8M | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $64M | +11% |
| Q1 2026 | $83.7M | +4.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $85.1M | +6.2% |
| Q3 2025 | $73.2M | -1.3% |
| Q2 2025 | $57.9M | -2.1% |
| Q1 2025 | $80M | +6.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $80.2M | -4.7% |
VNCE's revenue is recovering but still below its 2020 peak: $82M last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 17% | +1.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | -4.1% | +3.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | -3.5% | +34 points |
| Q4 2025 | 6.4% | -0.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 15% | +14 points |
| Q2 2025 | -7.7% | -17 points |
| Q1 2025 | -37% | -35 points |
| Q4 2024 | 7.2% | +3.8 points |
VNCE has the edge over BABA on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
BABA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$6.7B | -$4.1B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.7B | +$1.5B |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | -90% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.2B | -254% |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.7B | -182% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.2B | -12231% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.4B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.1B | -62% |
BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.
VNCE Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $17.4M | +730% |
| Q2 2026 | -$9.1M | +$4.1M |
| Q1 2026 | $15.5M | -27% |
| Q4 2025 | -$5.7M | -211% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.1M | +$6M |
| Q2 2025 | -$13.2M | -$8.6M |
| Q1 2025 | $21.2M | +49% |
| Q4 2024 | $5.1M | -21% |
VNCE has the edge over BABA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
BABA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +11.1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.9% | +21.4M shares |
| 3 years | -6.2% | -161M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -339M shares |
| Available history | -8.4% | -221M shares |
BABA has the edge over VNCE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $269.8M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
BABA spent $270M buying back its own shares over the past year, after none the year before.
VNCE Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +2.7% | +343K shares |
| 1 year | +1.8% | +231K shares |
| 3 years | +5.7% | +710K shares |
| 5 years | +11% | +1.3M shares |
| Available history | +10% | +1.2M shares |
VNCE has 13M diluted shares, up 1.8% from a year ago.
BABA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
BABA has the edge over VNCE on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
VNCE Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 2.1x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 1.6x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 3.3x | Elevated |
| Q3 2024 | 4.4x | High |
| Q2 2024 | 1.1x | Healthy |
| Q1 2024 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q4 2023 | 1.7x | Healthy |
VNCE's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.4 years a year ago.
BABA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 12.7 | Oversold |
BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).
VNCE Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 67.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 80.2 | Overbought |
VNCE's weekly RSI is 67 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 80 (overbought).
BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BABA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 18x | 19% above |
| PE % | 60 | 47 | 13 pts above |
BABA has the edge over VNCE on valuation relative to its sector.
VNCE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | VNCE | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 23x | 18x | 26% above |
| PE % | 85 | 47 | 38 pts above |
VNCE is trading at 23x earnings, a 26% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
BABA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $104.7 | 9.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $111.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $128.0 | 26% below |
| 100 week MA | $127.7 | 26% below |
| 200 week MA | $106.4 | 11% below |
BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.
VNCE Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $11.8 | 9.7% above |
| 20 week MA | $8.76 | 47% above |
| 50 week MA | $5.72 | 126% above |
| 100 week MA | $4.03 | 220% above |
| 200 week MA | $3.58 | 261% above |
VNCE has the edge over BABA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
BABA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $215.5 | $222.0 | +3% |
| 2021 | $222.0 | $118.7 | -47% |
| 2022 | $118.7 | $85.7 | -28% |
| 2023 | $85.7 | $77.5 | -9.5% |
| 2024 | $77.5 | $85.1 | +9.7% |
| 2025 | $85.1 | $152.2 | +79% |
| 2026 YTD | $152.2 | $94.4 | -38% |
BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.
VNCE Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $17.7 | $5.26 | -70% |
| 2021 | $5.26 | $8.50 | +62% |
| 2022 | $8.50 | $7.72 | -9.2% |
| 2023 | $7.72 | $3.46 | -55% |
| 2024 | $3.46 | $4.02 | +16% |
| 2025 | $4.02 | $4.39 | +9.2% |
| 2026 YTD | $4.39 | $12.9 | +194% |
VNCE has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.