BABA
Alibaba Group Holding Limited
BABA has the edge over VIRC overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
VIRC
Virco Mfg. Corporation
VIRC has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
BABA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Healthy |
BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
VIRC Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Weak | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
VIRC's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability is weak.
BABA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 16x | $69.66 | -26% |
| Fair | 20x | $86.59 | -8.2% |
| Current | 21x | $94.36 | — |
| Expensive | 26x | $115 | +22% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BABA's PE is 21x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
VIRC PE Valuation
VIRC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
BABA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BABA, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
VIRC Forward outlook
There aren't enough analyst estimates for VIRC to show an outlook.
BABA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.42 | -52% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.57 | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.79 | -22% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.85 | +49% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.27 | +116% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.06 | +71% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.47 | +24% |
| Q3 2024 | $5.26 | -35% |
BABA has the edge over VIRC on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
VIRC Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$0.17 | -120% |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.07 | -106% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.16 | -88% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.25 | -84% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.85 | -48% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.24 | -21% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.32 | -1.5% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.55 | -11% |
VIRC has swung to a loss: it lost $0.17 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.
BABA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $40.2B | +8.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $36.5B | +2.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $42.7B | +1.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $37.2B | +4.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $37.2B | +1.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $35.5B | +6.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $42B | +7.6% |
| Q3 2024 | $35.5B | +5.2% |
BABA has the edge over VIRC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 7.2% | -6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3% | -12 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.1% | -7.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.2% | -13 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +5.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | +6.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | 15% | 0 points |
BABA's operating margin was 7.2% last quarter, down 6.9 points from the same quarter a year ago.
VIRC Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $87.5M | -5% |
| Q2 2026 | $30.7M | -9.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $26.2M | -8% |
| Q4 2025 | $47.6M | -42% |
| Q3 2025 | $92.1M | -15% |
| Q2 2025 | $33.8M | -28% |
| Q1 2025 | $28.5M | -33% |
| Q4 2024 | $82.6M | -1.9% |
VIRC's revenue has slid since its 2024 peak: $87M last quarter, down 5% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 12% | -4.6 points |
| Q2 2026 | -12% | -12 points |
| Q1 2026 | -38% | -9.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | -3.5% | -17 points |
| Q3 2025 | 17% | -3.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | -0.3% | -6.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | -29% | -22 points |
| Q4 2024 | 13% | -4 points |
VIRC has the edge over BABA on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
BABA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$6.7B | -$4.1B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.7B | +$1.5B |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | -90% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.2B | -254% |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.7B | -182% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.2B | -12231% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.4B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.1B | -62% |
BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.
VIRC Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $5.9M | +224% |
| Q2 2026 | -$10.1M | +$11.4M |
| Q1 2026 | -$11.6M | -$2.4M |
| Q4 2025 | $24.5M | -21% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.8M | -83% |
| Q2 2025 | -$21.5M | -$15.9M |
| Q1 2025 | -$9.2M | -328% |
| Q4 2024 | $31M | -26% |
VIRC has the edge over BABA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
BABA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +11.1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.9% | +21.4M shares |
| 3 years | -6.2% | -161M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -339M shares |
| Available history | -8.4% | -221M shares |
BABA has 2.4B diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $269.8M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
BABA spent $270M buying back its own shares over the past year, after none the year before.
VIRC Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | +5K shares |
| 1 year | 0% | -6K shares |
| 3 years | -3.4% | -557K shares |
| 5 years | -1.2% | -192K shares |
| Available history | +0.2% | +27K shares |
VIRC has the edge over BABA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | $190,000 |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | $4M |
| Q1 2025 | $2.3M |
| Q4 2024 | — |
VIRC spent $190,000 buying back its own shares over the past year, down 97% from the year before.
BABA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
BABA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
VIRC Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -4.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | 0.0x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.9x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
VIRC has the edge over BABA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
BABA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 12.7 | Oversold |
BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).
VIRC Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 51.6 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 36.6 | Neutral |
VIRC's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 37 (neutral).
BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BABA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 18x | 19% above |
| PE % | 60 | 47 | 13 pts above |
BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.
VIRC PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | VIRC | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 18x | — |
VIRC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
BABA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $104.7 | 9.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $111.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $128.0 | 26% below |
| 100 week MA | $127.7 | 26% below |
| 200 week MA | $106.4 | 11% below |
BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.
VIRC Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $6.38 | 0.3% below |
| 20 week MA | $6.24 | 1.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $6.27 | 1.4% above |
| 100 week MA | $7.54 | 16% below |
| 200 week MA | $8.44 | 25% below |
VIRC has the edge over BABA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
BABA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $215.5 | $222.0 | +3% |
| 2021 | $222.0 | $118.7 | -47% |
| 2022 | $118.7 | $85.7 | -28% |
| 2023 | $85.7 | $77.5 | -9.5% |
| 2024 | $77.5 | $85.1 | +9.7% |
| 2025 | $85.1 | $152.2 | +79% |
| 2026 YTD | $152.2 | $94.4 | -38% |
BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.
VIRC Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $4.38 | $2.51 | -43% |
| 2021 | $2.51 | $3.02 | +20% |
| 2022 | $3.02 | $4.30 | +42% |
| 2023 | $4.30 | $12.0 | +180% |
| 2024 | $12.0 | $10.6 | -12% |
| 2025 | $10.6 | $6.43 | -39% |
| 2026 YTD | $6.43 | $6.36 | -1.1% |
VIRC has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.