BABA
Alibaba Group Holding Limited
BABA has a slight edge over VIPS overall, supported by stronger modeled upside.
VIPS
Vipshop Holdings Limited
VIPS has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
BABA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Healthy |
BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
VIPS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Strong |
VIPS's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue, profitability and cash flow are stable.
BABA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 16x | $69.66 | -26% |
| Fair | 20x | $86.59 | -8.2% |
| Current | 21x | $94.36 | — |
| Expensive | 26x | $115 | +22% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BABA's PE is 21x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
VIPS PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 4.1x | $12.94 | — |
| Cheap | 6.8x | $21.18 | +64% |
| Fair | 9.1x | $28.63 | +121% |
| Expensive | 18x | $57.81 | +347% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
VIPS has the edge over BABA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
BABA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
BABA has the edge over VIPS on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.
VIPS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect VIPS's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.
BABA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.42 | -52% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.57 | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.79 | -22% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.85 | +49% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.27 | +116% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.06 | +71% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.47 | +24% |
| Q3 2024 | $5.26 | -35% |
BABA has the edge over VIPS on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
VIPS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $3.13 | +57% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.24 | +7.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.13 | -0.9% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.06 | -8.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.99 | -13% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.08 | -10% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.15 | -0.9% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.25 | +18% |
VIPS earned $3.13 per share over the past year, up 57% from the year before. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.
BABA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $40.2B | +8.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $36.5B | +2.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $42.7B | +1.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $37.2B | +4.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $37.2B | +1.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $35.5B | +6.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $42B | +7.6% |
| Q3 2024 | $35.5B | +5.2% |
BABA has the edge over VIPS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 7.2% | -6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3% | -12 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.1% | -7.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.2% | -13 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +5.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | +6.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | 15% | 0 points |
BABA has the edge over VIPS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
VIPS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $3.7B | -3.9% |
| Q1 2026 | $4B | +0.6% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.9B | -2.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.2B | +3.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.9B | -4% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.9B | -5% |
| Q4 2024 | $5B | -4.2% |
| Q3 2024 | $3.1B | -9.2% |
VIPS's revenue fell from its 2020 peak and has held roughly level since: $3.7B last quarter, down 3.9% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 6.1% | -0.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | 8.8% | +0.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 8.9% | +0.3 points |
| Q3 2025 | 5.9% | -0.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 6.6% | -1.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 8.7% | -1.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 8.6% | -2 points |
| Q3 2024 | 6.4% | -0.3 points |
VIPS's operating margin was 6.1% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
BABA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$6.7B | -$4.1B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.7B | +$1.5B |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | -90% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.2B | -254% |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.7B | -182% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.2B | -12231% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.4B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.1B | -62% |
BABA has the edge over VIPS on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
VIPS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $0 | $0 |
| Q1 2026 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q3 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q2 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q1 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2024 | $0 | $0 |
| Q3 2024 | $0 | $0 |
VIPS's free cash flow has been positive every quarter since mid-2020: $0 over the past year, against $0 the year before.
BABA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +11.1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.9% | +21.4M shares |
| 3 years | -6.2% | -161M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -339M shares |
| Available history | -8.4% | -221M shares |
BABA has 2.4B diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $269.8M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
BABA spent $270M buying back its own shares over the past year, after none the year before.
VIPS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.9% | -4.6M shares |
| 1 year | -4.6% | -23.7M shares |
| 3 years | -13% | -71M shares |
| 5 years | -30% | -213M shares |
| Available history | -28% | -187M shares |
VIPS has the edge over BABA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
VIPS hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
BABA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
BABA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
VIPS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.7x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.6x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -1.7x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -2.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2024 | -1.3x | Net Cash |
VIPS has the edge over BABA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
BABA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 12.7 | Oversold |
BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).
VIPS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 44.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 32.5 | Neutral |
VIPS's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 33 (neutral).
BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BABA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 18x | 19% above |
| PE % | 60 | 47 | 13 pts above |
BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.
VIPS PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | VIPS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 4.1x | 18x | 77% below |
| PE % | 1 | 47 | 46 pts below |
VIPS has the edge over BABA on valuation relative to its sector.
BABA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $104.7 | 9.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $111.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $128.0 | 26% below |
| 100 week MA | $127.7 | 26% below |
| 200 week MA | $106.4 | 11% below |
BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.
VIPS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $12.8 | 0.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $13.5 | 4.1% below |
| 50 week MA | $15.1 | 14% below |
| 100 week MA | $15.5 | 16% below |
| 200 week MA | $15.4 | 16% below |
VIPS has the edge over BABA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
BABA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $215.5 | $222.0 | +3% |
| 2021 | $222.0 | $118.7 | -47% |
| 2022 | $118.7 | $85.7 | -28% |
| 2023 | $85.7 | $77.5 | -9.5% |
| 2024 | $77.5 | $85.1 | +9.7% |
| 2025 | $85.1 | $152.2 | +79% |
| 2026 YTD | $152.2 | $94.4 | -38% |
BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.
VIPS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $14.5 | $26.3 | +81% |
| 2021 | $26.3 | $8.46 | -68% |
| 2022 | $8.46 | $13.5 | +59% |
| 2023 | $13.5 | $17.8 | +32% |
| 2024 | $17.8 | $13.3 | -25% |
| 2025 | $13.3 | $19.5 | +46% |
| 2026 YTD | $19.5 | $12.9 | -34% |
VIPS has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.