BABA
Alibaba Group Holding Limited
BABA has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
VFS
VinFast Auto Ltd.
VFS has a slight edge over BABA overall, supported by stronger fundamentals.
BABA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Healthy |
BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
VFS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
VFS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
BABA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 16x | $69.66 | -26% |
| Fair | 20x | $86.59 | -8.2% |
| Current | 21x | $94.36 | — |
| Expensive | 26x | $115 | +22% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BABA's PE is 21x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
VFS PE Valuation
VFS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
BABA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
BABA has the edge over VFS on the outlook, with more favorable earnings expectations.
VFS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses steady | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect VFS's revenue to grow and its profitability to improve, with its earnings holding steady.
BABA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.42 | -52% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.57 | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.79 | -22% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.85 | +49% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.27 | +116% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.06 | +71% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.47 | +24% |
| Q3 2024 | $5.26 | -35% |
BABA has the edge over VFS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
VFS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$2.09 | -$0.73 |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.79 | -$0.45 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.62 | -$0.33 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.54 | -$0.45 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.36 | -$0.24 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.34 | -$0.32 |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.29 | -$0.28 |
| Q3 2024 | -$1.09 | -$0.13 |
VFS lost $2.09 per share over the past year, a bigger loss than the year before.
BABA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $40.2B | +8.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $36.5B | +2.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $42.7B | +1.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $37.2B | +4.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $37.2B | +1.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $35.5B | +6.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $42B | +7.6% |
| Q3 2024 | $35.5B | +5.2% |
BABA's revenue has grown year over year for 16 quarters in a row: $40.2B last quarter, up 8.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 7.2% | -6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3% | -12 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.1% | -7.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.2% | -13 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +5.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | +6.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | 15% | 0 points |
BABA has the edge over VFS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
VFS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $1.2B | +83% |
| Q1 2026 | $900.2M | +42% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.5B | +139% |
| Q3 2025 | $705M | +47% |
| Q2 2025 | $646.9M | +92% |
| Q1 2025 | $635.1M | +150% |
| Q4 2024 | $642.5M | +70% |
| Q3 2024 | $480.1M | +49% |
VFS has the edge over BABA on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -93% | -14 points |
| Q1 2026 | -99% | -25 points |
| Q4 2025 | -74% | +71 points |
| Q3 2025 | -96% | -30 points |
| Q2 2025 | -79% | +76 points |
| Q1 2025 | -74% | +80 points |
| Q4 2024 | -145% | -14 points |
| Q3 2024 | -66% | +42 points |
VFS's operating margin was −93% last quarter, down 14 points from the same quarter a year ago.
BABA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$6.7B | -$4.1B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.7B | +$1.5B |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | -90% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.2B | -254% |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.7B | -182% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.2B | -12231% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.4B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.1B | -62% |
BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.
VFS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$924.2M | -$265.9M |
| Q1 2026 | -$713.8M | +$15.6M |
| Q4 2025 | -$546.8M | -$348.2M |
| Q3 2025 | -$692.2M | -$132.8M |
| Q2 2025 | -$658.3M | -$250.1M |
| Q1 2025 | -$729.5M | -$58.9M |
| Q4 2024 | -$198.6M | +$317.5M |
| Q3 2024 | -$559.4M | +$560.3M |
VFS has the edge over BABA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
BABA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +11.1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.9% | +21.4M shares |
| 3 years | -6.2% | -161M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -339M shares |
| Available history | -8.4% | -221M shares |
BABA has 2.4B diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $269.8M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
BABA spent $270M buying back its own shares over the past year, after none the year before.
VFS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | -- |
| 1 year | 0% | +723K shares |
| 3 years | +0.7% | +17.3M shares |
VFS has the edge over BABA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | $39.00 |
VFS hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
BABA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
BABA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
VFS Net Leverage
VFS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
BABA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 12.7 | Oversold |
BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).
VFS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 44.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 50.6 | Neutral |
VFS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 51 (neutral).
BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BABA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 18x | 19% above |
| PE % | 60 | 47 | 13 pts above |
BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.
VFS PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
VFS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
BABA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $104.7 | 9.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $111.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $128.0 | 26% below |
| 100 week MA | $127.7 | 26% below |
| 200 week MA | $106.4 | 11% below |
BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.
VFS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.13 | 2.2% below |
| 20 week MA | $3.13 | 2.2% below |
| 50 week MA | $3.35 | 8.7% below |
| 100 week MA | $3.43 | 11% below |
| 200 week MA | $5.71 | 46% below |
VFS is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 46% below its 200-week average.
BABA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $215.5 | $222.0 | +3% |
| 2021 | $222.0 | $118.7 | -47% |
| 2022 | $118.7 | $85.7 | -28% |
| 2023 | $85.7 | $77.5 | -9.5% |
| 2024 | $77.5 | $85.1 | +9.7% |
| 2025 | $85.1 | $152.2 | +79% |
| 2026 YTD | $152.2 | $94.4 | -38% |
BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.
VFS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $9.68 | $9.68 | 0% |
| 2022 | $9.68 | $10.0 | +3.5% |
| 2023 | $10.0 | $8.37 | -16% |
| 2024 | $8.37 | $4.32 | -48% |
| 2025 | $4.32 | $3.39 | -22% |
| 2026 YTD | $3.39 | $3.06 | -9.7% |
VFS has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.