BABA

Alibaba Group Holding Limited

53
Fundamentals36/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

BABA's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

VFC

V.F. Corporation

67
Fundamentals67/ 100
Valuation71/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

VFC has the edge over BABA overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

BABA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Weak
Healthy

BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

VFC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Under pressure

VFC's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

BABA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap16x$69.66-26%
Fair20x$86.59-8.2%
Current21x$94.36—
Expensive26x$115+22%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BABA's PE is 21x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

VFC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x49x74x98x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x49x74x98x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward16x$20.03—
Cheap17x$15.91-21%
Current22x$20.03—
Fair27x$24.83+24%
Expensive63x$58.30+191%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

VFC has the edge over BABA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

BABA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

BABA has the edge over VFC on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

VFC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect VFC's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

BABA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$125.09
Downside-23%$72.35

Calculated from the latest close: $94.36 on Nov 12.

BABA trails VFC on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

VFC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+62%$32.41
Downside-21%$15.92

Calculated from the latest close: $20.03 on Nov 12.

VFC has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BABA, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

BABA Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$4.42-52%
Q1 2026$6.57-18%
Q4 2025$5.79-22%
Q3 2025$7.85+49%
Q2 2025$9.27+116%
Q1 2025$8.06+71%
Q4 2024$7.47+24%
Q3 2024$5.26-35%

BABA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.42 over the past year, against $9.27 in mid-2025. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.

VFC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.97Q1 2024: $-2.49Q2 2024: $-3.01Q3 2024: $-1.72Q4 2024: $-1.18Q1 2025: $-0.48Q2 2025: $-0.11Q3 2025: $0.24Q4 2025: $0.57Q1 2026: $0.64Q2 2026: $0.69Q3 2026: $0.93Forward: $1.22
Q4 2023: $-1.97Q1 2024: $-2.49Q2 2024: $-3.01Q3 2024: $-1.72Q4 2024: $-1.18Q1 2025: $-0.48Q2 2025: $-0.11Q3 2025: $0.24Q4 2025: $0.57Q1 2026: $0.64Q2 2026: $0.69Q3 2026: $0.93Forward: $1.22
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.22+32%
Q3 2026$0.93+288%
Q2 2026$0.69+$0.80
Q1 2026$0.64+$1.12
Q4 2025$0.57+$1.75
Q3 2025$0.24+$1.96
Q2 2025-$0.11+$2.90
Q1 2025-$0.48+$2.01
Q4 2024-$1.18+$0.79

VFC has the edge over BABA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BABA Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$40.2B+8.3%
Q1 2026$36.5B+2.9%
Q4 2025$42.7B+1.7%
Q3 2025$37.2B+4.8%
Q2 2025$37.2B+1.8%
Q1 2025$35.5B+6.6%
Q4 2024$42B+7.6%
Q3 2024$35.5B+5.2%

BABA has the edge over VFC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

VFC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $3BQ1 2024: $2.4BQ2 2024: $1.9BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $2.8BQ1 2025: $2.1BQ2 2025: $1.8BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $2.9BQ1 2026: $2.2BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.7B
Q4 2023: $3BQ1 2024: $2.4BQ2 2024: $1.9BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $2.8BQ1 2025: $2.1BQ2 2025: $1.8BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $2.9BQ1 2026: $2.2BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.7B-3.8%
Q2 2026$1.7B-5.2%
Q1 2026$2.2B+1%
Q4 2025$2.9B+1.5%
Q3 2025$2.8B+1.6%
Q2 2025$1.8B-7.7%
Q1 2025$2.1B-9.7%
Q4 2024$2.8B-4.3%

VFC's revenue fell from its 2022 peak and has held roughly level since: $2.7B last quarter, down 3.8% from the same quarter a year ago.

BABA Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: −$4.2BQ2 2025: −$2.7BQ3 2025: −$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: −$2.7BQ2 2026: −$6.7B
Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: −$4.2BQ2 2025: −$2.7BQ3 2025: −$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: −$2.7BQ2 2026: −$6.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$6.7B-$4.1B
Q1 2026-$2.7B+$1.5B
Q4 2025$1B-90%
Q3 2025-$3.2B-254%
Q2 2025-$2.7B-182%
Q1 2025-$4.2B-12231%
Q4 2024$10.4B-4.8%
Q3 2024$2.1B-62%

BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.

VFC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: −$117MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$322MQ4 2024: $900MQ1 2025: −$193MQ2 2025: −$174MQ3 2025: −$254MQ4 2025: $978MQ1 2026: $6MQ2 2026: −$102MQ3 2026: −$191M
Q4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: −$117MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$322MQ4 2024: $900MQ1 2025: −$193MQ2 2025: −$174MQ3 2025: −$254MQ4 2025: $978MQ1 2026: $6MQ2 2026: −$102MQ3 2026: −$191M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$190.7M+$62.9M
Q2 2026-$102.1M+$71.6M
Q1 2026$5.9M+$198.9M
Q4 2025$977.9M+8.7%
Q3 2025-$253.5M+$68.8M
Q2 2025-$173.7M-$168.3M
Q1 2025-$193M-$75.7M
Q4 2024$899.7M-18%

VFC has the edge over BABA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

BABA Total Shares

Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+11.1M shares
1 year+0.9%+21.4M shares
3 years-6.2%-161M shares
5 years-12%-339M shares
Available history-8.4%-221M shares

BABA has the edge over VFC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

VFC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 388MQ1 2024: 388MQ2 2024: 389MQ3 2024: 391MQ4 2024: 394MQ1 2025: 393MQ2 2025: 390MQ3 2025: 394MQ4 2025: 397MQ1 2026: 396MQ2 2026: 392MQ3 2026: 400M
Q4 2023: 388MQ1 2024: 388MQ2 2024: 389MQ3 2024: 391MQ4 2024: 394MQ1 2025: 393MQ2 2025: 390MQ3 2025: 394MQ4 2025: 397MQ1 2026: 396MQ2 2026: 392MQ3 2026: 400M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.9%+7.6M shares
1 year+1.4%+5.7M shares
3 years+2.9%+11.3M shares
5 years+1.4%+5.7M shares
Available history-0.2%-642K shares

VFC has 400M diluted shares, up 1.4% from a year ago.

BABA Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.8xVery low
Q2 20250.2xVery low
Q1 20250.3xVery low
Q4 20240.1xVery low
Q3 2024-0.2xNet Cash

BABA has the edge over VFC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

VFC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 11.3xQ1 2024: 19.4xQ2 2024: 96.8xQ4 2024: 18.4xQ1 2025: 7.9xQ2 2025: 6.5xQ3 2025: 6.5xQ4 2025: 3.7xQ1 2026: 3.2xQ2 2026: 3.3xQ3 2026: 3.5x
Q4 2023: 11.3xQ1 2024: 19.4xQ2 2024: 96.8xQ4 2024: 18.4xQ1 2025: 7.9xQ2 2025: 6.5xQ3 2025: 6.5xQ4 2025: 3.7xQ1 2026: 3.2xQ2 2026: 3.3xQ3 2026: 3.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.5xElevated
Q2 20263.3xElevated
Q1 20263.2xElevated
Q4 20253.7xElevated
Q3 20256.5xHigh
Q2 20256.5xHigh
Q1 20257.9xHigh
Q4 202418.4xHigh

VFC's net debt is about 3.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 6.5 years a year ago.

BABA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.0Neutral
Stochastic12.7Oversold

BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).

VFC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI66.5Neutral
Stochastic90.4Overbought

VFC's weekly RSI is 66 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 90 (overbought).

BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBABASector medianRelative
PE21x18x19% above
PE %604713 pts above

BABA has the edge over VFC on valuation relative to its sector.

VFC PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricVFCSector medianRelative
PE22x18x20% above
PE %314716 pts below

VFC is trading at 22x earnings, a 20% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

BABA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$104.79.9% below
20 week MA$111.115% below
50 week MA$128.026% below
100 week MA$127.726% below
200 week MA$106.411% below

BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.

VFC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$17.018% above
20 week MA$15.827% above
50 week MA$17.415% above
100 week MA$16.720% above
200 week MA$17.514% above

VFC has the edge over BABA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BABA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$215.5$222.0+3%
2021$222.0$118.7-47%
2022$118.7$85.7-28%
2023$85.7$77.5-9.5%
2024$77.5$85.1+9.7%
2025$85.1$152.2+79%
2026 YTD$152.2$94.4-38%

BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.

VFC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$100.0$83.9-16%
2021$83.9$69.5-17%
2022$69.5$26.1-62%
2023$26.1$18.8-28%
2024$18.8$21.8+16%
2025$21.8$18.5-15%
2026 YTD$18.5$20.0+8.3%

VFC has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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