BABA
Alibaba Group Holding Limited
BABA's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.
URBN
Urban Outfitters, Inc.
URBN has the edge over BABA overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
BABA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Healthy |
BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
URBN Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Strong |
URBN's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.
BABA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 16x | $69.66 | -26% |
| Fair | 20x | $86.59 | -8.2% |
| Current | 21x | $94.36 | — |
| Expensive | 26x | $115 | +22% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BABA's PE is 21x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
URBN PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 10x | $64.55 | -24% |
| Fair | 13x | $85.87 | +1.3% |
| Current | 13x | $84.80 | — |
| Forward | 13x | $84.80 | — |
| Expensive | 16x | $102 | +21% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
URBN has the edge over BABA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
BABA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BABA, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
URBN Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for URBN, with profitability improving.
BABA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.42 | -52% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.57 | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.79 | -22% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.85 | +49% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.27 | +116% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.06 | +71% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.47 | +24% |
| Q3 2024 | $5.26 | -35% |
BABA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.42 over the past year, against $9.27 in mid-2025. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.
URBN Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $6.63 | +3.6% |
| Q3 2026 | $6.40 | +25% |
| Q2 2026 | $5.20 | +9% |
| Q1 2026 | $5.06 | +19% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.29 | +51% |
| Q3 2025 | $5.11 | +56% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.77 | +52% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.26 | +40% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.50 | +22% |
URBN has the edge over BABA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
BABA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $40.2B | +8.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $36.5B | +2.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $42.7B | +1.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $37.2B | +4.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $37.2B | +1.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $35.5B | +6.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $42B | +7.6% |
| Q3 2024 | $35.5B | +5.2% |
BABA's revenue has grown year over year for 16 quarters in a row: $40.2B last quarter, up 8.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 7.2% | -6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3% | -12 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.1% | -7.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.2% | -13 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +5.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | +6.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | 15% | 0 points |
BABA's operating margin was 7.2% last quarter, down 6.9 points from the same quarter a year ago.
URBN Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.7B | +10% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5B | +11% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.8B | +10% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.5B | +12% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.5B | +11% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.3B | +11% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.6B | +10% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.4B | +6.3% |
URBN has the edge over BABA on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 17% | +5.8 points |
| Q2 2026 | 9.4% | -0.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 8.8% | +1.2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 9.4% | 0 points |
| Q3 2025 | 12% | +0.8 points |
| Q2 2025 | 9.6% | +3.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 7.7% | +3.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 9.4% | +0.9 points |
URBN has the edge over BABA on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
BABA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$6.7B | -$4.1B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.7B | +$1.5B |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | -90% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.2B | -254% |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.7B | -182% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.2B | -12231% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.4B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.1B | -62% |
BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.
URBN Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $301.4M | +92% |
| Q2 2026 | -$177.8M | -$164.6M |
| Q1 2026 | $194.3M | -31% |
| Q4 2025 | -$22.8M | +$3.9M |
| Q3 2025 | $156.6M | +230% |
| Q2 2025 | -$13.1M | -175% |
| Q1 2025 | $281.9M | +56% |
| Q4 2024 | -$26.7M | -$23.1M |
URBN has the edge over BABA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
BABA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +11.1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.9% | +21.4M shares |
| 3 years | -6.2% | -161M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -339M shares |
| Available history | -8.4% | -221M shares |
BABA has 2.4B diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $269.8M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
BABA spent $270M buying back its own shares over the past year, after none the year before.
URBN Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -2.4% | -2.1M shares |
| 1 year | -4.9% | -4.5M shares |
| 3 years | -8% | -7.6M shares |
| 5 years | -13% | -12.9M shares |
| Available history | -12% | -12M shares |
URBN has the edge over BABA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | $300M |
| Q1 2026 | $2M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | $151.9M |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
URBN spent $302M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 99% from the year before.
BABA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
BABA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
URBN Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
URBN has the edge over BABA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
BABA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 12.7 | Oversold |
BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).
URBN Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 58.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 68.5 | Neutral |
URBN's weekly RSI is 58 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 69 (neutral).
BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BABA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 18x | 19% above |
| PE % | 60 | 47 | 13 pts above |
BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.
URBN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | URBN | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13x | 18x | 26% below |
| PE % | 47 | 47 | Same percentile |
URBN has the edge over BABA on valuation relative to its sector.
BABA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $104.7 | 9.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $111.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $128.0 | 26% below |
| 100 week MA | $127.7 | 26% below |
| 200 week MA | $106.4 | 11% below |
BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.
URBN Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $84.0 | 1% above |
| 20 week MA | $78.7 | 7.8% above |
| 50 week MA | $74.3 | 14% above |
| 100 week MA | $68.7 | 23% above |
| 200 week MA | $52.5 | 62% above |
URBN has the edge over BABA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
BABA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $215.5 | $222.0 | +3% |
| 2021 | $222.0 | $118.7 | -47% |
| 2022 | $118.7 | $85.7 | -28% |
| 2023 | $85.7 | $77.5 | -9.5% |
| 2024 | $77.5 | $85.1 | +9.7% |
| 2025 | $85.1 | $152.2 | +79% |
| 2026 YTD | $152.2 | $94.4 | -38% |
BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.
URBN Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $27.8 | $26.8 | -3.6% |
| 2021 | $26.8 | $29.1 | +8.8% |
| 2022 | $29.1 | $24.1 | -17% |
| 2023 | $24.1 | $35.7 | +48% |
| 2024 | $35.7 | $55.8 | +56% |
| 2025 | $55.8 | $77.1 | +38% |
| 2026 YTD | $77.1 | $84.8 | +10% |
URBN has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.