BABA

Alibaba Group Holding Limited

53
Fundamentals36/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

BABA has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

UFI

Unifi, Inc.

57
Fundamentals54/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

UFI has the edge over BABA overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

BABA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Weak
Healthy

BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

UFI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Healthy
Under pressure

UFI's cash flow is currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

BABA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap16x$69.66-26%
Fair20x$86.59-8.2%
Current21x$94.36—
Expensive26x$115+22%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BABA's PE is 21x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

UFI PE Valuation

UFI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 31x next year's earnings.

BABA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BABA, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

UFI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect UFI to return to profit, with revenue growing.

BABA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$125.09
Downside-23%$72.35

Calculated from the latest close: $94.36 on Nov 12.

BABA trails UFI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

UFI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+45%$9.78
Downside-31%$4.65

Calculated from the latest close: $6.74 on Nov 12.

UFI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BABA, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BABA Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$4.42-52%
Q1 2026$6.57-18%
Q4 2025$5.79-22%
Q3 2025$7.85+49%
Q2 2025$9.27+116%
Q1 2025$8.06+71%
Q4 2024$7.47+24%
Q3 2024$5.26-35%

BABA has the edge over UFI on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

UFI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-2.97Q1 2024: $-3.25Q2 2024: $-2.62Q3 2024: $-2.31Q4 2024: $-1.83Q1 2025: $-2.18Q2 2025: $-1.14Q3 2025: $-1.34Q4 2025: $-1.25Q1 2026: $-0.45Q2 2026: $-1.33Q3 2026: $-0.82Forward: $0.22
Q4 2023: $-2.97Q1 2024: $-3.25Q2 2024: $-2.62Q3 2024: $-2.31Q4 2024: $-1.83Q1 2025: $-2.18Q2 2025: $-1.14Q3 2025: $-1.34Q4 2025: $-1.25Q1 2026: $-0.45Q2 2026: $-1.33Q3 2026: $-0.82Forward: $0.22
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.22—
Q3 2026-$0.82+$0.52
Q2 2026-$1.33-$0.19
Q1 2026-$0.45+$1.73
Q4 2025-$1.25+$0.58
Q3 2025-$1.34+$0.97
Q2 2025-$1.14+$1.48
Q1 2025-$2.18+$1.07
Q4 2024-$1.83+$1.14

UFI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.82 per share over the past year, against $3.25 at its worst in early 2024.

BABA Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$40.2B+8.3%
Q1 2026$36.5B+2.9%
Q4 2025$42.7B+1.7%
Q3 2025$37.2B+4.8%
Q2 2025$37.2B+1.8%
Q1 2025$35.5B+6.6%
Q4 2024$42B+7.6%
Q3 2024$35.5B+5.2%

BABA has the edge over UFI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

UFI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $137MQ1 2024: $149MQ2 2024: $157MQ3 2024: $147MQ4 2024: $139MQ1 2025: $147MQ2 2025: $139MQ3 2025: $136MQ4 2025: $121MQ1 2026: $130MQ2 2026: $144MQ3 2026: $128M
Q4 2023: $137MQ1 2024: $149MQ2 2024: $157MQ3 2024: $147MQ4 2024: $139MQ1 2025: $147MQ2 2025: $139MQ3 2025: $136MQ4 2025: $121MQ1 2026: $130MQ2 2026: $144MQ3 2026: $128M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$127.9M-5.7%
Q2 2026$144.2M+4.1%
Q1 2026$130M-11%
Q4 2025$121.4M-13%
Q3 2025$135.7M-7.9%
Q2 2025$138.5M-12%
Q1 2025$146.6M-1.6%
Q4 2024$138.9M+1.4%

UFI's revenue has slid since its 2022 peak: $128M last quarter, down 5.7% from the same quarter a year ago.

BABA Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: −$4.2BQ2 2025: −$2.7BQ3 2025: −$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: −$2.7BQ2 2026: −$6.7B
Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: −$4.2BQ2 2025: −$2.7BQ3 2025: −$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: −$2.7BQ2 2026: −$6.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$6.7B-$4.1B
Q1 2026-$2.7B+$1.5B
Q4 2025$1B-90%
Q3 2025-$3.2B-254%
Q2 2025-$2.7B-182%
Q1 2025-$4.2B-12231%
Q4 2024$10.4B-4.8%
Q3 2024$2.1B-62%

BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.

UFI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$8MQ1 2024: −$4MQ2 2024: −$2MQ3 2024: −$15MQ4 2024: −$5MQ1 2025: −$8MQ2 2025: −$4MQ3 2025: −$11MQ4 2025: $24MQ1 2026: $7MQ2 2026: $1MQ3 2026: $2M
Q4 2023: −$8MQ1 2024: −$4MQ2 2024: −$2MQ3 2024: −$15MQ4 2024: −$5MQ1 2025: −$8MQ2 2025: −$4MQ3 2025: −$11MQ4 2025: $24MQ1 2026: $7MQ2 2026: $1MQ3 2026: $2M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.5M+$13.4M
Q2 2026$1M+$4.9M
Q1 2026$7.2M+$15.2M
Q4 2025$24.2M+$29.3M
Q3 2025-$10.9M+$3.9M
Q2 2025-$3.9M-$2.2M
Q1 2025-$8M-$4M
Q4 2024-$5.1M+$2.6M

UFI has the edge over BABA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

BABA Total Shares

Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+11.1M shares
1 year+0.9%+21.4M shares
3 years-6.2%-161M shares
5 years-12%-339M shares
Available history-8.4%-221M shares

BABA has the edge over UFI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

UFI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 18MQ1 2024: 18MQ2 2024: 18MQ3 2024: 18MQ4 2024: 18MQ1 2025: 18MQ2 2025: 18MQ3 2025: 18MQ4 2025: 18MQ1 2026: 19MQ2 2026: 18MQ3 2026: 19M
Q4 2023: 18MQ1 2024: 18MQ2 2024: 18MQ3 2024: 18MQ4 2024: 18MQ1 2025: 18MQ2 2025: 18MQ3 2025: 18MQ4 2025: 18MQ1 2026: 19MQ2 2026: 18MQ3 2026: 19M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+100K shares
1 year+1.2%+227K shares
3 years+2.8%+504K shares
5 years-2.2%-409K shares
Available history-1%-184K shares

UFI has 19M diluted shares, up 1.2% from a year ago.

BABA Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.8xVery low
Q2 20250.2xVery low
Q1 20250.3xVery low
Q4 20240.1xVery low
Q3 2024-0.2xNet Cash

BABA has the edge over UFI on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

UFI Net Leverage

Q4 2024: 14.5xQ1 2025: 197.4xQ2 2025: 5.4xQ3 2025: 11.4xQ4 2025: 8.7xQ1 2026: 3.1xQ2 2026: 7.2xQ3 2026: 3.5x
Q4 2024: 14.5xQ1 2025: 197.4xQ2 2025: 5.4xQ3 2025: 11.4xQ4 2025: 8.7xQ1 2026: 3.1xQ2 2026: 7.2xQ3 2026: 3.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.5xElevated
Q2 20267.2xHigh
Q1 20263.1xElevated
Q4 20258.7xHigh
Q3 202511.4xHigh
Q2 20255.4xHigh
Q1 2025197.4xHigh
Q4 202414.5xHigh

UFI's net debt is about 3.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 11 years a year ago.

BABA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.0Neutral
Stochastic12.7Oversold

BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).

UFI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI59.6Neutral
Stochastic24.9Neutral

UFI's weekly RSI is 60 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 25 (neutral).

BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBABASector medianRelative
PE21x18x19% above
PE %604713 pts above

BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.

UFI PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricUFISector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

UFI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BABA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$104.79.9% below
20 week MA$111.115% below
50 week MA$128.026% below
100 week MA$127.726% below
200 week MA$106.411% below

BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.

UFI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$6.1010% above
20 week MA$6.405.3% above
50 week MA$4.8639% above
100 week MA$4.8838% above
200 week MA$5.8715% above

UFI has the edge over BABA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BABA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$215.5$222.0+3%
2021$222.0$118.7-47%
2022$118.7$85.7-28%
2023$85.7$77.5-9.5%
2024$77.5$85.1+9.7%
2025$85.1$152.2+79%
2026 YTD$152.2$94.4-38%

BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.

UFI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$25.0$17.1-32%
2021$17.1$22.8+33%
2022$22.8$7.91-65%
2023$7.91$6.66-16%
2024$6.66$5.71-14%
2025$5.71$3.38-41%
2026 YTD$3.38$6.74+99%

UFI has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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