BABA
Alibaba Group Holding Limited
BABA has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
UBER
Uber Technologies, Inc.
UBER has the edge over BABA overall, supported by stronger fundamentals.
BABA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Healthy |
BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
UBER Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy |
UBER's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable.
BABA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 16x | $69.66 | -26% |
| Fair | 20x | $86.59 | -8.2% |
| Current | 21x | $94.36 | — |
| Expensive | 26x | $115 | +22% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BABA has the edge over UBER in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
UBER PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 15x | $26.01 | -62% |
| Fair | 17x | $29.70 | -57% |
| Forward | 17x | $69.12 | — |
| Current | 40x | $69.12 | — |
| Expensive | 93x | $160 | +131% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
UBER's PE is in its expensive range at 40x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 17x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
BABA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BABA, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
UBER Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for UBER, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
BABA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.42 | -52% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.57 | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.79 | -22% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.85 | +49% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.27 | +116% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.06 | +71% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.47 | +24% |
| Q3 2024 | $5.26 | -35% |
BABA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.42 over the past year, against $9.27 in mid-2025. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.
UBER Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $4.07 | +138% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.71 | -78% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.57 | -22% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.03 | -29% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.73 | +3.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.78 | +285% |
| Q2 2025 | $5.87 | +538% |
| Q1 2025 | $5.71 | +806% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.56 | +424% |
UBER has the edge over BABA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
BABA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $40.2B | +8.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $36.5B | +2.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $42.7B | +1.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $37.2B | +4.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $37.2B | +1.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $35.5B | +6.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $42B | +7.6% |
| Q3 2024 | $35.5B | +5.2% |
BABA's revenue has grown year over year for 16 quarters in a row: $40.2B last quarter, up 8.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 7.2% | -6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3% | -12 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.1% | -7.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.2% | -13 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +5.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | +6.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | 15% | 0 points |
BABA's operating margin was 7.2% last quarter, down 6.9 points from the same quarter a year ago.
UBER Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $14.8B | +9.6% |
| Q2 2026 | $14.2B | +12% |
| Q1 2026 | $13.2B | +14% |
| Q4 2025 | $14.4B | +20% |
| Q3 2025 | $13.5B | +20% |
| Q2 2025 | $12.7B | +18% |
| Q1 2025 | $11.5B | +14% |
| Q4 2024 | $12B | +20% |
UBER has the edge over BABA on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 9.8% | +1.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 13% | +1.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 15% | +3.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | 12% | +5.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 8.3% | -1.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 11% | +4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 11% | +9 points |
| Q4 2024 | 6.4% | -0.1 points |
UBER has the edge over BABA on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
BABA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$6.7B | -$4.1B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.7B | +$1.5B |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | -90% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.2B | -254% |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.7B | -182% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.2B | -12231% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.4B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.1B | -62% |
BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.
UBER Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.5B | +14% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.8B | +13% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.3B | +1.6% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.8B | +65% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.2B | +5.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.5B | +44% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.3B | +66% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.7B | +122% |
UBER has the edge over BABA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
BABA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +11.1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.9% | +21.4M shares |
| 3 years | -6.2% | -161M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -339M shares |
| Available history | -8.4% | -221M shares |
BABA has 2.4B diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $269.8M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
BABA spent $270M buying back its own shares over the past year, after none the year before.
UBER Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | +99K shares |
| 1 year | -3.5% | -74.1M shares |
| 3 years | -2.8% | -58.2M shares |
| 5 years | +8% | +151M shares |
| Available history | +19% | +326M shares |
UBER has the edge over BABA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $750M |
| Q2 2026 | $518M |
| Q1 2026 | $3B |
| Q4 2025 | $1.9B |
| Q3 2025 | $1.5B |
| Q2 2025 | $1.4B |
| Q1 2025 | $1.8B |
| Q4 2024 | $555M |
UBER spent $6.2B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 20% from the year before.
BABA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
BABA has the edge over UBER on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
UBER Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 1.1x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 1.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 1.0x | Healthy |
UBER's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
BABA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 12.7 | Oversold |
BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).
UBER Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 45.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 19.7 | Oversold |
UBER's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).
BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BABA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 18x | 19% above |
| PE % | 60 | 47 | 13 pts above |
BABA has the edge over UBER on valuation relative to its sector.
UBER PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | UBER | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 40x | 28x | 45% above |
| PE % | 68 | 35 | 33 pts above |
UBER is trading at 40x earnings, a 45% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
BABA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $104.7 | 9.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $111.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $128.0 | 26% below |
| 100 week MA | $127.7 | 26% below |
| 200 week MA | $106.4 | 11% below |
BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.
UBER Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $68.7 | 0.7% above |
| 20 week MA | $71.7 | 3.6% below |
| 50 week MA | $74.4 | 7.1% below |
| 100 week MA | $78.9 | 12% below |
| 200 week MA | $67.9 | 1.8% above |
UBER has the edge over BABA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
BABA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $215.5 | $222.0 | +3% |
| 2021 | $222.0 | $118.7 | -47% |
| 2022 | $118.7 | $85.7 | -28% |
| 2023 | $85.7 | $77.5 | -9.5% |
| 2024 | $77.5 | $85.1 | +9.7% |
| 2025 | $85.1 | $152.2 | +79% |
| 2026 YTD | $152.2 | $94.4 | -38% |
BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.
UBER Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $30.2 | $52.9 | +75% |
| 2021 | $52.9 | $43.9 | -17% |
| 2022 | $43.9 | $24.6 | -44% |
| 2023 | $24.6 | $61.6 | +150% |
| 2024 | $61.6 | $61.1 | -0.7% |
| 2025 | $61.1 | $81.3 | +33% |
| 2026 YTD | $81.3 | $69.1 | -15% |
UBER has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.