BABA

Alibaba Group Holding Limited

53
Fundamentals36/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

BABA's fundamentals are weak: its operating margin fell 10 points to 4.2% and free cash flow turned negative, though revenue grew 4.3%. Its PE isn't a useful guide right now because of how its recent earnings were reported.

TRON

Tron Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score TRON yet.

BABA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Weak
Healthy

BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

TRON Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Unavailable
Weak

TRON's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and balance sheet are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its cash flow.

BABA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap16x$69.66-26%
Fair20x$86.59-8.2%
Current21x$94.36—
Expensive26x$115+22%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BABA's PE is 21x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

TRON PE Valuation

TRON has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BABA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BABA, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

TRON Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for TRON to show an outlook.

BABA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$125.09
Downside-23%$72.35

Calculated from the latest close: $94.36 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare BABA and TRON's risk to reward.

TRON Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $1.44 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare BABA and TRON's risk to reward.

BABA Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$4.42-52%
Q1 2026$6.57-18%
Q4 2025$5.79-22%
Q3 2025$7.85+49%
Q2 2025$9.27+116%
Q1 2025$8.06+71%
Q4 2024$7.47+24%
Q3 2024$5.26-35%

BABA has the edge over TRON on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

TRON Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.31Q1 2024: $-0.48Q2 2024: $-0.52Q3 2024: $-0.43Q4 2024: $-0.37Q1 2025: $-0.24Q2 2025: $-0.18Q3 2025: $-0.04Q4 2025: $-0.16Q1 2026: $-0.07Q2 2026: $-0.07Q3 2026: $-0.08
Q4 2023: $-0.31Q1 2024: $-0.48Q2 2024: $-0.52Q3 2024: $-0.43Q4 2024: $-0.37Q1 2025: $-0.24Q2 2025: $-0.18Q3 2025: $-0.04Q4 2025: $-0.16Q1 2026: $-0.07Q2 2026: $-0.07Q3 2026: $-0.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.08-$0.04
Q2 2026-$0.07+$0.11
Q1 2026-$0.07+$0.17
Q4 2025-$0.16+$0.21
Q3 2025-$0.04+$0.39
Q2 2025-$0.18+$0.34
Q1 2025-$0.24+$0.24
Q4 2024-$0.37-$0.06

TRON is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.08 per share over the past year, against $0.52 at its worst in mid-2024.

BABA Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$40.2B+8.3%
Q1 2026$36.5B+2.9%
Q4 2025$42.7B+1.7%
Q3 2025$37.2B+4.8%
Q2 2025$37.2B+1.8%
Q1 2025$35.5B+6.6%
Q4 2024$42B+7.6%
Q3 2024$35.5B+5.2%

BABA's revenue has grown year over year for 16 quarters in a row: $40.2B last quarter, up 8.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

TRON Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: $2MQ3 2024: $876,392Q4 2024: $920,706Q1 2025: $1MQ2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $1MQ4 2025: $1MQ1 2026: $1MQ2 2026: $2MQ3 2026: $1M
Q4 2023: $1MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: $2MQ3 2024: $876,392Q4 2024: $920,706Q1 2025: $1MQ2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $1MQ4 2025: $1MQ1 2026: $1MQ2 2026: $2MQ3 2026: $1M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.2M+7.5%
Q2 2026$1.6M+17%
Q1 2026$1.2M+8.7%
Q4 2025$1.2M+31%
Q3 2025$1.1M+26%
Q2 2025$1.3M-11%
Q1 2025$1.1M+8.3%
Q4 2024$920.7K-24%

TRON's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $1M last quarter, up 7.5% from the same quarter a year ago.

BABA Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: −$4.2BQ2 2025: −$2.7BQ3 2025: −$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: −$2.7BQ2 2026: −$6.7B
Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: −$4.2BQ2 2025: −$2.7BQ3 2025: −$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: −$2.7BQ2 2026: −$6.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$6.7B-$4.1B
Q1 2026-$2.7B+$1.5B
Q4 2025$1B-90%
Q3 2025-$3.2B-254%
Q2 2025-$2.7B-182%
Q1 2025-$4.2B-12231%
Q4 2024$10.4B-4.8%
Q3 2024$2.1B-62%

TRON has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is down 98% versus its history, compared with BABA at down 158%.

TRON Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$354,088Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: −$176,377Q4 2024: −$1MQ1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
Q4 2023: −$354,088Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: −$176,377Q4 2024: −$1MQ1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q4 2024-$1.2M-$821.2K
Q4 2023-$354.1K-$51.2K
Q1 2023-$179.9K+$87.5K
Q4 2022-$302.9K+$153.3K
Q3 2022$268.7K+$552.5K
Q2 2022$0+$1.2M
Q1 2022-$267.5K-$257.1K

TRON has burned cash in most quarters: −$2M over the past year, against −$301,677 the year before.

BABA Total Shares

Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+11.1M shares
1 year+0.9%+21.4M shares
3 years-6.2%-161M shares
5 years-12%-339M shares
Available history-8.4%-221M shares

BABA has the edge over TRON on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

TRON Total Shares

Q1 2024: 10MQ2 2024: 10MQ3 2024: 11MQ1 2025: 17MQ2 2025: 224MQ3 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 476MQ2 2026: 472MQ3 2026: 476M
Q1 2024: 10MQ2 2024: 10MQ3 2024: 11MQ1 2025: 17MQ2 2025: 224MQ3 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 476MQ2 2026: 472MQ3 2026: 476M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.9%+4.1M shares
1 year+112%+252M shares
3 years+4776%+466M shares

TRON has 476M diluted shares, up 112% from a year ago.

BABA Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.8xVery low
Q2 20250.2xVery low
Q1 20250.3xVery low
Q4 20240.1xVery low
Q3 2024-0.2xNet Cash

BABA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

TRON Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q1 20238.7xHigh
Q4 20226.9xHigh
Q2 2022-9.1xNet Cash

TRON's net debt is about 8.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

BABA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.0Neutral
Stochastic12.7Oversold

BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).

TRON Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.8Neutral
Stochastic24.1Neutral

TRON's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 24 (neutral).

BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBABASector medianRelative
PE21x18x19% above
PE %604713 pts above

BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.

TRON PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

TRON has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BABA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$104.79.9% below
20 week MA$111.115% below
50 week MA$128.026% below
100 week MA$127.726% below
200 week MA$106.411% below

TRON has stronger trend alignment. BABA is above 0 of 5 weekly averages versus TRON above 1 of 4.

TRON Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1.356.7% above
20 week MA$1.493.4% below
50 week MA$1.6513% below
100 week MA$2.1433% below

TRON has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 33% below its 100-week average.

BABA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$215.5$222.0+3%
2021$222.0$118.7-47%
2022$118.7$85.7-28%
2023$85.7$77.5-9.5%
2024$77.5$85.1+9.7%
2025$85.1$152.2+79%
2026 YTD$152.2$94.4-38%

BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.

TRON Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2023$2.10$1.55-26%
2024$1.55$0.61-61%
2025$0.61$1.44+136%
2026 YTD$1.44$1.440%

TRON has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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